Custom Truck One Source, Inc.

NYSE:CTOS Stock Report

Market Cap: US$1.3b

Custom Truck One Source Valuation

Is CTOS undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CTOS when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate CTOS's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate CTOS's fair value for valuation analysis.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CTOS?

Key metric: As CTOS is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for CTOS. This is calculated by dividing CTOS's market cap by their current revenue.
What is CTOS's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.7x
SalesUS$1.80b
Market CapUS$1.34b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does CTOS's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for CTOS vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.1x
DXPE DXP Enterprises
0.6x4.5%US$1.1b
MRC MRC Global
0.4x3.5%US$1.2b
WLFC Willis Lease Finance
2.6xn/aUS$1.4b
DNOW DNOW
0.7x2.8%US$1.6b
CTOS Custom Truck One Source
0.7x4.9%US$1.3b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: CTOS is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.7x) compared to the peer average (1.1x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does CTOS's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Trade Distributors Industry?

6 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
TITN Titan Machinery
0.1x-1.8%US$345.07m
ALTG Alta Equipment Group
0.1x2.4%US$263.06m
IPW iPower
0.3xn/aUS$22.02m
BYU BAIYU Holdings
0.07xn/aUS$8.94m
CTOS 0.7xIndustry Avg. 1.1xNo. of Companies10PS01.22.43.64.86+
6 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: CTOS is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.7x) compared to the US Trade Distributors industry average (1.1x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CTOS's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CTOS PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.7x
Fair PS Ratio0.9x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: CTOS is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.9x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CTOS forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$5.72
US$6.17
+7.8%
23.7%US$9.00US$5.00n/a6
Nov ’25US$4.03
US$6.33
+57.2%
21.7%US$9.00US$5.00n/a6
Oct ’25US$3.29
US$6.42
+95.0%
20.3%US$9.00US$5.00n/a6
Sep ’25US$4.10
US$6.42
+56.5%
20.3%US$9.00US$5.00n/a6
Aug ’25US$4.66
US$7.08
+52.0%
23.2%US$10.00US$5.00n/a6
Jul ’25US$4.22
US$7.25
+71.8%
20.2%US$10.00US$5.50n/a6
Jun ’25US$4.77
US$7.67
+60.7%
16.3%US$10.00US$6.00n/a6
May ’25US$4.84
US$8.83
+82.5%
19.0%US$12.00US$7.00n/a6
Apr ’25US$5.88
US$8.83
+50.2%
19.0%US$12.00US$7.00n/a6
Mar ’25US$6.32
US$9.00
+42.4%
18.1%US$12.00US$7.00n/a6
Feb ’25US$6.69
US$9.00
+34.5%
18.1%US$12.00US$7.00n/a6
Jan ’25US$6.18
US$9.00
+45.6%
18.1%US$12.00US$7.00n/a6
Dec ’24US$6.03
US$9.00
+49.3%
18.1%US$12.00US$7.00n/a6
Nov ’24US$5.88
US$9.42
+60.1%
16.9%US$12.00US$7.50US$4.036
Oct ’24US$6.20
US$9.58
+54.6%
15.5%US$12.00US$7.50US$3.296
Sep ’24US$6.80
US$9.58
+40.9%
15.5%US$12.00US$7.50US$4.106
Aug ’24US$6.89
US$9.25
+34.3%
14.6%US$12.00US$7.50US$4.666
Jul ’24US$6.74
US$9.17
+36.0%
15.0%US$12.00US$7.50US$4.226
Jun ’24US$6.35
US$9.17
+44.4%
15.0%US$12.00US$7.50US$4.776
May ’24US$6.41
US$9.67
+50.8%
17.8%US$12.00US$7.50US$4.846
Apr ’24US$6.79
US$9.57
+41.0%
16.9%US$12.00US$7.50US$5.887
Mar ’24US$7.15
US$9.63
+34.6%
15.7%US$12.00US$7.50US$6.328
Feb ’24US$7.19
US$9.29
+29.1%
14.1%US$12.00US$7.50US$6.697
Jan ’24US$6.32
US$9.29
+46.9%
14.1%US$12.00US$7.50US$6.187
Dec ’23US$6.96
US$9.58
+37.7%
12.2%US$12.00US$8.50US$6.036
Nov ’23US$6.94
US$9.75
+40.5%
8.2%US$11.00US$8.50US$5.886

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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