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Alphabet
BL
BlackGoat
Community Contributor
Alphabet: The Under-appreciated Compounder Hiding in Plain Sight
Summary Google trades at ~18× forward earnings; the cheapest among the Magnificent 7 Market is too focused on AI threats to Search and antitrust noise Meanwhile, Google is executing across AI, Cloud, and YouTube Key AI differentiator: unmatched distribution across 3B+ users via Search, Gmail, YouTube, Android, Chrome, and Cloud Quietly building a world-class AI infrastructure behind the scenes; including proprietary TPUs and a vertically integrated stack YouTube generated $8.93B in Q1 ad revenue (up 10% YoY); subscriptions hit 270M Google Cloud revenue up 28% YoY to $12.3B; now profitable Optionality from long-term bets like Waymo, DeepMind, and Verily Risk/reward is compelling; a strong candidate to beat the market long term Overview Despite being part of the "Magnificent Seven," Google’s stock lags due to perceived risks around disruption of its Search business from AI competitors and mounting antitrust concerns. But under the hood, Google has quietly built one of the most compelling setups in tech: with deep AI leadership, multiple high-growth businesses, and optionality from long-term moonshots like Waymo.
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US$282.83
FV
31.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
9.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
19
users have liked this narrative
3
users have commented on this narrative
53
users have followed this narrative
Updated
narrative
Planet Labs PBC
AN
andreas_eliades
Community Contributor
Planet Labs: At The Heart Of The Emerging New Space Boom
Planet Labs leads the EO market with the largest satellite constellation, poised to capitalize on the growing demand for Earth Observation and geospatial data from companies and governments. Plunging space launch and GPU computation costs combined with advancements in CubeSat and AI technologies are boosting the utility of Earth Observation data.
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US$11.31
FV
44.7% undervalued
intrinsic discount
30.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
18
users have liked this narrative
1
users have commented on this narrative
58
users have followed this narrative
New
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Exxon Mobil
AG
Agricola
Community Contributor
Exxon in Guyana 5 year forecast Low $135 to High $189
Previous mistake rectified. So as pointed out in the comments, Chevron won the Hess bid (rather than Exxon) and took a large portion of the Stabroek block.
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US$174.00
FV
35.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
12.97%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
3
users have liked this narrative
4
users have commented on this narrative
13
users have followed this narrative
Updated
narrative
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GDS Holdings
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 19 Analysts
US China Tensions And Leverage Will Impair Data Center Rollout
Key Takeaways Geopolitical tensions, regulatory barriers, and rapid technological change threaten GDS Holdings' growth, profitability, and access to essential hardware and markets. High leverage, capital demands, and risk of overcapacity in key cities raise financial risk and limit margin and earnings expansion.
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US$28.98
FV
24.5% overvalued
intrinsic discount
12.75%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
9 days ago
author updated this narrative
Bizlink Holding
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 11 Analysts
US-China Tariffs And Tech Obsolescence Will Undermine Future Stability
Key Takeaways Heavy dependence on hyperscaler, AI growth, and concentrated clients exposes the company to significant revenue and demand volatility risks. Pressure from geopolitical, regulatory, and technology shifts could drive up costs, erode margins, and threaten competitiveness without rapid innovation.
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NT$507.69
FV
76.3% overvalued
intrinsic discount
12.26%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
9 days ago
author updated this narrative
Cosan
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 11 Analysts
Leverage And Regulation Will Test Valuation Though Renewables Brighten Prospects
Key Takeaways Exposure to policy shifts, commodity cycles, and high leverage increases financial uncertainty and risks to cash flow, margins, and dividend stability. Reliance on asset sales, complex structure, and governance challenges may hinder value creation, strategic flexibility, and capital allocation efficiency.
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R$8.00
FV
25.9% undervalued
intrinsic discount
60.17%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
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9 days ago
author updated this narrative
Inmobiliaria Colonial SOCIMI
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 17 Analysts
Persisting Risks And Rising Costs Will Depress Rental Yields
Key Takeaways Structural shifts toward remote work and oversupply risk threaten long-term occupancy, rental income, and asset values for Colonial's premium office portfolio. Tightening ESG requirements and rising financing costs compress margins, limit growth investment, and heighten pressure on future earnings and share performance.
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€5.14
FV
11.9% overvalued
intrinsic discount
-6.44%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
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9 days ago
author updated this narrative
Türkiye Sise Ve Cam Fabrikalari
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 9 Analysts
Persisting Cost Hikes And Competition Will Weaken Glass Margins
Key Takeaways Rising costs, currency risks, and capital intensity threaten profitability and financial flexibility, despite efforts to improve efficiency and expand exports. Competition from alternative packaging and shifting regulations could erode glass's market share, limiting long-term growth opportunities.
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₺40.00
FV
6.5% undervalued
intrinsic discount
29.92%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
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9 days ago
author updated this narrative
Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 16 Analysts
Aggressive Retail Expansion Will Erode Profitability Outlook
Key Takeaways Heavy dependence on physical store expansion exposes the company to risks from rising e-commerce adoption, fixed cost pressures, and potential overcapacity. ESG concerns, evolving consumer preferences, and intense competition threaten profitability, growth, and success of recently acquired or less sustainable brands.
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₹64.05
FV
15.2% overvalued
intrinsic discount
13.58%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
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9 days ago
author updated this narrative
Fortnox
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 4 Analysts
Tighter Regulation Will Squeeze Profit Margins While Upside Lingers
Key Takeaways Heavy reliance on price actions, acquisitions, and upselling existing customers threatens sustainable growth as core markets mature and competitive pressures mount. Rising compliance costs, regulatory changes, and talent competition risk eroding profitability and compressing margins in the medium term.
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SEK 40.00
FV
123.5% overvalued
intrinsic discount
21.41%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
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9 days ago
author updated this narrative
Wacker Chemie
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 14 Analysts
US Tariff Volatility And Rising Costs Will Erode Prospects
Key Takeaways Growing global protectionism and regulatory pressures threaten export revenue, raise compliance costs, and compress margins. Heavy reliance on cyclical polysilicon, commoditization by competitors, and high capital needs constrain profitability and the capacity for innovation.
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€52.00
FV
23.1% overvalued
intrinsic discount
0.61%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
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9 days ago
author updated this narrative
5021
Cosmo Energy Holdings
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 7 Analysts
Heavy Petroleum Exposure Will Suppress Margins But Renewables Will Revive
Key Takeaways Heavy reliance on petroleum and slow renewable scaling heighten vulnerability to climate policies, electrification, and margin erosion as global energy transitions accelerate. High capital expenditures and regulatory pressures, along with refining overcapacity and limited geographic diversification, threaten long-term profitability and earnings stability.
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JP¥6.76k
FV
0.07% overvalued
intrinsic discount
-8.69%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
9 days ago
author updated this narrative
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