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Alphabet
BL
BlackGoat
Community Contributor
Alphabet: The Under-appreciated Compounder Hiding in Plain Sight
Summary Google trades at ~18× forward earnings; the cheapest among the Magnificent 7 Market is too focused on AI threats to Search and antitrust noise Meanwhile, Google is executing across AI, Cloud, and YouTube Key AI differentiator: unmatched distribution across 3B+ users via Search, Gmail, YouTube, Android, Chrome, and Cloud Quietly building a world-class AI infrastructure behind the scenes; including proprietary TPUs and a vertically integrated stack YouTube generated $8.93B in Q1 ad revenue (up 10% YoY); subscriptions hit 270M Google Cloud revenue up 28% YoY to $12.3B; now profitable Optionality from long-term bets like Waymo, DeepMind, and Verily Risk/reward is compelling; a strong candidate to beat the market long term Overview Despite being part of the "Magnificent Seven," Google’s stock lags due to perceived risks around disruption of its Search business from AI competitors and mounting antitrust concerns. But under the hood, Google has quietly built one of the most compelling setups in tech: with deep AI leadership, multiple high-growth businesses, and optionality from long-term moonshots like Waymo.
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US$282.83
FV
32.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
9.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
19
users have liked this narrative
3
users have commented on this narrative
57
users have followed this narrative
Updated
narrative
Planet Labs PBC
AN
andreas_eliades
Community Contributor
Planet Labs: At The Heart Of The Emerging New Space Boom
Planet Labs leads the EO market with the largest satellite constellation, poised to capitalize on the growing demand for Earth Observation and geospatial data from companies and governments. Plunging space launch and GPU computation costs combined with advancements in CubeSat and AI technologies are boosting the utility of Earth Observation data.
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US$11.31
FV
45.4% undervalued
intrinsic discount
30.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
18
users have liked this narrative
1
users have commented on this narrative
61
users have followed this narrative
New
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Exxon Mobil
AG
Agricola
Community Contributor
Exxon in Guyana 5 year forecast Low $135 to High $189
Previous mistake rectified. So as pointed out in the comments, Chevron won the Hess bid (rather than Exxon) and took a large portion of the Stabroek block.
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US$174.00
FV
37.0% undervalued
intrinsic discount
12.97%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
3
users have liked this narrative
4
users have commented on this narrative
15
users have followed this narrative
Updated
narrative
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Alpha Bank
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 14 Analysts
Fintech Competition And Compliance Will Shrink Future Margins
Key Takeaways Rising competition, weak credit demand, and persistent non-performing exposures will pressure Alpha Bank's revenue growth and profitability. Regulatory and macroeconomic factors are likely to increase operating costs and further constrain Alpha Bank's loan growth and net interest margins.
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€2.50
FV
31.6% overvalued
intrinsic discount
13.12%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
10 days ago
author updated this narrative
Multi Commodity Exchange of India
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 9 Analysts
Normalizing Volatility And Soaring Costs Will Challenge Future Prospects
Key Takeaways Trading growth fueled by exceptional volatility is unlikely to persist, exposing revenue to declines as market conditions normalize and one-off events subside. High technology and compliance costs, combined with concentration in key commodities and regulatory headwinds, threaten both margins and long-term competitive strength.
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₹5.75k
FV
32.1% overvalued
intrinsic discount
17.73%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
10 days ago
author updated this narrative
Whitehaven Coal
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 15 Analysts
Stricter Carbon Taxes And Reserve Depletion Will Undermine Coal Prospects
Key Takeaways Rapid global decarbonization and renewables adoption threaten Whitehaven Coal's demand, profitability, and pricing power, raising doubt about long-term earnings stability. Regulatory tightening, rising compliance costs, and dependence on a shrinking set of coal markets place downward pressure on cash flow, margins, and future growth capacity.
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AU$5.30
FV
20.8% overvalued
intrinsic discount
1.67%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
10 days ago
author updated this narrative
Gujarat Gas
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 27 Analysts
India's Renewables Surge Will Erode Morbi Gas Revenues
Key Takeaways Accelerating renewables adoption and electrification threaten long-term demand for natural gas, risking Gujarat Gas's core business and revenue growth. Heavy reliance on one industrial cluster and volatile gas sourcing increases risks to profitability and earnings stability.
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₹380.00
FV
12.5% overvalued
intrinsic discount
9.28%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
10 days ago
author updated this narrative
PGE Polska Grupa Energetyczna
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 7 Analysts
Strict EU Decarbonization Will Burden Coal-Fired Assets
Key Takeaways Heavy dependence on coal exposes PGE to rising carbon costs, stricter regulations, and potential asset write-downs, threatening margins and long-term profitability. Rapid growth in renewables and grid defection, combined with potential transition delays, could lead to declining demand, increased debt, and weaker future earnings.
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zł6.50
FV
84.2% overvalued
intrinsic discount
-12.44%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
10 days ago
author updated this narrative
Tomra Systems
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 7 Analysts
Falling Plastic Demand Will Crush Margins Amid Rising Asian Competition
Key Takeaways Declining plastic usage, new recycling models, and increased competition threaten Tomra's core business and long-term growth prospects. Heightened regulatory, economic, and supply chain uncertainties undermine revenue stability, margin strength, and forward visibility.
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NOK 130.07
FV
8.9% overvalued
intrinsic discount
12.94%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
10 days ago
author updated this narrative
Lifco
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 4 Analysts
Systems Solutions And Demolition Tools Will Open New Opportunities
Key Takeaways Strong organic growth in Systems Solutions is driving revenue, despite near-term margin pressures, supported by improved efficiencies in Demolition & Tools. Disciplined management and strategic acquisitions are enhancing earnings growth, with potential for long-term margin expansion through targeted high-value niche markets.
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SEK 395.50
FV
14.1% undervalued
intrinsic discount
10.94%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
13
users have followed this narrative
10 days ago
author updated this narrative
Huaneng Power International
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 12 Analysts
Investments In Clean Energy And Efficiency Strategies To Boost Profitability
Key Takeaways Significant investment in clean energy and renewable capacity aims to boost revenue and enhance long-term profitability by reducing coal reliance. Improved operational efficiency and expanded green financing strategy are set to increase net margins and positively impact earnings.
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HK$5.43
FV
2.5% undervalued
intrinsic discount
1.02%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
1
users have followed this narrative
10 days ago
author updated this narrative
NN Group
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 15 Analysts
Early Target Achievement And AI Adoption Will Improve Future Prospects
Key Takeaways Strong commercial momentum in Europe and Non-life segments, along with sustainability investments, enhances NN Group's growth, revenue, and earnings prospects. Management's strategic actions on capital return, reinsurance, and AI implementation bolster shareholder value, net margins, and customer satisfaction.
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€60.19
FV
3.6% undervalued
intrinsic discount
6.73%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
58
users have followed this narrative
10 days ago
author updated this narrative
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