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Global Weekly Picks

US$60
FV
90.4% undervalued intrinsic discount
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EVO logo
Evolution

King of the Live Casino

Evolution Gaming - King of the Live Casino Evolution Gaming is the leading B2B provider of live casino solutions. They power the online games you love!Read more

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SEK 1.96k
67.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
SuEric's Fair Value
Revenue
20% p.a.
Profit Margin
48%
Future PE
18x
Price in 2030
SEK 2.62k
PDD logo
PDD Holdings

PDD Holdings will see accelerating growth with a 74% price target increase

Executive Summary Based on exceptional recent execution and accelerating growth metrics, we revise our 12-month price target for PDD Holdings to $165.00, representing approximately 74% upside from the current price of $94.68. Recent Performance Highlights Q3 2024 demonstrated remarkable acceleration across key metrics: Transaction services revenue surged 72% year-over-year, significantly outpacing expectations Operating profit increased 46% to RMB 24.3 billion with expanding margins Net income growth accelerated to 61% year-over-year Cash position strengthened to $44 billion, providing substantial strategic flexibility Key Growth Catalysts International Expansion: Temu's semi-entrusted model showing stronger-than-anticipated margin improvement Geographic footprint expanded to 70+ countries with robust user acquisition metrics Customer acquisition costs decreased 22% quarter-over-quarter Platform Economics: Take rate expanded to 3.8%, demonstrating pricing power Monthly active users exceeded 900 million in Q4 2024 Merchant retention rate stable at 89% despite take rate increases Risk Assessment Near-term Challenges: EU's VLOP designation may require additional compliance investments Potential changes to U.S. de minimis import rules Intensifying competition in cross-border e-commerce Revised Valuation Analysis Given the acceleration in key metrics, we apply a 10x FY2024E EV/EBITDA multiple (up from 8x), still below high-growth internet peers at 12-15x.Read more

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US$165
32.1% undervalued intrinsic discount
Maxell's Fair Value
Revenue
-6.3% p.a.
Profit Margin
25%
Future PE
30x
Price in 2028
US$221.8
US$54.08
31.4% undervalued intrinsic discount
julio's Fair Value
Revenue
8% p.a.
Profit Margin
15%
Future PE
15.18x
Price in 2033
US$128.02
€199.98
77.3% undervalued intrinsic discount
DrPotato's Fair Value
Revenue
1% p.a.
Profit Margin
4%
Future PE
10x
Price in 2030
€277.36
US$111.57
44.7% undervalued intrinsic discount
StjepanK's Fair Value
Revenue
5% p.a.
Profit Margin
13%
Future PE
30x
Price in 2028
US$167.76
US$97.59
12.5% undervalued intrinsic discount
StjepanK's Fair Value
Revenue
8.3% p.a.
Profit Margin
10.5%
Future PE
30x
Price in 2028
US$144.73