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Alphabet
BL
BlackGoat
Community Contributor
Alphabet: The Under-appreciated Compounder Hiding in Plain Sight
Summary Google trades at ~18× forward earnings; the cheapest among the Magnificent 7 Market is too focused on AI threats to Search and antitrust noise Meanwhile, Google is executing across AI, Cloud, and YouTube Key AI differentiator: unmatched distribution across 3B+ users via Search, Gmail, YouTube, Android, Chrome, and Cloud Quietly building a world-class AI infrastructure behind the scenes; including proprietary TPUs and a vertically integrated stack YouTube generated $8.93B in Q1 ad revenue (up 10% YoY); subscriptions hit 270M Google Cloud revenue up 28% YoY to $12.3B; now profitable Optionality from long-term bets like Waymo, DeepMind, and Verily Risk/reward is compelling; a strong candidate to beat the market long term Overview Despite being part of the "Magnificent Seven," Google’s stock lags due to perceived risks around disruption of its Search business from AI competitors and mounting antitrust concerns. But under the hood, Google has quietly built one of the most compelling setups in tech: with deep AI leadership, multiple high-growth businesses, and optionality from long-term moonshots like Waymo.
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US$282.83
FV
30.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
9.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
24
users have liked this narrative
3
users have commented on this narrative
64
users have followed this narrative
Updated
narrative
Planet Labs PBC
AN
andreas_eliades
Community Contributor
Planet Labs: At The Heart Of The Emerging New Space Boom
Planet Labs leads the EO market with the largest satellite constellation, poised to capitalize on the growing demand for Earth Observation and geospatial data from companies and governments. Plunging space launch and GPU computation costs combined with advancements in CubeSat and AI technologies are boosting the utility of Earth Observation data.
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US$11.31
FV
42.2% undervalued
intrinsic discount
30.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
18
users have liked this narrative
1
users have commented on this narrative
68
users have followed this narrative
7 days ago
author updated this narrative
Exxon Mobil
AG
Agricola
Community Contributor
Exxon in Guyana 5 year forecast Low $135 to High $189
Previous mistake rectified. So as pointed out in the comments, Chevron won the Hess bid (rather than Exxon) and took a large portion of the Stabroek block.
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US$174.00
FV
38.3% undervalued
intrinsic discount
12.97%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
4
users have liked this narrative
4
users have commented on this narrative
18
users have followed this narrative
Updated
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AeroVironment
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 9 Analysts
Rising Regulation And Export Limits Will Shrink Drone Markets
Key Takeaways Shifting government budgets and increased regulation threaten future demand, market access, and revenue diversification for AeroVironment. Rising competition, technology risks, and dependency on a few contracts could erode margins and make earnings highly unpredictable.
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US$157.27
FV
70.4% overvalued
intrinsic discount
45.97%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
12 days ago
author updated this narrative
PVH
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 14 Analysts
Legacy Brand Erosion And Shrinking Markets Will Challenge Stability
Key Takeaways Erosion of brand relevance and changing consumer values threaten PVH's pricing power, revenue stability, and long-term brand equity. Reliance on legacy wholesale channels and shrinking core markets heighten margin pressure and earnings volatility amid rapid industry disruption.
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US$64.00
FV
16.4% overvalued
intrinsic discount
0.93%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
12 days ago
author updated this narrative
AAK AB (publ.)
AN
AnalystHighTarget
Consensus Narrative from 8 Analysts
Plant-based Demand Will Unlock Premium Specialty Opportunities
Key Takeaways Strategic shift to value-added specialty oils and operational excellence initiatives set the stage for sustained margin and profit growth through innovation and efficiency gains. Local manufacturing expansion and strong ESG positioning drive diversification, premiumization, and future-proof AAK against evolving regulatory and market demands.
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SEK 380.00
FV
33.9% undervalued
intrinsic discount
3.41%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
12 days ago
author updated this narrative
Air Lease
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 6 Analysts
Air Travel Deceleration And Fleet Obsolescence Will Erode Value
Key Takeaways Growing regulation, supply chain issues, and increased competition threaten long-term fleet expansion, profit margins, and revenue growth. Advances in decarbonization could obsolete parts of the fleet, raising depreciation risks and potentially reducing future earnings.
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US$50.99
FV
8.2% overvalued
intrinsic discount
6.70%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
12 days ago
author updated this narrative
Schneider National
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 14 Analysts
Automation Shifts Will Expose Legacy Flaws Amid Nearshoring Upside
Key Takeaways Automation and autonomous trucking threaten Schneider's traditional business model, forcing costly capital investments and putting long-term profitability and competitiveness at risk. Shifting to tech-enabled, asset-light logistics and e-commerce models exposes Schneider to margin compression, customer attrition, and declining revenue growth.
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US$23.00
FV
6.0% overvalued
intrinsic discount
5.61%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
12 days ago
author updated this narrative
Flowers Foods
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 8 Analysts
Rising Costs And Consumer Shift Will Crush Core Bakery Business
Key Takeaways Shifting consumer preferences and rising private label competition are reducing demand, eroding market share, and undermining Flowers Foods' brand relevance. Escalating costs and overreliance on declining bread segments are compressing margins and threatening long-term profitability and growth prospects.
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US$14.00
FV
15.0% overvalued
intrinsic discount
2.25%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
2
users have followed this narrative
12 days ago
author updated this narrative
Berger Paints India
AN
AnalystHighTarget
Consensus Narrative from 21 Analysts
India Urbanization And Rising Incomes Will Fuel Decorative Paint Demand
Key Takeaways Accelerated expansion into underserved markets and innovation-driven product launches position Berger Paints for outperformance in both revenue and margin growth versus peers. Strong market share gains and disciplined capital management enable resilience and agility, setting the stage for sustained growth amid rising industry demand.
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₹660.00
FV
13.7% undervalued
intrinsic discount
11.50%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
12 days ago
author updated this narrative
ACI Worldwide
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 5 Analysts
Legacy Limitations Will Constrain Growth Yet Digital Solutions Offer Hope
Key Takeaways Slow migration from legacy systems and competition from agile fintechs threaten revenue stability and customer retention despite recent cloud and global expansion efforts. Heavy reliance on legacy deployments and concentration in banking and bill payment sectors expose margins and growth to sector downturns, contract risks, and volatile compliance costs.
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US$48.73
FV
14.0% undervalued
intrinsic discount
5.08%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
12 days ago
author updated this narrative
Krystal Biotech
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 10 Analysts
Uncertain Gene Therapy Dynamics Will Fuel Challenges Yet Spark Hope
Key Takeaways Reliance on Vyjuvek faces challenges from unpredictable patient treatment patterns, pricing pressures, and reimbursement risks, impacting both revenue visibility and long-term margin stability. Expanding into new indications through the pipeline and broader patient access drives costs and risk, particularly given high R&D investment and dependence on successful clinical outcomes.
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US$176.00
FV
23.3% undervalued
intrinsic discount
17.70%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
1
users have followed this narrative
12 days ago
author updated this narrative
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