Software U.S. Community
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Software U.S. Investing Ideas
Adobe - A Fundamental and Historical Valuation
️️ Business Overview Key Metrics Total: 9/17 +2 ✅✅ Projected Operating Margin: 46.04% +0 ⚠️ Projected 5-Year Revenue CAGR: 8.69% +2 ✅✅ Last 5-Year ROIC: 28.00% +1 ✅ Estimated Cost of Capital: 10.31% (lower than ROIC) +1 ✅ Last 5-Year Shares Outstanding CAGR: -2.32% +1 ✅ Projected 5-Year EPS CAGR: 10.67% +0 ⚠️ Projected 5-Year Dividend CAGR: N/A +1 ✅ Moody's Rating: A1 +2 ✅✅ Morningstar Moat: Wide -1 ❌ Morningstar Uncertainty: High Adobe has very high margins resulting from its competitive advantages and wide moat. Also, the company is managed well returning on its investments almost triple its cost of capital.Read more
The Strategic Revaluation of Adobe: A Critical Analysis of Market Sentiment
The prevailing narrative surrounding Adobe Inc. in the mid-2020s has been characterized by a profound sense of technological anxiety.Read more
IREN's 59.5% Market Discount Will Drive Future Equity Upside
IREN’s valuation profile becomes materially more interesting once you decompose the drivers behind the platform’s intrinsic value of US$103.62 and the long‑term implied equity value of US$153.29 per share. The current market discount of 59.5% is not just a headline number — it reflects a meaningful disconnect between the company’s forward cash‑flow trajectory and how the market is pricing its risk.Read more
After the AI Party: A Sobering Look at Microsoft's Future
The world has been captivated by the artificial intelligence boom, and no company has ridden the wave of investor enthusiasm quite like Microsoft. Buoyed by its strategic partnership with OpenAI and the integration of AI across its product ecosystem, the company's valuation has soared to unprecedented heights.Read more
The Quiet Giant That Became AI’s Power Grid
The story of Oracle’s transformation is a narrative of strategic repositioning that has culminated in the company emerging as an indispensable infrastructure partner for the world’s most demanding Artificial Intelligence (AI) workloads. This strategic shift, defined by massive infrastructure investment, a landmark partnership with OpenAI, and the rise of colossal superclusters, has driven an unprecedented surge in its contract backlog, fundamentally reshaping Oracle’s long-term growth trajectory and competitive landscape.Read more
Will the old rules break the new assets like MSTR?
4 Shocking Truths Revealed by the $77 Billion Crypto-Treasury Meltdown: As digital and traditional finance continue to collide, will the old rules break the new assets, or will these new assets force the creation of entirely new rules? The recent, violent downturn in the cryptocurrency market, which saw Bitcoin’s price plummet from a high of $126,000 to the low $80,000s, has captured the headlines.Read more
Massive Social Commerce Tailwinds Promise Shopify's Future Growth
Catalysts “Social commerce” presents a massive tailwind with $6.23T market opportunity by 2030. Social commerce market is growing at 30.71% CAGR with 91% occurring on mobile devices: https://www.mordorintelligence.com/industry-reports/social-commerce-market 25% of Shopify traffic comes from mobile devices: https://www.chargeflow.io/blog/shopify-statistics AI Store Builder + Sidekick features are increasing user engagement and reducing onboarding friction.Read more
The cloud data warehouse space is heating up, and Snowflake sits right in the middle of it all
The cloud data warehouse space is heating up, and Snowflake Inc. (NYSE: SNOW) sits right in the middle of it all.Read more
A Company With Sky-High Multiples and Zero Debt: The Numbers Tell a Very Different Story.
To figure out what this stock is really worth, I ran it through five different “fair value checks,” each looking at the company from a different angle. First, I compared its P/E to its peers and got a much lower fair value because the company’s P/E (372) is way higher than the industry average, producing a fair value of about $18.Read more
