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Global Weekly Picks
Airbnb
TI
TickerTickle
Community Contributor
Airbnb (ABNB): Still one of the most interesting bets in travel
Key insights Airbnb is changing from a travel-only app to a full lifestyle platform (stays, rentals, experiences) International markets are growing faster than the US, which is slowing down Product experience is improving a lot, with AI making search and booking easier Regulations are becoming a big risk, especially in Europe where listings are getting removed The way people move around the world has changed. It’s not only about holidays anymore.
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US$163.75
FV
23.9% undervalued
intrinsic discount
12.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
11
users have liked this narrative
1
users have commented on this narrative
39
users have followed this narrative
New
narrative
ING Groep
PI
PittTheYounger
Community Contributor
ING leads the pack when it comes to pivoting towards non-lending income
ING, of course, is a bank; and banks don't like falling interest rates, right? For the dominant stream of income is their core business model, i.e. borrowing short-term and lending long-term, reaping the difference in interest rates in the process.
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€27.92
FV
23.7% undervalued
intrinsic discount
9.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
5
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
14
users have followed this narrative
New
narrative
Coles Group
RO
Robbo
Community Contributor
Coles (ASX: COL): Safe, Steady, and Surprisingly Cheap
The supermarket chain Coles is the kind of “boring” business that may have been overlooked as an investment opportunity. Although it was divested from Wesfarmers in 2018, Coles’ heritage traces back to 1914 — giving it over 110 years of history.
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AU$22.00
FV
4.3% undervalued
intrinsic discount
8.72%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
5
users have liked this narrative
2
users have commented on this narrative
15
users have followed this narrative
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CNX Resources
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 13 Analysts
Appalachian Oversupply Will Squeeze Margins Though Data Centers Assist
Key Takeaways Structural decline in natural gas demand and rising renewables adoption threaten long-term revenue, cash flow, and pricing for CNX Resources. Regulatory, geographic, and competitive pressures increase cost, risk, and earnings volatility, limiting margin expansion and capital returns.
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US$26.00
FV
10.5% overvalued
intrinsic discount
4.77%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
6 days ago
author updated this narrative
Clear Secure
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 8 Analysts
Rising Regulatory Backlash Will Choke Digital Identity Markets
Key Takeaways Regulatory, privacy, and cybersecurity pressures will increase operational costs, hinder growth, and squeeze profit margins across core business lines. Shifting travel behaviors and competition from both private and government sectors threaten market size, partnership stability, and recurring revenues.
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US$25.00
FV
35.2% overvalued
intrinsic discount
7.85%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
6 days ago
author updated this narrative
Kilroy Realty
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 15 Analysts
West Coast Office Markets Will Crumble Under Mounting Vacancy Pressures
Key Takeaways Declining office demand, tenant downsizing, and tech sector risks are pressuring occupancy, earnings stability, and leasing volumes in Kilroy's core urban markets. Rising capital needs for property upgrades and ESG compliance, along with asset value declines from market oversupply, are squeezing margins and long-term returns.
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US$33.00
FV
16.2% overvalued
intrinsic discount
-0.25%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
6 days ago
author updated this narrative
Rayonier
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 7 Analysts
Rising Regulatory Burdens And Oversupply Will Erode Timber Markets
Key Takeaways Long-term demand for traditional timber is shrinking while rising costs and stricter climate regulations are squeezing margins and earnings growth. Heavy reliance on vulnerable regions and scarce, expensive acquisitions limit future growth, exposing revenues to environmental and market risks.
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US$26.00
FV
2.1% overvalued
intrinsic discount
-30.08%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
6 days ago
author updated this narrative
Box
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 8 Analysts
Competition From Microsoft 365 And Google Workspace Will Crush Margins
Key Takeaways Intense competition from integrated productivity suites and commoditized storage pressures Box's pricing power, margins, and customer retention. Regulatory barriers and lack of clear product differentiation hinder Box's global growth and make revenue increasingly volatile and unpredictable.
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US$24.00
FV
29.3% overvalued
intrinsic discount
8.34%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
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6 days ago
author updated this narrative
Caterpillar
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 23 Analysts
Rising Tariffs And Decarbonization Will Crimp Long-Term Margins
Key Takeaways Trade protectionism and rising compliance costs threaten Caterpillar's margins, while evolving industry dynamics accelerate price competition and commoditization. Shrinking demand for traditional equipment, due to decarbonization and sluggish infrastructure spending, limits growth in Caterpillar's core markets.
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US$342.00
FV
22.1% overvalued
intrinsic discount
2.07%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
2
users have followed this narrative
6 days ago
author updated this narrative
Netflix
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 40 Analysts
Escalating Content Costs And Regulatory Burdens Will Weigh On Margins
Key Takeaways Escalating content costs and competition threaten profit margins, while regulatory and operational pressures are set to further erode Netflix's long-term earnings potential. Slowing subscriber growth and rising consumer price sensitivity, amid fierce competition and alternative entertainment, increase churn risk and undermine future revenue expansion.
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US$984.24
FV
25.0% overvalued
intrinsic discount
11.44%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
1
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
5
users have followed this narrative
6 days ago
author updated this narrative
Tesla
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 40 Analysts
Fading EV Credits And Tariff Pressures Will Diminish Prospects
Key Takeaways Waning policy incentives, rising costs from tariffs, and regulatory hurdles threaten sales, margins, and international growth for both Tesla's vehicle and energy divisions. Intensifying competition and commoditization in EV and autonomous tech, alongside slow ramp in new products, risk eroding Tesla's industry leadership and future profitability.
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US$115.00
FV
191.8% overvalued
intrinsic discount
4.36%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
1
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
12
users have followed this narrative
6 days ago
author updated this narrative
NVIDIA
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 56 Analysts
Data Center, Automotive And Blackwell Sectors Will Shape Future Success
Key Takeaways Heavy reliance on the U.S. market for data center tech poses risks to international revenue growth due to potential regulatory changes. NVIDIA's automotive and gaming sectors face growth challenges, impacting revenue projections and highlighting supply and geopolitical constraints.
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US$131.46
FV
38.5% overvalued
intrinsic discount
20.05%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
1
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
40
users have followed this narrative
6 days ago
author updated this narrative
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