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Global Community
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Global Weekly Picks
Novo Nordisk
BA
bactrian
Community Contributor
A Quality Compounder Marked Down on Overblown Fears
Novo Nordisk , a global leader in diabetes and obesity treatments, is trading at a deep discount to both its historical multiples and intrinsic value. The ADR is now priced at $47.05 , reflecting a normalized P/E ratio of just 13.4× , down from a five-year average closer to 25–30×.
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US$120.72
FV
57.7% undervalued
intrinsic discount
15.71%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
26
users have liked this narrative
7
users have commented on this narrative
73
users have followed this narrative
New
narrative
ASML Holding
IN
Investingwilly
Community Contributor
Why Now is the Time to buy ASML
What Does ASML Do? ASML Holding N.V. is a Dutch company and the world’s only supplier of extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography machines —a critical technology used to produce the world’s most advanced computer chips.
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US$1.00k
FV
28.0% undervalued
intrinsic discount
15.17%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
35
users have liked this narrative
6
users have commented on this narrative
96
users have followed this narrative
Updated
narrative
Wyndham Hotels & Resorts
ZW
Zwfis
Community Contributor
Wyndham Continues Global Expansion with 19% Ancillary Revenue Growth
WH is a company that I actually took interest in a couple of months ago when I happened to stay at one of their franchise hotels. I had to leave early in the morning at like 4 and when I went out to the parking lot I was astounded that in the little town I was was absolutely full.
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US$105.80
FV
20.6% undervalued
intrinsic discount
13.23%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
7
users have liked this narrative
2
users have commented on this narrative
15
users have followed this narrative
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Apple
BA
Bailey
Equity Analyst
EU Regulations And Poor Emerging Market Strategy Will Erode Margins And Limit Sales Growth
Key Takeaways Over-reliance on new market penetration could prove to be unfruitful, while the world continues to grapple with cost-of-living pressures. Poor emerging market strategy could lead to failure in India and South America due to prohibitive costs.
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US$207.71
FV
10.4% overvalued
intrinsic discount
6.39%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
74
users have liked this narrative
18
users have commented on this narrative
36
users have followed this narrative
9 months ago
author updated this narrative
Starbucks
GO
Goran_Damchevski
Equity Analyst
International Store Growth To Sustain Revenue Growth Despite Labour Headwinds
Key Takeaways Store growth plans to increase by 74% internationally, but only 12% in the US. Coffee demand is expected to be a tailwind for revenues longer term, growing at a stable 4.2%.
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US$86.27
FV
6.8% overvalued
intrinsic discount
5.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
20
users have liked this narrative
4
users have commented on this narrative
10
users have followed this narrative
10 months ago
author updated this narrative
Alphabet
GO
Goran_Damchevski
Equity Analyst
A Fracturing Search Market and Lack of Monetization Will Slow Revenue Growth
Key Takeaways Alphabet has challenges in its search business unaccounted for by investors Alphabet’s best bet is to focus on the Cloud, but it’s an uphill battle AI will contribute to revenue growth, but profitability may come later Cloud and AI industries to grow, but analysts may have extrapolated too much Catalysts Company Catalysts AI Moat Lies In Proprietary Data Not Models A leaked Google internal memo outlines some controversial thinking inside the company. The anonymous employee argues that smaller peers are rapidly producing Large Language Models (LLM) models that can yield comparable results to Bard and GPT-4, with the added benefit of being cheaper to produce.
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US$216.56
FV
7.0% undervalued
intrinsic discount
10.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
52
users have liked this narrative
13
users have commented on this narrative
36
users have followed this narrative
9 months ago
author updated this narrative
Enphase Energy
GO
Goran_Damchevski
Equity Analyst
Market Leadership Amidst Increasing Competition Won't Hurt Solid Revenue Growth
Key Takeaways Electricity prices, incentives (tax credits, net metering) and technology advancements will drive sales. Microinverters are gaining traction but their advantage over traditional inverters is unclear.
