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The GEO Group, Inc. Stock Price

NYSE:GEO Community·US$2.6b Market Cap
  • 3 Narratives written by author
  • 0 Comments on narratives written by author
  • 34 Fair Values set on narratives written by author

GEO Share Price Performance

US$18.25
4.39 (31.67%)
59.4% undervalued intrinsic discount
US$45.00
Fair Value
US$18.25
4.39 (31.67%)
63.5% undervalued intrinsic discount
US$50.00
Fair Value
Price US$18.25
AnalystHighTarget US$50.00
AnalystConsensusTarget US$39.00
AnalystLowTarget US$35.00

GEO Community Narratives

AnalystHighTarget·
Fair Value US$45 58.8% undervalued intrinsic discount

Aging US Demand And Global Outsourcing Will Reshape Corrections Services

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AnalystConsensusTarget·
Fair Value US$39 52.4% undervalued intrinsic discount

Federal Funding Will Expand ICE Facility Activations

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AnalystLowTarget·
Fair Value US$35 47.0% undervalued intrinsic discount

Political Shifts Will Undermine Detention Demand Yet Deleveraging Offers Relief

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Recent GEO News & Updates

Earnings Beat: The GEO Group, Inc. Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Models

Aug 08
Earnings Beat: The GEO Group, Inc. Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Models

The GEO Group, Inc. Key Details

US$2.5b

Revenue

US$1.8b

Cost of Revenue

US$633.4m

Gross Profit

US$545.0m

Other Expenses

US$88.4m

Earnings

Last Reported Earnings
Jun 30, 2025
Next Reporting Earnings
Nov 06, 2025
Earnings per share (EPS)
0.64
Gross Margin
25.83%
Net Profit Margin
3.60%
Debt/Equity Ratio
122.8%

The GEO Group, Inc. Competitors

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Snowflake Analysis

Good value with reasonable growth potential.

2 Risks
4 Rewards

About GEO

Founded
1984
Employees
16500
CEO
J. Donahue
WebsiteView website
www.geogroup.com

The GEO Group, Inc. owns, leases, operates, and manages secure facilities, processing centers, and community-based reentry facilities in the United States, Australia, the United Kingdom, and South Africa. The company operates through four segments: U.S. Secure Services; Electronic Monitoring and Supervision Services; Reentry Services; and International Services. It also provides secure facility management services, including the provision of security, administrative, rehabilitation, education, and food services; reentry services, such as temporary housing, programming, employment assistance, and other services; electronic monitoring and supervision services; and secure transportation services, as well as designs, constructs, and finances new facilities through projects. The company was founded in 1984 and is based in Boca Raton, Florida.

Market Insight

Q4 2025 is off to a flying start with record highs being printed left, right, and center. US and Japanese stocks made fresh new highs, while the gold price powered through $4,000 for the first time, and Bitcoin crossed the $126k level. Is this all a case of USD weakness, irrational exuberance, or solid fundamentals? This week, we are reviewing Q3 market performance, Q2 earnings season, and the outlook heading into the end of 2025…
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U.S. Market Performance

  • 7 Days: 0.8%
  • 3 Months: 8.3%
  • 1 Year: 17.8%
  • Year to Date: 15.4%
The Utilities sector gained 3.1% while the market remained flat over the last week. As for the longer term, the market has risen 18% in the past 12 months. Looking forward, earnings are forecast to grow by 15% annually. Market details ›