Published

30 Sep 25

Updated

31 Mar 26

Views

453

Not Invested

Chagee HoldingsCHA

Fair Value

US$11.98

Share price31 Mar

US$11.315.6% undervalued

1Y-51.67%

7D2.82%

Cheap if able to sustain revenue, and a potential bargain if able to turn store openings into revenue growth

kaladorm

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Published

30 Sep 25

Updated

31 Mar 26

Views

453

Not Invested

Shared on 31 Mar 26

Fair value Decreased 48%

Q4 Update - More teahouses, less revenue, more costs

Chagee keeps opening more teahouses, but sales per store keep sliding and overall revenue falls despite the larger footprint. With costs rising and cash being spent to support expansion, the current strategy looks harder to sustain and the investment case weakens.

17 views

Shared on 14 Dec 25

Fair value Decreased 5.27%

Q3 Update - Revenue sustained only by growth

Chagee keeps opening more teahouses, but sales per location keep slipping, and total revenue isn’t keeping up. A cash dividend grabs attention, but shrinking active users and weaker store performance raise questions about how sustainable demand really is.

28 views

Fair Value vs Share Price

US$11.98

vs US$11.315.6% undervalued

Revenue growth

10%

Profit margin

Recent News & Updates

No updates

Recent updates

No updates

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Company analysis

Flawless balance sheet and undervalued.

Market capUS$2.2b

PB1.9x

Estimated Growth9.9%

Dividend Yield7.7%

Full analysis

CEO & management

Junjie Zhang

CEO

5.3yrs

CEO Tenure

Through its subsidiaries, owns, operates, and franchises teahouses under the CHAGEE brand in the People’s Republic of China, Malaysia, Singapore, Thailand, Indonesia, the Philippines, Vietnam, and the United States.