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Alphabet
BL
BlackGoat
Community Contributor
Alphabet: The Under-appreciated Compounder Hiding in Plain Sight
Summary Google trades at ~18× forward earnings — the cheapest among the Magnificent 7 Market is too focused on AI threats to Search and antitrust noise Meanwhile, Google is executing across AI, Cloud, and YouTube Key AI differentiator: unmatched distribution across 3B+ users via Search, Gmail, YouTube, Android, Chrome, and Cloud Quietly building a world-class AI infrastructure behind the scenes — including proprietary TPUs and a vertically integrated stack YouTube generated $8.93B in Q1 ad revenue (up 10% YoY); subscriptions hit 270M Google Cloud revenue up 28% YoY to $12.3B — now profitable Optionality from long-term bets like Waymo, DeepMind, and Verily Risk/reward is compelling — a strong candidate to beat the market long term Overview Despite being part of the "Magnificent Seven," Google’s stock lags due to perceived risks around disruption of its Search business from AI competitors and mounting antitrust concerns. But under the hood, Google has quietly built one of the most compelling setups in tech: with deep AI leadership, multiple high-growth businesses, and optionality from long-term moonshots like Waymo.
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US$268.43
FV
26.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
9.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
6
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
19
users have followed this narrative
22 days ago
author updated this narrative
Planet Labs PBC
AN
andreas_eliades
Community Contributor
Planet Labs: At The Heart Of The Emerging New Space Boom
Planet Labs leads the EO market with the largest satellite constellation, poised to capitalize on the growing demand for Earth Observation and geospatial data from companies and governments. Plunging space launch and GPU computation costs combined with advancements in CubeSat and AI technologies are boosting the utility of Earth Observation data.
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US$11.31
FV
45.3% undervalued
intrinsic discount
30.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
6
users have liked this narrative
1
users have commented on this narrative
20
users have followed this narrative
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Exxon Mobil
AG
Agricola
Community Contributor
Exxon in Guyana 5 year forecast Low $135 to High $189
Key Assumptions: Successful Guyana and South America Deposits: ExxonMobil’s Stabroek Block in Guyana is assumed to achieve full operational success, contributing significantly to production growth. The block is estimated to hold over 11 billion barrels of recoverable oil, with production scaling rapidly.
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US$189.00
FV
40.3% undervalued
intrinsic discount
14.85%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
1
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
4
users have followed this narrative
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Johnson & Johnson
ST
StjepanK
Equity Analyst and Writer
Industry Tailwinds, Company Headwinds And New Products Will Lead To Stable Revenue Growth
Key Takeaways I expect JNJ to remain an established and mature market performer in a relatively stable sector. Some short-term company-related headwinds are cancelled out by long-term industry-related tailwinds Two main risks come from the talc-related litigation issue and patent expiration Most promising revenue growth opportunities are from cancer therapy drugs, with a TAM of $21.6b.
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US$133.00
FV
26.4% overvalued
intrinsic discount
3.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
15
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
10
users have followed this narrative
about 1 year ago
author updated this narrative
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing
GO
Goran_Damchevski
Equity Analyst
High Growth Opportunities And Categorical Risk Factors Increase The Range Of TSMC’s Valuation
Key Takeaways TSMC is the current leader in chip manufacturing, boasting the most advanced technology and a strong customer base High-Performance Compute (HPC), AI, and EVs will drive growth, while the smartphone market slowly becomes saturated Their specialization strategy optimizes chips for specific use cases, allowing them to maintain their edge Peers are catching up, and a capital intensive industry will lower the bottom-line for investors TSMC has a high intrinsic value, but their exposure to China expands the risk to reward range Catalysts TSMC Will Remain Market Leader Key semiconductor competitors differ in their innovation and business approach. Roughly speaking, the quality of a semiconductor tends to be judged by its size, the smaller it is, the more transistors you can fit on a chip.
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US$798.09
FV
69.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
13.50%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
8
users have liked this narrative
3
users have commented on this narrative
17
users have followed this narrative
about 1 year ago
author updated this narrative
Shopify
GO
Goran_Damchevski
Equity Analyst
Large Brands and New Verticals to Push Revenues Higher But Cheap Ecomm Software Risks Remain
Key Takeaways Expanding the customer base with large brands via the Shopify Plus subscriptions is a profitable way to grow the business. In my view, Shopify has a $32B software, and $15.4B payments market opportunity.
