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Alphabet
BL
BlackGoat
Community Contributor
Alphabet: The Under-appreciated Compounder Hiding in Plain Sight
Summary Google trades at ~18× forward earnings — the cheapest among the Magnificent 7 Market is too focused on AI threats to Search and antitrust noise Meanwhile, Google is executing across AI, Cloud, and YouTube Key AI differentiator: unmatched distribution across 3B+ users via Search, Gmail, YouTube, Android, Chrome, and Cloud Quietly building a world-class AI infrastructure behind the scenes — including proprietary TPUs and a vertically integrated stack YouTube generated $8.93B in Q1 ad revenue (up 10% YoY); subscriptions hit 270M Google Cloud revenue up 28% YoY to $12.3B — now profitable Optionality from long-term bets like Waymo, DeepMind, and Verily Risk/reward is compelling — a strong candidate to beat the market long term Overview Despite being part of the "Magnificent Seven," Google’s stock lags due to perceived risks around disruption of its Search business from AI competitors and mounting antitrust concerns. But under the hood, Google has quietly built one of the most compelling setups in tech: with deep AI leadership, multiple high-growth businesses, and optionality from long-term moonshots like Waymo.
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US$268.43
FV
27.9% undervalued
intrinsic discount
9.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
6
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0
users have commented on this narrative
18
users have followed this narrative
21 days ago
author updated this narrative
Planet Labs PBC
AN
andreas_eliades
Community Contributor
Planet Labs: At The Heart Of The Emerging New Space Boom
Planet Labs leads the EO market with the largest satellite constellation, poised to capitalize on the growing demand for Earth Observation and geospatial data from companies and governments. Plunging space launch and GPU computation costs combined with advancements in CubeSat and AI technologies are boosting the utility of Earth Observation data.
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US$11.31
FV
43.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
30.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
6
users have liked this narrative
1
users have commented on this narrative
17
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Exxon Mobil
AG
Agricola
Community Contributor
Exxon in Guyana 5 year forecast Low $135 to High $189
Key Assumptions: Successful Guyana and South America Deposits: ExxonMobil’s Stabroek Block in Guyana is assumed to achieve full operational success, contributing significantly to production growth. The block is estimated to hold over 11 billion barrels of recoverable oil, with production scaling rapidly.
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US$189.00
FV
41.0% undervalued
intrinsic discount
14.85%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
1
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
3
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Columbia Sportswear
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 8 Analysts
Tariff Shocks And Consumer Trends Will Undermine Apparel Prospects
Key Takeaways Tariff pressures, sustainability demands, and shifting consumer preferences threaten profitability and relevance, especially as core categories risk becoming outdated. Increased competition from digital-native brands and warmer climate trends heighten market share risks and sales volatility for Columbia’s traditional outdoor wear focus.
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US$45.00
FV
34.2% overvalued
intrinsic discount
0.087%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
6 days ago
author updated this narrative
Schneider National
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 15 Analysts
Automation Shifts Will Expose Legacy Flaws Amid Nearshoring Upside
Key Takeaways Automation and autonomous trucking threaten Schneider's traditional business model, forcing costly capital investments and putting long-term profitability and competitiveness at risk. Shifting to tech-enabled, asset-light logistics and e-commerce models exposes Schneider to margin compression, customer attrition, and declining revenue growth.
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US$23.00
FV
12.0% overvalued
intrinsic discount
5.61%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
6 days ago
author updated this narrative
SmartFinancial
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 6 Analysts
Deepening Southeast Presence And Digital Banking Will Unlock Value
Key Takeaways Growth is fueled by deepening relationships in high-opportunity markets and ongoing investment in digital banking, driving stronger customer engagement and efficiency. A disciplined approach to risk and portfolio management supports stable earnings, while margin expansion and focused market penetration boost profitability and growth.
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US$37.75
FV
6.5% undervalued
intrinsic discount
13.48%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
2
users have followed this narrative
6 days ago
author updated this narrative
Bank OZK
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 9 Analysts
Concentrated Real Estate Exposure And Branch Building Will Hinder Profitability
Key Takeaways Heavy reliance on commercial real estate and select regional markets heightens exposure to sector downturns, credit losses, and earnings volatility. Operational expansion and rising competition from fintechs threaten cost efficiency, lending margins, and long-term profitability.
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US$40.15
FV
26.8% overvalued
intrinsic discount
8.95%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
6 days ago
author updated this narrative
Avnet
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 4 Analysts
Electronics Distribution Will Face Margin Squeeze Amid Supply Chain Woes
Key Takeaways Industry shifts to direct purchasing and automation are eroding Avnet's role, leading to margin pressure and reduced recurring earnings. Geopolitical risks and fierce competition heighten supply chain disruptions and price concessions, further compressing margins and financial stability.
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US$43.00
FV
25.9% overvalued
intrinsic discount
4.26%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
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6 days ago
author updated this narrative
MARA Holdings
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 12 Analysts
Decarbonization Pressures And Bitcoin Volatility Will Undermine Long-Term Prospects
Key Takeaways Heightened regulatory scrutiny, sustainability demands, and rapid hardware cycles could increase costs and squeeze margins for MARA's energy-intensive crypto mining operations. Dependency on volatile crypto markets and increased competition may erode revenue stability, market share, and long-term profitability.
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US$9.50
FV
80.6% overvalued
intrinsic discount
12.58%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
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0
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6 days ago
author updated this narrative
Flowers Foods
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 8 Analysts
Rising Costs And Consumer Shift Will Crush Core Bakery Business
Key Takeaways Shifting consumer preferences and rising private label competition are reducing demand, eroding market share, and undermining Flowers Foods' brand relevance. Escalating costs and overreliance on declining bread segments are compressing margins and threatening long-term profitability and growth prospects.
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US$14.00
FV
16.1% overvalued
intrinsic discount
2.25%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
2
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6 days ago
author updated this narrative
L&T Technology Services
AN
AnalystHighTarget
Consensus Narrative from 32 Analysts
Digital Transformation And Clean Energy Will Drive Secular Expansion
Key Takeaways Enhanced win rates from new segment-focused sales and AI-led platform rollouts could propel long-term revenue and margin growth well beyond current expectations. Leadership in sustainability and strong international expansion position the company for superior, diversified earnings momentum and expanded pricing power.
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₹5.71k
FV
25.0% undervalued
intrinsic discount
16.75%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
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6 days ago
author updated this narrative
Madison Square Garden Sports
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 6 Analysts
Falling Regional Broadcasts And Mounting Costs Will Depress Margins
Key Takeaways Shrinking media revenues, demographic shifts, and high reliance on two franchises threaten growth, profitability, and expose the company to declines in core business areas. Regulatory pressures, escalating player costs, and lack of geographic diversification increase operational risks and limit resilience to economic or industry-specific shocks.
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US$171.76
FV
17.8% overvalued
intrinsic discount
1.69%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
6 days ago
author updated this narrative
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