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Federal Funding Will Expand ICE Facility Activations

Published
12 Sep 24
Updated
04 Sep 25
AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
US$39.00
46.4% undervalued intrinsic discount
10 Sep
US$20.92
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1Y
64.6%
7D
-4.8%

Author's Valuation

US$39

46.4% undervalued intrinsic discount

AnalystConsensusTarget Fair Value

Shared on04 Sep 25

Analyst sentiment on GEO Group is mixed, with bulls citing favorable immigration policy momentum and likely funding increases while bears flag slower growth in alternatives to detention, resulting in the consensus price target holding steady at $39.00. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts expect significant demand tailwinds for GEO Group due to major U.S. immigration policy proposals, including anticipated funding increases for detention and monitoring services.

Shared on30 Apr 25
Fair value Decreased 13%

Shared on23 Apr 25
Fair value Increased 7.46%

AnalystConsensusTarget has increased profit margin from 15.1% to 16.9% and decreased future PE multiple from 15.1x to 13.4x.

Shared on17 Apr 25
Fair value Decreased 5.04%

Shared on09 Apr 25

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on02 Apr 25
Fair value Decreased 1.37%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on26 Mar 25
Fair value Increased 1.36%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on19 Mar 25

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on11 Mar 25
Fair value Increased 5.33%

AnalystConsensusTarget has decreased profit margin from 19.7% to 16.9% and increased future PE multiple from 8.7x to 13.2x.