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Q3 24 Report Gives Hope for Long-Term Turnaround

VI
VincentEInvested
Community Contributor

Published

November 22 2024

Updated

November 22 2024

Lemonade Looks Fresh(er) - November 2024

Lemonade reported in-force premiums of $889 million, up 24% year over year and higher by nearly 50% since mid-2022. The company now has 2.31 million customers, up 17% from year-ago levels, and gross profit climbed 71%.

A gross loss ratio of 73% was down sharply from the same quarter in 2023, and over the past 12 months, Lemonade's overall loss ratio of 77% was down 11 percentage points from the previous 12-month period. This quarter was the fifth straight period where Lemonade saw improvement in its loss ratio, and the insurer's ability to dodge the bullet on huge loss events during the quarter, like Hurricane Helene, was a noteworthy success.

What to Watch

First, it needs to keep bringing in new profitable customers, partially by taking advantage of a partnership with one of its early investors to give it access to cash that will allow it to take on new business more quickly. Car insurance will be a key driver of future growth for the insurer.

Second, Lemonade wants to keep using technology to improve operating efficiency, reducing expenses and eventually moving toward sustained profitability.

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Disclaimer

The user VincentE has a position in NYSE:LMND. Simply Wall St has no position in any of the companies mentioned. The author of this narrative is not affiliated with, nor authorised by Simply Wall St as a sub-authorised representative. This narrative is general in nature and explores scenarios and estimates created by the author. The narrative does not reflect the opinions of Simply Wall St, and the views expressed are the opinion of the author alone, acting on their own behalf. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in the ideas they cover. The fair value estimates are estimations only, and does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that the author's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

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Fair Value
US$77.1
57.4% undervalued intrinsic discount
VincentE's Fair Value
Future estimation in
PastFuture-298m2b20172019202120232024202520272029Revenue US$1.5bEarnings US$227.4m
% p.a.
Decrease
Increase
Current revenue growth rate
21.07%
Insurance revenue growth rate
0.23%