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Alphabet
BL
BlackGoat
Community Contributor
Alphabet: The Under-appreciated Compounder Hiding in Plain Sight
Summary Google trades at ~18× forward earnings; the cheapest among the Magnificent 7 Market is too focused on AI threats to Search and antitrust noise Meanwhile, Google is executing across AI, Cloud, and YouTube Key AI differentiator: unmatched distribution across 3B+ users via Search, Gmail, YouTube, Android, Chrome, and Cloud Quietly building a world-class AI infrastructure behind the scenes; including proprietary TPUs and a vertically integrated stack YouTube generated $8.93B in Q1 ad revenue (up 10% YoY); subscriptions hit 270M Google Cloud revenue up 28% YoY to $12.3B; now profitable Optionality from long-term bets like Waymo, DeepMind, and Verily Risk/reward is compelling; a strong candidate to beat the market long term Overview Despite being part of the "Magnificent Seven," Google’s stock lags due to perceived risks around disruption of its Search business from AI competitors and mounting antitrust concerns. But under the hood, Google has quietly built one of the most compelling setups in tech: with deep AI leadership, multiple high-growth businesses, and optionality from long-term moonshots like Waymo.
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US$282.83
FV
32.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
9.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
24
users have liked this narrative
3
users have commented on this narrative
62
users have followed this narrative
Updated
narrative
Planet Labs PBC
AN
andreas_eliades
Community Contributor
Planet Labs: At The Heart Of The Emerging New Space Boom
Planet Labs leads the EO market with the largest satellite constellation, poised to capitalize on the growing demand for Earth Observation and geospatial data from companies and governments. Plunging space launch and GPU computation costs combined with advancements in CubeSat and AI technologies are boosting the utility of Earth Observation data.
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US$11.31
FV
45.4% undervalued
intrinsic discount
30.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
18
users have liked this narrative
1
users have commented on this narrative
65
users have followed this narrative
New
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Exxon Mobil
AG
Agricola
Community Contributor
Exxon in Guyana 5 year forecast Low $135 to High $189
Previous mistake rectified. So as pointed out in the comments, Chevron won the Hess bid (rather than Exxon) and took a large portion of the Stabroek block.
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US$174.00
FV
37.0% undervalued
intrinsic discount
12.97%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
4
users have liked this narrative
4
users have commented on this narrative
17
users have followed this narrative
Updated
narrative
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Organon
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 6 Analysts
Biosimilar Challenges Will Erode Margins While Restructuring Will Provide Relief
Key Takeaways Ongoing pricing pressures, patent cliffs, and government cost containment threaten revenue growth and long-term earnings, especially in mature and Asian markets. Dependence on key products, high leverage from restructuring, and aggressive biosimilar competition may constrain innovation, margin expansion, and strategic investment.
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US$10.00
FV
2.5% undervalued
intrinsic discount
-0.57%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
11 days ago
author updated this narrative
Moelis
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 5 Analysts
Automation And Regulation Will Constrict Traditional Advisory Business
Key Takeaways Disruptive shifts toward alternative capital-raising methods and automation are reducing Moelis' traditional market, exerting sustained pressure on revenue growth and profitability. Heavy reliance on senior bankers and cyclical deal activity makes Moelis vulnerable to volatile earnings, regulatory barriers, and challenges in talent retention.
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US$62.00
FV
10.6% overvalued
intrinsic discount
14.32%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
11 days ago
author updated this narrative
Krystal Biotech
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 10 Analysts
Uncertain Gene Therapy Dynamics Will Fuel Challenges Yet Spark Hope
Key Takeaways Reliance on Vyjuvek faces challenges from unpredictable patient treatment patterns, pricing pressures, and reimbursement risks, impacting both revenue visibility and long-term margin stability. Expanding into new indications through the pipeline and broader patient access drives costs and risk, particularly given high R&D investment and dependence on successful clinical outcomes.
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US$176.00
FV
10.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
17.70%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
1
users have followed this narrative
11 days ago
author updated this narrative
Kingfisher
AN
AnalystHighTarget
Consensus Narrative from 14 Analysts
E-commerce And Eco Renovations Will Transform European Markets
Key Takeaways Fast expansion in digital trade, e-commerce, and urban store formats is outstripping expectations in key European markets, driving revenue growth and margin potential. Strong positioning in sustainable home improvement and loyalty-driven customer retention is expected to boost recurring revenue, market leadership, and margin expansion.
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UK£3.79
FV
28.9% undervalued
intrinsic discount
2.22%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
11 days ago
author updated this narrative
Siam Cement
AN
AnalystHighTarget
Consensus Narrative from 19 Analysts
Rising Urbanization And Green Demand Will Fuel ASEAN Market Expansion
Key Takeaways Sustainability initiatives and product innovation are rapidly expanding margins and market share, positioning the company ahead of peers in growth and profitability improvement. Operational efficiencies and financial discipline are boosting free cash flow, enabling either higher shareholder returns or accelerated future investment opportunities.
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฿332.69
FV
40.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
12.05%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
11 days ago
author updated this narrative
Acciona
AN
AnalystHighTarget
Consensus Narrative from 11 Analysts
Global Decarbonization And Electrification Will Power Renewable Market Expansion
Key Takeaways Shift toward higher-margin infrastructure concessions and rapid asset rotation are driving sustained margin improvement and unlocking hidden balance sheet value. Global project diversification, innovation leadership, and focus on electrification position the company for superior long-term growth and valuation relative to industry peers.
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€202.00
FV
18.4% undervalued
intrinsic discount
2.94%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
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11 days ago
author updated this narrative
Nexi
AN
AnalystHighTarget
Consensus Narrative from 16 Analysts
Digital Payments And Embedded Finance Will Expand Pan-European Markets
Key Takeaways Rapid expansion in digital payments and embedded finance, plus direct sales and tech innovation, position Nexi to outpace competitors and grow market share in Europe. Ongoing acquisitions, capital flexibility, and synergy-driven efficiency are set to enhance margins, enable greater shareholder returns, and fuel sustained earnings growth.
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€10.40
FV
51.2% undervalued
intrinsic discount
-14.24%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
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11 days ago
author updated this narrative
One97 Communications
AN
AnalystHighTarget
Consensus Narrative from 17 Analysts
India's Digital Revolution Will Transform Payment Ecosystems
Key Takeaways Structural cost reduction from in-house tech and rapid automation could drive significant margin expansion even without major user growth. Paytm's integrated ecosystem and merchant focus position it for outsized revenue gains, premium pricing, and durable long-term earnings.
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₹1.40k
FV
23.1% undervalued
intrinsic discount
24.70%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
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11 days ago
author updated this narrative
Installed Building Products
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 11 Analysts
Worsening US Housing Trends Will Crush Market Prospects
Key Takeaways Core market contraction and demographic trends threaten long-term revenue, demand, and earnings power for the company. Strategic dependence on acquisitions and inability to adapt to industry shifts could erode market position and profitability.
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US$145.00
FV
42.4% overvalued
intrinsic discount
0.97%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
11 days ago
author updated this narrative
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