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Weekly Picks
Alphabet
BL
BlackGoat
Community Contributor
Alphabet: The Under-appreciated Compounder Hiding in Plain Sight
Summary Google trades at ~18× forward earnings; the cheapest among the Magnificent 7 Market is too focused on AI threats to Search and antitrust noise Meanwhile, Google is executing across AI, Cloud, and YouTube Key AI differentiator: unmatched distribution across 3B+ users via Search, Gmail, YouTube, Android, Chrome, and Cloud Quietly building a world-class AI infrastructure behind the scenes; including proprietary TPUs and a vertically integrated stack YouTube generated $8.93B in Q1 ad revenue (up 10% YoY); subscriptions hit 270M Google Cloud revenue up 28% YoY to $12.3B; now profitable Optionality from long-term bets like Waymo, DeepMind, and Verily Risk/reward is compelling; a strong candidate to beat the market long term Overview Despite being part of the "Magnificent Seven," Google’s stock lags due to perceived risks around disruption of its Search business from AI competitors and mounting antitrust concerns. But under the hood, Google has quietly built one of the most compelling setups in tech: with deep AI leadership, multiple high-growth businesses, and optionality from long-term moonshots like Waymo.
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US$282.83
FV
31.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
9.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
19
users have liked this narrative
3
users have commented on this narrative
52
users have followed this narrative
Updated
narrative
Planet Labs PBC
AN
andreas_eliades
Community Contributor
Planet Labs: At The Heart Of The Emerging New Space Boom
Planet Labs leads the EO market with the largest satellite constellation, poised to capitalize on the growing demand for Earth Observation and geospatial data from companies and governments. Plunging space launch and GPU computation costs combined with advancements in CubeSat and AI technologies are boosting the utility of Earth Observation data.
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US$11.31
FV
44.7% undervalued
intrinsic discount
30.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
18
users have liked this narrative
1
users have commented on this narrative
57
users have followed this narrative
New
narrative
Exxon Mobil
AG
Agricola
Community Contributor
Exxon in Guyana 5 year forecast Low $135 to High $189
Previous mistake rectified. So as pointed out in the comments, Chevron won the Hess bid (rather than Exxon) and took a large portion of the Stabroek block.
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US$174.00
FV
35.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
12.97%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
3
users have liked this narrative
4
users have commented on this narrative
13
users have followed this narrative
Updated
narrative
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Mitsubishi
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 13 Analysts
Domestic Offshore Wind Impairments Will Undermine Renewable Transition
Key Takeaways Ongoing challenges in renewable energy and supply chain disruptions threaten Mitsubishi's earnings stability and potential for sustained international growth. Heavy reliance on asset sales and uncertain returns from new investments may create future volatility in profits and returns on capital.
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JP¥2.97k
FV
1.7% overvalued
intrinsic discount
1.50%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
20
users have followed this narrative
1 day ago
author updated this narrative
Canadian Natural Resources
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 18 Analysts
Operational Improvements At Scotford And Horizon Set The Stage For Future Success
Key Takeaways Opportunistic acquisitions and focus on production expansions enhance Canadian Natural Resources' production capacity and cash flow, boosting revenue and earnings. Efficiency improvements and cost reductions across operations improve net margins, supporting sustainable growth and long-term shareholder value.
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CA$52.11
FV
15.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
-2.02%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
4
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
156
users have followed this narrative
1 day ago
author updated this narrative
Merck KGaA
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 17 Analysts
Investments And AI Demand Will Drive Future Success Across Life Science, Healthcare, And Electronics
Key Takeaways Merck KGaA's Life Science and Electronics sectors are poised for growth, driven by strong customer demand and AI advancements in semiconductors. Strategic investments in CapEx and M&A aim to enhance efficiencies, with oncology driving Healthcare growth through external partnerships.
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€153.44
FV
28.1% undervalued
intrinsic discount
3.06%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
41
users have followed this narrative
1 day ago
author updated this narrative
Westpac Banking
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 13 Analysts
Rising Tech Costs And Competition Will Pressure Bank Earnings In Australia
Key Takeaways Intense competition and changed deposit mix are compressing net interest margins, challenging revenue growth. Rising tech costs and projects like UNITE increase expenses, negatively impacting short-term earnings.
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AU$28.65
FV
16.8% overvalued
intrinsic discount
3.69%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
69
users have followed this narrative
1 day ago
author updated this narrative
London Stock Exchange Group
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 17 Analysts
Microsoft Partnership And AI Integration Will Strengthen Future Prospects
Key Takeaways Strategic cloud initiatives and data service expansions are set to boost revenue and enhance customer data consumption. Operational efficiency enhancements and tech platform advancements could improve margins, increase licensing revenue, and strengthen market position.
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UK£127.16
FV
27.2% undervalued
intrinsic discount
5.80%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
27
users have followed this narrative
1 day ago
author updated this narrative
GSK
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 18 Analysts
Pipeline Launches And US Facility Expansion Will Open New Markets
Key Takeaways GSK's focus on Specialty Medicines and innovation, including new FDA approvals, aims to significantly boost revenue and improve product margins. Enhancements in R&D, such as a novel ADC and a U.S. manufacturing expansion, are expected to support significant future revenue and operational efficiency.
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UK£16.52
FV
14.2% undervalued
intrinsic discount
4.10%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
2
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
161
users have followed this narrative
1 day ago
author updated this narrative
Spotify Technology
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 37 Analysts
Generative AI And Personalization Will Shape Future Entertainment
Key Takeaways Expanding into new content verticals and enhanced personalization are increasing user engagement, reducing churn, and supporting higher revenue per user and improved margins. Investments in ad technology, generative AI, and diversified monetization models position Spotify for accelerated growth and expanded earnings across multiple channels.
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US$745.11
FV
15.9% undervalued
intrinsic discount
14.17%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
72
users have followed this narrative
1 day ago
author updated this narrative
Banco Santander
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 20 Analysts
Digital Banking And Latin America Urbanization Will Unlock New Value
Key Takeaways Expansion in digital banking, operational efficiency, and focus on high-growth markets strengthen Santander's earnings stability and long-term revenue prospects. Diversified multinational presence and technology transformation drive fee growth, cost reduction, and improved profitability amid changing global financial trends.
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€7.66
FV
1.7% undervalued
intrinsic discount
7.77%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
66
users have followed this narrative
1 day ago
author updated this narrative
BNP Paribas
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 17 Analysts
Digital Banking And Sustainable Finance Will Expand Distribution Network
Key Takeaways Expansion in wealth management, digital platforms, and sustainability is strengthening client acquisition, fee income, and operational efficiency for recurring, higher-margin growth. Regulatory adaptation and capital optimization efforts are boosting capital efficiency, supporting better returns and positioning the group for sustained long-term earnings growth.
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€91.48
FV
12.5% undervalued
intrinsic discount
7.68%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
1
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
85
users have followed this narrative
1 day ago
author updated this narrative
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