Global Community

Based on my research, here's a brief fundamental analysis and DCF valuation of Porsche Automobil Holding SE (PAH3): Fundamental Analysis Business Model: Porsche SE is a holding company that owns 52.2% of Volkswagen AG (including 12 brands: Audi, Bentley, Bugatti, Ducati, Lamborghini, MAN, Porsche, Scania, SEAT, ŠKODA, Volkswagen Commercial Vehicles and Volkswagen Passenger Cars) and has investments in mobility and industrial technology 2024 Financial Performance: Profit after tax: €2.51 billion (9M 2024), down 34% YoY from €3.8 billion 2024 full-year profit forecast: €2.4-4.4 billion range Net debt projected: €5.0-5.5 billion by year-end 2024 2024 dividend: €1.910 per preferred share, €1.904 per ordinary share Key Challenges: Expected significant non-cash impairment losses on VW and Porsche AG investments for 2024, making group result after tax significantly negative Trading at 29.8% discount to NAV Heavy reliance on dividends from VW and Porsche AG for debt servicing DCF Valuation Current Market Data: Current stock price: €36.77 (as of April 28, 2025) Analyst average price target: €45.78 (range: €35-78) DCF Analysis: PAH3's DCF value cannot be reliably calculated due to the holding company structure and irregular cash flow patterns. However, alternative valuation approaches suggest: Intrinsic value estimate: $6.849 USD (€6.40 approx.) - shows 26% undervaluation based on multiples-only approach Analyst consensus implies 31.74% upside potential to €45.78 Investment Thesis: Strengths: Exposure to leading automotive brands, solid dividend history, trading at discount to NAV Risks: High leverage (€5.3B net debt), impairment charges, dependence on underlying holdings' performance Conclusion: PAH3 appears undervalued at current levels, but traditional DCF valuation is challenging due to its holding company structure.Read more

Alibaba delivered solid FY2025 results with revenue growing 6% to RMB 996.3 billion ($137.3B). Key highlights include core e-commerce (Taobao/Tmall) customer management revenue growing 12%, Cloud Intelligence revenue accelerating to 18% growth, and AI-related products achieving triple-digit growth for the seventh consecutive quarter.Read more

Key Takeaways I believe the Canadian oil and gas sector is overlooked, mainly because of Donald Trump's upcoming second term. Regardless of Trump tariff risk, which I deem overblown due to economic recoil to the American Midwest, I believe Canadians have hedged their risk, improving exporting infrastructure.Read more

MTN Nigeria Communications Plc, the dominant force in West Africa’s telecom landscape, is strategically positioned for a powerful revenue expansion—with indicators pointing toward a 30% compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the next decade. This projection is not mere optimism—it’s grounded in the company’s historical financial performance, its massive subscriber base, and an accelerating digital monetization strategy.Read more

Aurizon’s decade-long medians sit at –2.3 % revenue/share growth, 11.1 % net margin and a 17× P/E. Looking five years out, scenarios span 0–4 % top-line CAGR, 8–12 % margins and 9–14× multiples, hinging on Bulk-freight expansion, tariff indexation, cost inflation and ESG-driven market sentiment.Read more

ILP is a good growth-oriented company dealing mainly in the export sector. The company came under pressure when tax exemptions on exports were withdrawn in the year 2024, thereby impacting its revenue and net profits.Read more

Key Takeaways Google’s dominance in search, and digital advertising industry growth will remain in tact. Cloud computing trends will support Google Cloud revenue growth Alphabet may implement AI slightly slower, but won’t fall behind Current estimates on costs per generative AI query are prohibitive to profitability Until processing power improves and makes generative AI cheaper, Google is unlikely to lose much market share.Read more

Forecasts for Growth, Future Revenue, Net Profit, and Key Metrics Forecasting LGP’s future performance involves assumptions based on FY2024 trends, market conditions, and strategic plans. Below are speculative projections for key metrics: Revenue Growth: FY2024 Baseline: $25.6 million, up 29% from $19.9 million in FY2023.Read more

Executive Summary Tufton Assets Limited (LSE: SHPP) presents a rare and compelling opportunity in public markets: a high-yield, NAV-discounted, actively managed vehicle with a clearly defined end-of-life wind-down strategy. The company's structure, execution history, and exposure to shipping segments aligned with geopolitical and macroeconomic dislocation make it uniquely suited for investors seeking inflation-protected income, asymmetric upside from trade realignments, and built-in downside mitigation through real asset monetization.Read more