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Alphabet
BL
BlackGoat
Community Contributor
Alphabet: The Under-appreciated Compounder Hiding in Plain Sight
Summary Google trades at ~18× forward earnings; the cheapest among the Magnificent 7 Market is too focused on AI threats to Search and antitrust noise Meanwhile, Google is executing across AI, Cloud, and YouTube Key AI differentiator: unmatched distribution across 3B+ users via Search, Gmail, YouTube, Android, Chrome, and Cloud Quietly building a world-class AI infrastructure behind the scenes; including proprietary TPUs and a vertically integrated stack YouTube generated $8.93B in Q1 ad revenue (up 10% YoY); subscriptions hit 270M Google Cloud revenue up 28% YoY to $12.3B; now profitable Optionality from long-term bets like Waymo, DeepMind, and Verily Risk/reward is compelling; a strong candidate to beat the market long term Overview Despite being part of the "Magnificent Seven," Google’s stock lags due to perceived risks around disruption of its Search business from AI competitors and mounting antitrust concerns. But under the hood, Google has quietly built one of the most compelling setups in tech: with deep AI leadership, multiple high-growth businesses, and optionality from long-term moonshots like Waymo.
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US$282.83
FV
30.5% undervalued
intrinsic discount
9.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
16
users have liked this narrative
2
users have commented on this narrative
38
users have followed this narrative
Updated
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Planet Labs PBC
AN
andreas_eliades
Community Contributor
Planet Labs: At The Heart Of The Emerging New Space Boom
Planet Labs leads the EO market with the largest satellite constellation, poised to capitalize on the growing demand for Earth Observation and geospatial data from companies and governments. Plunging space launch and GPU computation costs combined with advancements in CubeSat and AI technologies are boosting the utility of Earth Observation data.
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US$11.31
FV
45.3% undervalued
intrinsic discount
30.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
16
users have liked this narrative
1
users have commented on this narrative
45
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New
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Exxon Mobil
AG
Agricola
Community Contributor
Exxon in Guyana 5 year forecast Low $135 to High $189
Key Assumptions: Successful Guyana and South America Deposits: ExxonMobil’s Stabroek Block in Guyana is assumed to achieve full operational success, contributing significantly to production growth. The block is estimated to hold over 11 billion barrels of recoverable oil, with production scaling rapidly.
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US$189.00
FV
40.3% undervalued
intrinsic discount
14.85%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
2
users have liked this narrative
1
users have commented on this narrative
9
users have followed this narrative
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Tyro Payments
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 9 Analysts
Tech Rivals And Compliance Woes Will Crush Core Margins
Key Takeaways Intensifying competition from Big Tech and fintechs, along with alternative payment methods, threatens Tyro's market share and legacy revenue streams. Rising compliance costs and limited pricing levers are eroding margins, stalling growth opportunities, and weighing on long-term profitability.
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AU$0.86
FV
11.6% overvalued
intrinsic discount
0.62%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
7 days ago
author updated this narrative
Quilter
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 14 Analysts
Shifting Market Dynamics And Tech Gaps Will Undermine Future Revenue
Key Takeaways Industry shift to low-cost and digital platforms threatens Quilter's adviser-led model, pressuring margins and long-term revenue growth. Operational disruptions, technology gaps, and regulatory complexity risk undermining profitability, client retention, and future margin expansion.
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UK£1.20
FV
38.2% overvalued
intrinsic discount
-58.31%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
7 days ago
author updated this narrative
Motus Holdings
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 5 Analysts
Margins And Volatility Will Challenge Outlook But Recovery Will Arrive
Key Takeaways Expansion into aftermarket and new brands aids market share, but electrification and intensified competition threaten long-term revenue growth and profit margins. Heavy reliance on South Africa exposes earnings to economic risks, while OEM direct sales and evolving mobility trends may erode traditional dealership and service revenues.
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R103.00
FV
10.0% undervalued
intrinsic discount
5.74%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
7 days ago
author updated this narrative
Banco Pan
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 7 Analysts
Credit Risks Will Curb Margins As Digital Trends Yield Hope
Key Takeaways Heavy exposure to subprime borrowers and new lending segments raises credit risk and operational challenges, potentially compressing margins and threatening profitability. Growing fintech competition and regulatory pressures could undermine revenue growth and increase compliance costs, despite ongoing digitalization and tech investments.
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R$8.00
FV
2.9% undervalued
intrinsic discount
21.95%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
7 days ago
author updated this narrative
Indian Energy Exchange
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 11 Analysts
Distributed Renewables Will Erode Market Volumes And Margins
Key Takeaways Decentralized renewables, direct purchase agreements, and regulatory intervention threaten transaction volumes, pricing power, and core business relevance. New exchanges, peer-to-peer trading, and expansion into lower-margin products risk eroding profitability and weakening the company's dominant market position.
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₹150.00
FV
9.3% undervalued
intrinsic discount
2.28%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
2
users have followed this narrative
7 days ago
author updated this narrative
Antin Infrastructure Partners SAS
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 9 Analysts
Rising Financing Costs And Regulatory Burdens Will Erode Returns
Key Takeaways Higher financing and compliance costs, along with stringent ESG rules, are expected to pressure profitability and limit Antin's ability to efficiently deploy capital. Intensifying competition, sector concentration, and rising expenses threaten revenue growth, management fee stability, and long-term earnings capacity.
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€11.30
FV
11.5% overvalued
intrinsic discount
11.01%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
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7 days ago
author updated this narrative
Subsea 7
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 15 Analysts
Accelerating Decarbonization And ESG Risks Will Undermine Offshore Projects
Key Takeaways Decarbonization and rising ESG pressures threaten Subsea 7's long-term revenue, margin stability, and access to attractive capital. Overcapacity, execution risks, and shifting project dynamics expose the company to shrinking margins and unpredictable earnings.
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NOK 170.06
FV
17.4% overvalued
intrinsic discount
1.03%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
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7 days ago
author updated this narrative
Jindal Saw
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 3 Analysts
Jal Jeevan Mission Reliance Will Heighten Risks But Resilience Emerges
Key Takeaways Heavy reliance on government-funded projects and limited diversification heightens revenue risk amid potential policy shifts or technological disruptions. Exposure to commodity cycles, plateauing margins, and ongoing high capex may constrain cash flows and limit shareholder return potential.
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₹331.00
FV
35.6% undervalued
intrinsic discount
1.55%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
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7 days ago
author updated this narrative
Agios Pharmaceuticals
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 7 Analysts
Regulatory Hurdles And Pricing Pressures Will Constrain Prospects
Key Takeaways The company's success hinges on regulatory approvals and pricing power for its key drug, facing major risks from delays, competition, and market access challenges. High R&D costs, pipeline concentration, and supply chain vulnerabilities threaten profitability, with potential for prolonged cash burn and weakening financial independence.
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US$38.00
FV
0.7% undervalued
intrinsic discount
98.62%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
7 days ago
author updated this narrative
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