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Weekly Picks
Alphabet
BL
BlackGoat
Community Contributor
Alphabet: The Under-appreciated Compounder Hiding in Plain Sight
Summary Google trades at ~18× forward earnings; the cheapest among the Magnificent 7 Market is too focused on AI threats to Search and antitrust noise Meanwhile, Google is executing across AI, Cloud, and YouTube Key AI differentiator: unmatched distribution across 3B+ users via Search, Gmail, YouTube, Android, Chrome, and Cloud Quietly building a world-class AI infrastructure behind the scenes; including proprietary TPUs and a vertically integrated stack YouTube generated $8.93B in Q1 ad revenue (up 10% YoY); subscriptions hit 270M Google Cloud revenue up 28% YoY to $12.3B; now profitable Optionality from long-term bets like Waymo, DeepMind, and Verily Risk/reward is compelling; a strong candidate to beat the market long term Overview Despite being part of the "Magnificent Seven," Google’s stock lags due to perceived risks around disruption of its Search business from AI competitors and mounting antitrust concerns. But under the hood, Google has quietly built one of the most compelling setups in tech: with deep AI leadership, multiple high-growth businesses, and optionality from long-term moonshots like Waymo.
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US$282.83
FV
32.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
9.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
23
users have liked this narrative
3
users have commented on this narrative
59
users have followed this narrative
Updated
narrative
Planet Labs PBC
AN
andreas_eliades
Community Contributor
Planet Labs: At The Heart Of The Emerging New Space Boom
Planet Labs leads the EO market with the largest satellite constellation, poised to capitalize on the growing demand for Earth Observation and geospatial data from companies and governments. Plunging space launch and GPU computation costs combined with advancements in CubeSat and AI technologies are boosting the utility of Earth Observation data.
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US$11.31
FV
45.4% undervalued
intrinsic discount
30.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
18
users have liked this narrative
1
users have commented on this narrative
62
users have followed this narrative
New
narrative
Exxon Mobil
AG
Agricola
Community Contributor
Exxon in Guyana 5 year forecast Low $135 to High $189
Previous mistake rectified. So as pointed out in the comments, Chevron won the Hess bid (rather than Exxon) and took a large portion of the Stabroek block.
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US$174.00
FV
37.0% undervalued
intrinsic discount
12.97%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
3
users have liked this narrative
4
users have commented on this narrative
16
users have followed this narrative
Updated
narrative
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Ser Educacional
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 7 Analysts
Declining Demographics And Rising Edtech Competition Will Squeeze Margins
Key Takeaways Declining demographics and rising demand for alternative credentials threaten traditional enrollment and revenue growth. Limited geographic presence and increasing competition expose the company to volatile earnings and shrinking profitability.
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R$5.00
FV
60.4% overvalued
intrinsic discount
5.70%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
10 days ago
author updated this narrative
Tamarack Valley Energy
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 11 Analysts
ESG Mandates And Renewables Will Erode Oil Margins
Key Takeaways Structural industry shifts and regulatory pressures will diminish Tamarack Valley Energy's revenues, margins, and growth prospects over time. Increasing ESG demands and costly operations will restrict capital access, strain cash flow, and challenge long-term profitability.
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CA$5.25
FV
1.1% overvalued
intrinsic discount
-3.05%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
10 days ago
author updated this narrative
Centrus Energy
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 14 Analysts
Overvaluation Will Diminish Nuclear Prospects Amid Rising Regulatory Burdens
Key Takeaways High dependence on a few federal and utility contracts creates substantial revenue volatility and exposure to policy-driven risk. Rising operational costs, regulatory pressures, and infrastructure needs threaten long-term earnings and may necessitate significant outside capital.
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US$102.00
FV
104.3% overvalued
intrinsic discount
-2.27%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
1
users have followed this narrative
10 days ago
author updated this narrative
Restore
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 9 Analysts
Traditional Records Management Will Decline While Efficiency Gains Lessen Impact
Key Takeaways Ongoing shift to digital and cloud-based solutions threatens the sustainability of Restore's core physical storage business and limits long-term growth prospects. High fixed costs, regulatory risks, and integration challenges from acquisitions may prevent margin gains and threaten earnings resilience.
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UK£3.00
FV
11.7% undervalued
intrinsic discount
13.05%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
10 days ago
author updated this narrative
A067
Soop
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 19 Analysts
Increasing Regulation And Costs Will Erode Digital Platform Prospects
Key Takeaways Increased regulatory scrutiny and changing user attitudes are limiting Soop's data-driven ad revenue, while cultural barriers are slowing platform growth and retention. Rising content and compliance costs amid intense competition are pressuring margins, with audience fragmentation reducing Soop's ability to scale and monetize effectively.
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₩81.24k
FV
3.6% undervalued
intrinsic discount
10.62%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
10 days ago
author updated this narrative
Redox
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 4 Analysts
Margin Compression In Specialty Chemicals Will Pressure Operations Yet Stabilize
Key Takeaways Increased regulatory scrutiny and sustainability trends threaten to raise costs and may force Redox to adjust its portfolio, potentially impacting profits and margins. Digital commerce and direct sourcing trends, alongside integration and supply chain risks, could erode traditional distributor value and constrain top-line growth.
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AU$2.68
FV
14.9% undervalued
intrinsic discount
13.69%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
10 days ago
author updated this narrative
Ternium
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 12 Analysts
Rising Regulations And Capex Burdens Will Erode Steel Prospects
Key Takeaways Regulatory pressures and industry overcapacity will squeeze margins, necessitating costly decarbonization and limiting the ability to pass on rising costs. Dependence on unstable Latin American markets and technological shifts may disrupt demand, increase capital needs, and create volatility in returns.
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US$26.00
FV
22.9% overvalued
intrinsic discount
0.80%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
1
users have followed this narrative
10 days ago
author updated this narrative
Zee Entertainment Enterprises
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 17 Analysts
Digital Migration Will Erode Linear TV Revenues Despite ZEE5 Gains
Key Takeaways Structural shifts to digital viewing and global streaming competition are eroding Zee's core broadcast revenues and threatening long-term market leadership. Struggles with digital transformation, costly content investments, and shrinking TV ad spend risk sustained margin pressure and continued earnings decline.
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₹98.00
FV
18.7% overvalued
intrinsic discount
5.11%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
10 days ago
author updated this narrative
WELL Health Technologies
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 14 Analysts
Integration Risks Will Burden Canadian Clinics But Unlock Future Value
Key Takeaways Integration challenges, regulatory burdens, and operational complexity may restrict margin improvements and slow the scalability of WELL's digital healthcare initiatives. Heavy reliance on Canadian market expansion and successful subsidiary IPOs introduces concentration risk, especially amid tough competition and evolving regulatory landscapes.
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CA$5.59
FV
17.2% undervalued
intrinsic discount
22.30%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
10 days ago
author updated this narrative
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