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Federal Funding Will Expand ICE Facility Activations

Published
12 Sep 24
Updated
08 Nov 25
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AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
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1Y
-44.1%
7D
-5.4%

Author's Valuation

US$34.2557.4% undervalued intrinsic discount

AnalystConsensusTarget Fair Value

Shared on 08 Nov 25

Fair value Decreased 12%

GEO: New Contracts Will Drive Annualized Revenue Past $3 Billion

Analysts have lowered their price target for GEO Group from $39 to $34.25 per share, citing slower-than-expected revenue growth and profit margins based on recent research updates. However, they remain optimistic about the company's long-term opportunities.

Shared on 04 Sep 25

Analyst sentiment on GEO Group is mixed, with bulls citing favorable immigration policy momentum and likely funding increases while bears flag slower growth in alternatives to detention, resulting in the consensus price target holding steady at $39.00. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts expect significant demand tailwinds for GEO Group due to major U.S. immigration policy proposals, including anticipated funding increases for detention and monitoring services.

Shared on 30 Apr 25

Fair value Decreased 13%

Shared on 23 Apr 25

Fair value Increased 7.46%

AnalystConsensusTarget has increased profit margin from 15.1% to 16.9% and decreased future PE multiple from 15.1x to 13.4x.

Shared on 17 Apr 25

Fair value Decreased 5.04%

Shared on 09 Apr 25

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 02 Apr 25

Fair value Decreased 1.37%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 26 Mar 25

Fair value Increased 1.36%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 19 Mar 25

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 11 Mar 25

Fair value Increased 5.33%

AnalystConsensusTarget has decreased profit margin from 19.7% to 16.9% and increased future PE multiple from 8.7x to 13.2x.