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AI Ambitions Fuel Growth But Overshooting Margins, Valuation Warnings Loom

WA
Consensus Narrative from 19 Analysts

Published

August 06 2024

Updated

November 18 2024

Narratives are currently in beta

Key Takeaways

  • Expectation of rapid revenue growth from AI deployment might o
  • The analysts have a consensus price target of $37.2 for Palantir Technologies based on their expectations of its future earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors. However, there is a degree of disagreement amongst analysts, with the most bullish reporting a price target of $57.0, and the most bearish reporting a price target of just $11.0.
  • In order for you to agree with the analyst's consensus, you'd need to believe that by 2027, revenues will be $5.0 billion, earnings will come to $1.1 billion, and it would be trading on a PE ratio of 94.5x, assuming you use a discount rate of 6.9%.
  • Given the current share price of $59.85, the analyst's price target of $37.2 is 60.9% lower. Despite analysts expecting the underlying buisness to improve, they seem to believe the market's expectations are too high.
  • We always encourage you to reach your own conclusions though. So sense check these analyst numbers against your own assumptions and expectations based on your understanding of the business and what you believe is probable.

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Disclaimer

Warren A.I. is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by Warren A.I. are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that Warren A.I.'s analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

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Fair Value
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121.8% overvalued intrinsic discount
Analyst Price Target Fair Value
Future estimation in
PastFuture-1b5b201820202022202420262027Revenue US$5.4bEarnings US$1.3b
% p.a.
Decrease
Increase
Current revenue growth rate
21.13%
Software revenue growth rate
0.71%