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US$76.86
FV
57.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
24.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
5
users have liked this narrative
2
users have commented on this narrative
11
users have followed this narrative
10 months ago
author updated this narrative
Visa
GO
Goran_Damchevski
Equity Analyst
Regulation and Market Maturity Will Limit Earnings Growth Potential
Key Takeaways Well-positioned to benefit from the continued growth of digital payments and the international market Investing heavily in B2B and cross border payments for new revenue growth Has a wide moat, and a large serviceable market, but investor expectations are already high Additionally the Credit Card Competition Act could be a major negative catalyst Risks to my narrative include stronger than expected US consumer, and increased use of Visa network from future Fintech. Catalysts The Benefits of Visa’s Global Reach Visa processes more than $11.6 trillion in gross dollar volume (GDV), made up primarily of digital payments with the remainder being things like ATM withdrawals, B2B transactions, etc.
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US$243.09
FV
38.5% overvalued
intrinsic discount
9.10%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
7
users have liked this narrative
1
users have commented on this narrative
15
users have followed this narrative
9 months ago
author updated this narrative
Ford Motor
BA
Bailey
Equity Analyst
Rising Labor Costs, Tight Competition And Stricter Credit Conditions Put Pressure On EBIT
Key Takeaways Ford’s failure to launch a meaningful EV campaign will see them lose out in Europe and Asia. Increase labor costs following Union strikes will put pressure on Automotive EBIT margins Strict credit conditions over the next few years will hurt Ford’s sales volumes and financing margins Catalysts Rising Competition In EV Market Will Limit Sales Growth Trajectory Ford was one of the many manufacturers that have had to realign their focus with climate action in mind.
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US$9.70
FV
16.7% overvalued
intrinsic discount
3.50%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
6
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
9
users have followed this narrative
9 months ago
author updated this narrative
Bank of America
RI
Richard_Bowman
Equity Analyst and Writer
Underwater Bond Holdings Will Squeeze its Net Interest Margin
Key Takeaways Banks are being forced to offer higher rates to keep deposits. Lending will remain slow, which will squeeze net interest margins.
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US$44.16
FV
4.2% overvalued
intrinsic discount
2.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
5
users have liked this narrative
1
users have commented on this narrative
14
users have followed this narrative
9 months ago
author updated this narrative
Berkshire Hathaway
GO
Goran_Damchevski
Equity Analyst
The Berkshire Success Recipe: Concentrated Portfolio With Diversified Operations
Berkshire has managed to find a balance between a diversified business and an alpha-rich portfolio. The company’s efficiency is reflected in its low risk, which also limits growth.
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US$604.20k
FV
15.5% overvalued
intrinsic discount
3.60%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
4
users have liked this narrative
3
users have commented on this narrative
30
users have followed this narrative
8 months ago
author updated this narrative
Intel
BA
Bailey
Equity Analyst
Increased Competition In The Consumer And Commercial CPU Markets Will Impact Top Line Growth
Key Takeaways Poor thermal and energy efficiency will see Intel lose out to AMD in the server CPU market AMD and ARM will take market share from Intel in the consumer CPU segment Intel will see Notebook OEMs switching to AMD and ARM based chips for their efficiency gains Intel’s Arc GPUs won’t be able to catch up to Nvidia, leaving them without the scope to focus on AI Catalysts Struggling in the Data Center Market: Xeon SP CPUs Losing Ground As AMD Steps Up Intel's dominance in the data center CPU market has been a significant pillar of its success over the years, contributing around 30% to the company’s total sales. INTC Revenue & Earnings Breakdown - Simply Wall St However, recent trends suggest a concerning shift.
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US$19.66
FV
1.5% overvalued
intrinsic discount
3.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
43
users have liked this narrative
10
users have commented on this narrative
23
users have followed this narrative
9 months ago
author updated this narrative
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