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Weekly Picks
Alphabet
BL
BlackGoat
Community Contributor
Alphabet: The Under-appreciated Compounder Hiding in Plain Sight
Summary Google trades at ~18× forward earnings; the cheapest among the Magnificent 7 Market is too focused on AI threats to Search and antitrust noise Meanwhile, Google is executing across AI, Cloud, and YouTube Key AI differentiator: unmatched distribution across 3B+ users via Search, Gmail, YouTube, Android, Chrome, and Cloud Quietly building a world-class AI infrastructure behind the scenes; including proprietary TPUs and a vertically integrated stack YouTube generated $8.93B in Q1 ad revenue (up 10% YoY); subscriptions hit 270M Google Cloud revenue up 28% YoY to $12.3B; now profitable Optionality from long-term bets like Waymo, DeepMind, and Verily Risk/reward is compelling; a strong candidate to beat the market long term Overview Despite being part of the "Magnificent Seven," Google’s stock lags due to perceived risks around disruption of its Search business from AI competitors and mounting antitrust concerns. But under the hood, Google has quietly built one of the most compelling setups in tech: with deep AI leadership, multiple high-growth businesses, and optionality from long-term moonshots like Waymo.
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US$282.83
FV
32.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
9.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
19
users have liked this narrative
3
users have commented on this narrative
57
users have followed this narrative
Updated
narrative
Planet Labs PBC
AN
andreas_eliades
Community Contributor
Planet Labs: At The Heart Of The Emerging New Space Boom
Planet Labs leads the EO market with the largest satellite constellation, poised to capitalize on the growing demand for Earth Observation and geospatial data from companies and governments. Plunging space launch and GPU computation costs combined with advancements in CubeSat and AI technologies are boosting the utility of Earth Observation data.
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US$11.31
FV
45.4% undervalued
intrinsic discount
30.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
18
users have liked this narrative
1
users have commented on this narrative
61
users have followed this narrative
New
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Exxon Mobil
AG
Agricola
Community Contributor
Exxon in Guyana 5 year forecast Low $135 to High $189
Previous mistake rectified. So as pointed out in the comments, Chevron won the Hess bid (rather than Exxon) and took a large portion of the Stabroek block.
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US$174.00
FV
37.0% undervalued
intrinsic discount
12.97%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
3
users have liked this narrative
4
users have commented on this narrative
15
users have followed this narrative
Updated
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Kapsch TrafficCom
SC
Schwejk
Community Contributor
Growing cities and growing traffic may lift Kapsch Trafficom
A company that offers road tolling systems and traffic management systems. After share price being up as high as 50 Euros a few years ago, the share price started going South.
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€9.05
FV
22.2% undervalued
intrinsic discount
8.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
8 months ago
author updated this narrative
Unity Software
RI
ric
Community Contributor
Difficult times that could lead to better opportunities
Key Takeaways Unity is one of the top 3 tools to develop games and real time 3D prototyping and interactive data visualisation for many industries It has become the default game engine for Indie developers It has the ability to create VR games and apps AI enabled that allows prompt based game creation. It can also access AI models at runtime 3.6B made by unity downloads (mobile + Steam) Games can be exported to 20+ Platforms Unity is the only game engine company (that I know of) that can be traded in the stock market.
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US$20.31
FV
56.7% overvalued
intrinsic discount
5.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
2
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
3
users have followed this narrative
8 months ago
author updated this narrative
Lemonade
VI
VincentE
Community Contributor
Q3 24 Report Gives Hope for Long-Term Turnaround
Lemonade Looks Fresh(er) - November 2024 Lemonade reported in-force premiums of $889 million, up 24% year over year and higher by nearly 50% since mid-2022. The company now has 2.31 million customers, up 17% from year-ago levels, and gross profit climbed 71%.
