PGY Share Price Performance
US$0
-33.93 (-100.00%)
Price US$0
Fair ValueUS$11.98
Share Pricen/a
Analysis Article • Aug 06
Pagaya Technologies Ltd. Stock Price
- 6 Narratives written by author
- 3 Comments on narratives written by author
- 224 Fair Values set on narratives written by author
PGY Community Narratives
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Fair Value
·Fair Value US$11.98 79.1% overvalued intrinsic discount
PGY may go up in next 6-12 months.
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Fair Value
·Fair Value US$26.9 20.2% undervalued intrinsic discount
Advanced AI Underwriting And Embedded Finance Will Open Markets
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TA
Fair Value
·Fair Value US$64.72 66.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
The "Rate Cut" Supercycle Winner – Profitable & Accelerating
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PGY may go up in next 6-12 months.
Pagaya Technologies (NASDAQ: PGY) — Investment Thesis Pagaya Technologies is not a software company. This distinction is the foundation of the entire investment case and is widely misunderstood by the market.Read more
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US$11.98
79.1% overvalued intrinsic discount
Fair Value
Revenue
12.4% p.a.
Profit Margin
7.08%
Future PE
13.6x
Price in 2031
US$19.78
The "Rate Cut" Supercycle Winner – Profitable & Accelerating
Pagaya is moving from a tough period of high interest rates into a friendlier backdrop, and the business is already turning profitable. As borrowing gets cheaper and more banks plug into its approval technology, loan activity could pick up—though the story depends on rates falling and partners continuing to lean on its network.Read more
PGY is a Buy
Pagaya aims to help banks and lenders approve more loans by using artificial intelligence to judge risk, and it also packages consumer loans into investment products for big buyers. If more lenders and investors lean on these tools—and the company expands into new markets—growth could accelerate, but competition and a weaker economy could quickly slow it down.Read more
AI Expansion And Lending Diversification Will Transform The Credit Landscape
Pagaya aims to become the behind-the-scenes tech that helps banks and lenders approve more loans using AI, and new products plus big partnerships could speed up adoption much faster than many expect. The upside depends on expanding into new types of lending and securing cheaper funding, while tougher rules, a weak economy, and reliance on a handful of major partners could slow progress.Read more
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US$36
40.4% undervalued intrinsic discount
Fair Value
Revenue
12.43% p.a.
Profit Margin
22.05%
Future PE
11.18x
Price in 2029
US$48.03
Advanced AI Underwriting And Embedded Finance Will Open Markets
Pagaya helps banks and fintech apps decide who to lend to using AI, and it’s pushing into new products and partners that could make its growth steadier and less reliant on any one customer. But the same AI approach faces real pitfalls—from tighter rules and tougher competition to an economic slowdown or models that don’t perform as expected.Read more
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US$26.9
20.2% undervalued intrinsic discount
Fair Value
Revenue
13.6% p.a.
Profit Margin
15.5%
Future PE
12.17x
Price in 2029
US$36.21
Rising Regulations And Fierce Fintech Competition Will Erode Prospects
Pagaya builds AI tools that help lenders decide who gets a loan, but rising rules around data and AI — plus bigger rivals building similar tech — could make its service harder to stand out and less profitable. It also leans heavily on a small set of partners, so a single breakup or a weaker economy could hit results faster than many investors expect.Read more
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US$20
7.3% overvalued intrinsic discount
Fair Value
Revenue
13.4% p.a.
Profit Margin
17.24%
Future PE
8.16x
Price in 2029
US$26.87
Trending Discussion
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Recently Updated Narratives
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Operating Leverage Proves the Model Works—Even Without a Rate Cut
Fair Value: US$64.72 66.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
12 fair values setusers have set this as their fair value
2 commentsusers have commented on this narrative
1 likeusers have liked this narrative
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PGY may go up in next 6-12 months.
Fair Value: US$11.98 79.1% overvalued intrinsic discount
11 fair values setusers have set this as their fair value
0 commentsusers have commented on this narrative
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PGY is a Buy
Fair Value: US$34.05 37.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
26 fair values setusers have set this as their fair value
1 commentusers have commented on this narrative
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Snowflake Analysis
Pagaya Technologies Ltd. Key Details
About PGY
- Founded
- 2016
- Employees
- 493
- CEO
- WebsiteView website
Pagaya Technologies Ltd., a product-focused technology company, deploys data science and proprietary artificial intelligence-powered technology for financial services, their customers, and institutional or sophisticated investors in the United States, Israel, and the Cayman Islands. The company offers Decline Monetization, the flagship product which allows Partners to automatically send rejected loan applications to its network, as well as approve customers they would otherwise decline; Dual Look which allows to assess applications concurrently with its Partners in real time; and First Look that routes designated segments of loan applications to the network for evaluation.It also provides Affiliate Optimizer Engine, a customer acquisition tool which enables Partners to originate loans through third-party affiliate channels; Direct Marketing Engine, that utilizes data network to help Partners target and acquire new customers through direct channels; and FastPass which accelerates the transaction process. Its partners include financial technology companies, incumbent banks and financial institutions, auto finance providers, and residential real estate service providers. The company was founded in 2016 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
