Software U.S. Community
Our community narratives are driven by numbers and valuation.
Software U.S. Investing Ideas
Microsoft will achieve a future PE ratio of 24.626979x by leveraging strong growth
Valuation In 3–5 years, I think Microsoft becomes even more dominant in enterprise AI, cloud infrastructure, and productivity software. Azure and Copilot are probably the biggest growth drivers, while Windows, Office, LinkedIn, GitHub, and gaming remain huge cash generators.Read more
PGY may go up in next 6-12 months.
Pagaya Technologies (NASDAQ: PGY) — Investment Thesis Pagaya Technologies is not a software company. This distinction is the foundation of the entire investment case and is widely misunderstood by the market.Read more
Good Value for a Creative Monopoly
Adobe’s strategic positioning ensures it remains the creative industry’s "operating system," regardless of whether AI succeeds or fails. By building Firefly exclusively on licensed Adobe Stock and public domain content, Adobe has created a unique "legal moat" that offers enterprise customers commercial safety and IP indemnity that competitors cannot match.Read more
Classic Value Trap
Adobe was an amazing company. I'm an end user since 1991.Read more
Everyone's Terrified Microsoft Will Keep Spending. I'm Terrified They'll Stop.
Microsoft just burned $37.5 billion in 90 days. The stock has lost a third of its value.Read more
Deep Dive: Assessing the Sustainability of CRWV’s Compute-as-a-Service Model
Deep Dive: Assessing the Sustainability of CRWV’s Compute-as-a-Service Model I’ve been looking into the business model of CRWV and its reliance on high-leverage hardware acquisition. Here’s a breakdown of why the current trajectory might face significant structural headwinds compared to established players.Read more
IREN Thesis: From Miner to AI Infrastructure Leader
IREN is undergoing a fundamental re-rating, evolving from a Bitcoin miner into a premier AI Cloud Service Provider. The thesis is anchored by the scarcity of three critical assets: Gigawatt-scale power , specialized data centers , and NVIDIA Blackwell compute.Read more
Buy Hubspot if you think companies won't build in-house
Thesis HubSpot is a leading, product-led CRM platform for SMBs and mid-market companies that bundles marketing, sales, service, operations and commerce capabilities in an easy-to-adopt cloud suite. Its strong brand, inbound-marketing flywheel, partner ecosystem and user-friendly UX drive customer acquisition and retention, allowing HubSpot to capture higher lifetime value from expanding product adoption inside customers.Read more