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US$77.14
FV
52.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
25.22%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
1
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
13
users have followed this narrative
8 months ago
author updated this narrative
Ideanomics
ST
StockBro12
Community Contributor
Ideanomics: A High-Risk Speculative Play with Long-Term Potential
Current Take on Ideanomics (IDEX): At present, Ideanomics (IDEX) is a high-risk stock with significant challenges: Financial Instability: The company is experiencing large losses, reflected in its negative P/E ratio (-0.01x), and its net income is still deeply negative, which suggests that Ideanomics is far from profitability. With a negative shareholder equity and high debt levels, the financial position of the company is precarious.
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US$0.38
FV
97.4% undervalued
intrinsic discount
-25.93%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
4
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
15
users have followed this narrative
8 months ago
author updated this narrative
ADMA Biologics
PI
pizzitaxi
Community Contributor
Valuation analysis
11-NOV-2024 Actual company guidance: 2024: 415 MUSD revenue (S24) and net income 120 MUSD (E24), 2025: 465 MUSD (S25), 165 MUSD net income (E25) Market cap of 5.35 BUSD (P) at 22.62/share: P/S24 = 12.9, P/E24 = 44.6, P/S25 = 11.5 and P/E25 = 32.4) My assumptions: ADMA will be highly profitable due to high ratio of hyperimmunes (maybe eventually they will only manufacture hyperimmunes if S. pneumonia is successful and provided they can source the required amount of hyperimmune plasma).
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US$20.93
FV
7.6% undervalued
intrinsic discount
26.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
1
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
10
users have followed this narrative
8 months ago
author updated this narrative
SBC Medical Group Holdings
MR
mrbensonv
Community Contributor
Hidden Gem (NASDAQ: SBC), Empowering the Growth of Aesthetic Medicine
Hidden Gem (NASDAQ: SBC), Empowering the Growth of Aesthetic Medicine SBC Medical Group Holdings ( NASDAQ: SBC ) is making waves in the aesthetic medicine industry with its dynamic growth strategy and robust franchise model. Analysts at Zacks have set a target price of $15.40, reflecting confidence in SBC's ability to scale its operations and expand internationally.
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US$4.64
FV
9.9% undervalued
intrinsic discount
4.98%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
2
users have liked this narrative
4
users have commented on this narrative
11
users have followed this narrative
8 months ago
author updated this narrative
Advanced Micro Devices
BA
Bailey
Equity Analyst
Hardware Efficiency And Pricing Strategies To Bolster Revenue Growth
Key Takeaways AMD's focus on thermal efficiency and new node advancements will see them overtake Intel in desktop CPU sales. AMD pricing strategy to undercut Nvidia in the Low-Mid end GPU markets will be a huge growth driver in the gaming segment.
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US$180.10
FV
4.7% undervalued
intrinsic discount
16.50%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
45
users have liked this narrative
3
users have commented on this narrative
47
users have followed this narrative
9 months ago
author updated this narrative
HIVE
HIVE Digital Technologies
PR
prajitdasani
Community Contributor
Buy Rating for HIVE
HIVE Digital Technologies Ltd. ( NASDAQ:HIVE - - Equities researchers at HC Wainwright raised their FY2025 EPS estimates for shares of HIVE Digital Technologies in a research note issued on Thursday, November 14th.
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CA$8.45
FV
66.6% undervalued
intrinsic discount
45.07%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
1
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
9
users have followed this narrative
9 months ago
author updated this narrative
Apple
BA
Bailey
Equity Analyst
EU Regulations And Poor Emerging Market Strategy Will Erode Margins And Limit Sales Growth
Key Takeaways Over-reliance on new market penetration could prove to be unfruitful, while the world continues to grapple with cost-of-living pressures. Poor emerging market strategy could lead to failure in India and South America due to prohibitive costs.
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US$207.71
FV
2.6% undervalued
intrinsic discount
6.39%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
74
users have liked this narrative
18
users have commented on this narrative
36
users have followed this narrative
9 months ago
author updated this narrative
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