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US$39.00
FV
220.1% overvalued
intrinsic discount
18.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
7
users have followed this narrative
about 1 year ago
author updated this narrative
Reddit
GO
Goran_Damchevski
Equity Analyst
Advertising, Data Licensing and User Economy Could Be Enough to Drive Revenue Growth, If Successful
Key Takeaways Reddit’s key segment is advertising with a focus on U.S. male demographics. The target audience tends to be ad-resistant with low monetization potential.
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US$38.00
FV
281.2% overvalued
intrinsic discount
21.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
5
users have liked this narrative
4
users have commented on this narrative
24
users have followed this narrative
about 1 year ago
author updated this narrative
Palantir Technologies
GO
Goran_Damchevski
Equity Analyst
AIP Drives Network Effects And Strong Revenue Growth
Key Takeaways While government contracts were historically Palantir's primary revenue source, commercial adoption driven by AIP workshops is set to overtake revenue growth and become the largest segment. Palantir’s value-based pricing model allows the company to generate high margins and reinvest in product development.
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US$19.79
FV
689.7% overvalued
intrinsic discount
29.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
23
users have liked this narrative
6
users have commented on this narrative
20
users have followed this narrative
about 1 year ago
author updated this narrative
Pinterest
GO
Goran_Damchevski
Equity Analyst
Leading Idea Discovery Makes Pinterest A Durable Software Business
Key Takeaways Pinterest has a differentiated and growing discovery business, catering to young shoppers. The project-driven platform attracts close to 500M high-intent MAUs. The company is shifting focus to profitability with its lower-funnel tools.
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US$30.00
FV
27.7% overvalued
intrinsic discount
15.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
2
users have liked this narrative
1
users have commented on this narrative
8
users have followed this narrative
about 1 year ago
author updated this narrative
Walt Disney
GO
Goran_Damchevski
Equity Analyst
Parks and Resorts Will Transform Disney Into A Tourism Magnet, Drastically Improving Revenue And Margins
Key Takeaways Disney will transform to a tourism-centered company focusing on parks and resorts, a space lacking any serious competition. I expect sales to grow 4.3% over the next 5 years, primarily driven by Parks.
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US$112.22
FV
6.9% overvalued
intrinsic discount
4.30%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
8
users have liked this narrative
2
users have commented on this narrative
11
users have followed this narrative
about 1 year ago
author updated this narrative
Hugo Boss
KG
kgmaik89
Community Contributor
Fashion in Transition: expacted Recovery in 2025-26
günstig bewertet Qualitätsmarke solides Geschäftsmodell: Net Cash, hohe FCF Marktaussicht unsicher: 2-4 % CAGR (Luxusmarken noch am besten aufgestellt: höchste Margen) Upsides: qualitity Earnings (Net Cash, hohe FCF), Marke, solides Management, Profitabilität, Innovation (Marken, Produktbildung: Fokus jüngere Kunden (Hugo: günstiger?), Beckham,... ) Downsides: geopolitsche Spannungen (Abkoppelung China, Russland), Regulierungen Nachhaltigkeit, Konkurrenz, Verlagerung Produktion in Verkaufsländer in Reaktion auf Klimavulnaribiätit der Supply Chain --> ggf.
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€65.71
FV
36.6% undervalued
intrinsic discount
4.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
3
users have followed this narrative
about 1 year ago
author updated this narrative
Magnora
BO
Bonywall
Community Contributor
Investment Case Magnora ASA
Key Takeaways Magnora ASA, a company listed on the Oslo Stock Exchange, has been actively transitioning its legacy royalty business towards renewable energy development projects and companies. Their diverse portfolio includes investments in entities such as Helios Nordic Energy AB, Kustvind AB, and Magnora Offshore Wind AS, reflecting a strategic pivot to sustainable energy solutions.
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NOK 57.55
FV
58.9% undervalued
intrinsic discount
37.85%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
3
users have followed this narrative
about 1 year ago
author updated this narrative
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