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Global Weekly Picks
Airbnb
TI
TickerTickle
Community Contributor
Airbnb (ABNB): Still one of the most interesting bets in travel
Key insights Airbnb is changing from a travel-only app to a full lifestyle platform (stays, rentals, experiences) International markets are growing faster than the US, which is slowing down Product experience is improving a lot, with AI making search and booking easier Regulations are becoming a big risk, especially in Europe where listings are getting removed The way people move around the world has changed. It’s not only about holidays anymore.
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US$163.75
FV
23.9% undervalued
intrinsic discount
12.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
11
users have liked this narrative
1
users have commented on this narrative
39
users have followed this narrative
New
narrative
ING Groep
PI
PittTheYounger
Community Contributor
ING leads the pack when it comes to pivoting towards non-lending income
ING, of course, is a bank; and banks don't like falling interest rates, right? For the dominant stream of income is their core business model, i.e. borrowing short-term and lending long-term, reaping the difference in interest rates in the process.
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€27.92
FV
23.7% undervalued
intrinsic discount
9.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
5
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
14
users have followed this narrative
New
narrative
Coles Group
RO
Robbo
Community Contributor
Coles (ASX: COL): Safe, Steady, and Surprisingly Cheap
The supermarket chain Coles is the kind of “boring” business that may have been overlooked as an investment opportunity. Although it was divested from Wesfarmers in 2018, Coles’ heritage traces back to 1914 — giving it over 110 years of history.
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AU$22.00
FV
4.3% undervalued
intrinsic discount
8.72%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
5
users have liked this narrative
2
users have commented on this narrative
15
users have followed this narrative
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Akamai Technologies
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 23 Analysts
Hyperscale Shifts Will Squeeze Edge And Security Prospects
Key Takeaways Increased competition from hyperscale public cloud vendors and open-source solutions threatens Akamai's market share, revenue growth, and recurring revenue prospects. Regulatory pressures and industry commoditization are raising compliance and infrastructure costs, compressing margins, and limiting profitability and expansion opportunities.
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US$66.00
FV
12.5% overvalued
intrinsic discount
4.99%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
1
users have followed this narrative
6 days ago
author updated this narrative
Baxter International
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 15 Analysts
Global Healthcare Spending And Aging Will Squeeze Hospital Revenues
Key Takeaways Transition to preventive and at-home care, combined with regulatory and competitive pressures, is shrinking demand and margins for Baxter's core hospital-based businesses. Portfolio restructuring and operational disruptions risk eroding scale, profit streams, and cross-segment benefits, compounding growth and profitability challenges.
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US$19.00
FV
28.7% overvalued
intrinsic discount
2.79%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
6 days ago
author updated this narrative
Sirius XM Holdings
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 14 Analysts
On-demand Streaming Will Shrink Legacy Subscription Revenue Base
Key Takeaways Accelerating consumer shift to streaming and connected vehicles threatens Sirius XM's subscriber growth, retention, and addressable market. Escalating content costs and auto industry changes are pressuring margins and increasing risks to future earnings and customer acquisition.
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US$18.00
FV
30.5% overvalued
intrinsic discount
-1.04%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
6 days ago
author updated this narrative
Hewlett Packard Enterprise
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 17 Analysts
DOJ Lawsuit And Tariffs Will Hurt Future Profitability
Key Takeaways The DOJ lawsuit and tariffs create uncertainty and pressure on HPE's synergies, earnings, and supply chain, challenging future revenue growth. Workforce reductions and server market pressures could suppress margins and earnings, despite planned savings and strategy alignment efforts.
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US$16.00
FV
33.3% overvalued
intrinsic discount
9.52%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
1
users have followed this narrative
6 days ago
author updated this narrative
Iron Mountain
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 10 Analysts
Falling Legacy Demand Will Burden Data Center Margins
Key Takeaways Accelerating cloud adoption and digital transformation threaten legacy revenue streams and intensify competition in Iron Mountain's growing digital and data center business. Scaling digital operations and meeting sustainability standards increases costs and leverage, squeezing margins and straining the company's financial flexibility and pricing power.
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US$61.40
FV
48.9% overvalued
intrinsic discount
6.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
6 days ago
author updated this narrative
Align Technology
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 14 Analysts
Rising Costs And Discounting Will Erode Clear Aligner Margins
Key Takeaways Higher interest rates and strained consumer finances are reducing demand for Invisalign, particularly as alternatives become more attractive globally. Rising competition and commoditization are eroding pricing power, forcing more discounting and putting persistent pressure on profitability and margins.
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US$140.00
FV
2.1% overvalued
intrinsic discount
1.58%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
1
users have followed this narrative
6 days ago
author updated this narrative
W. R. Berkley
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 15 Analysts
Increasing Climate Catastrophes And Market Risks Will Disrupt Underwriting Margins
Key Takeaways Heavy specialty insurance focus and limited international diversification increase vulnerability to regulatory shifts, economic headwinds, and niche market downturns. Intensifying competition, rising catastrophe risks, and compliance pressures threaten profitability, pricing power, and future earnings stability.
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US$57.27
FV
25.0% overvalued
intrinsic discount
-0.63%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
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6 days ago
author updated this narrative
Expedia Group
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 33 Analysts
Google Pressure And Direct Bookings Will Erode Travel Margins
Key Takeaways Rising customer acquisition costs and declining commissions are expected to compress margins and constrain Expedia's long-term earnings growth. Increasing direct bookings with hotels and airlines, along with regulatory scrutiny, could lead to stagnant transaction volumes and higher operating expenses.
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US$168.00
FV
23.3% overvalued
intrinsic discount
5.42%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
1
users have followed this narrative
6 days ago
author updated this narrative
Rollins
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 11 Analysts
Harsher Regulations And AI Disruption Will Reduce Profitability
Key Takeaways Growing regulatory pressure and ESG expectations are raising costs, squeezing margins, and requiring Rollins to invest in alternative pest control solutions. Technological disruption and intensified competition from new entrants and private equity are threatening Rollins' traditional revenue base and slowing long-term growth prospects.
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US$44.00
FV
30.5% overvalued
intrinsic discount
7.85%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
6 days ago
author updated this narrative
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