Indian Market Community

Pidilite – A Business That Quietly Compounds When I first looked at Pidilite, I did not see just an adhesive company. I saw a business that has become part of how Indian homes are built and maintained.Read more

At ₹429–430 levels (near 52-week low), Indegene offers excellent risk-reward for 12–24 month horizon. Explosive long-term growth (35% sales CAGR, 68% profit CAGR), first $100M quarter, near-zero debt, and powerful AI/GenAI positioning in the high-growth life-sciences sector make this a high-quality compounder.Read more

Ceinsys Tech Ltd (CEINSYS) – DCF Valuation (as of 12 March 2026)Using the two-stage Discounted Cash Flow (FCFF) model, I have calculated the intrinsic fair value based on the latest consolidated financials from Screener.in, company earnings releases, and the Q3 FY26 earnings call transcript (order book ₹999 Cr as of Dec 2025, management hint of FY26 revenue ~₹700 Cr+).Key Inputs (Latest Available): TTM Revenue: ₹632 Cr | FY25: ₹418 Cr 9M FY26 Revenue: ₹490 Cr | PAT: ₹96 Cr Order book: ₹999 Cr (strong 1.5x+ TTM sales visibility) EBITDA margin (recent): 21–23.5% Net debt: ~₹30 Cr (conservative; borrowings ₹75 Cr minus estimated cash) Shares outstanding: 17.85 million (1.785 Cr shares from ₹18 Cr equity capital at ₹10 face value) Beta: ~0.57 (low volatility) My Base-Case Assumptions (Balanced & Realistic): FY26E Revenue: ₹680 Cr (9M run-rate + Q4 momentum) 5-year explicit growth (FY27–FY31): 35% → 30% → 25% → 20% → 15% (tapered; supported by order book, geospatial infra boom at 20%+ national CAGR, and execution track record) EBITDA margin: 22% (FY26–28) → 23–23.5% (improving scale & mix) Depreciation: 2% of revenue Capex: 3.5% of revenue (low; management confirmed no major tech capex planned beyond opex for AI/ML) Δ Working Capital: 12% of incremental revenue (conservative allowance for 221 debtor days; assumes gradual normalisation) Tax rate: 25% WACC: 10.8% (Rf 6.8% + beta 0.57 × 7% ERP; debt weight negligible) Terminal growth: 4% (long-term India GDP/infra sustainable rate) Explicit period: FY26–FY30; Terminal Value at end-FY30 using perpetuity formula on FY31 FCFF Projected Financials & FCFF (₹ Cr): Year Revenue EBITDA Margin FCFF (Free Cash Flow to Firm) FY26E 680 22.0% 88.2 FY27E 918 22.0% 95.4 FY28E 1,193 22.0% 128.1 FY29E 1,492 23.0% 176.8 FY30E 1,790 23.0% 219.3 FY31E 2,059 23.5% 268.9 (for TV calc) Terminal Value (end-FY30): ₹4,112 Cr Enterprise Value: ₹2,962 Cr Equity Value: ₹2,932 Cr (after net debt) Fair Value per Share: ₹1,643 Upside from Current Price (₹1,000–1,037 range): 58–64% (base case).Sensitivity Analysis (Fair Value per Share): Conservative (WACC 11.5%, growth -5% pts, ΔWC 15%, EBITDA 21%): ₹1,250–1,320 Base (as above): ₹1,643 Optimistic (WACC 10.0%, growth +5% pts, ΔWC 8%, EBITDA 24%): ₹1,950–2,100 Alternative (Exit multiple 22x FY30 EBITDA instead of perpetuity): ~₹1,780–1,850 (aligns with some analyst models) Comparison with Other Methods (for cross-check): Current TTM P/E: 15.4x → Forward FY27E P/E ~10–11x (very attractive vs. IT/geospatial peers 20–25x) Historical median intrinsic models: ~₹1,246 Overall DCF range: ₹1,300–1,850 (central tendency ~₹1,550–1,650) Why the Model is Robust: Order book provides high visibility for first 2–3 years.Read more

CAMS recently experienced a price drop primarily due to a 1:1 bonus issue in early 2026, which naturally adjusted the share price downward. Beyond this mechanical change, the stock has faced pressure from a tougher regulatory environment.Read more

The refurbished devices market is going through a structural shift. Refurbished laptops and smartphones, once seen as second‑tier options, are becoming mainstream as consumers look for value and sustainability.Read more

MTAR technologies is a high-precision engineering company, making components and machinery for ISRO and nuclear reactors in India. However, despite this strong profile, for the past several years, the growth was lagging.Read more

Kajaria Ceramics has long been India’s flagship tiles and ceramics maker, known for strong brands like Kajaria, GresBond and Eternity. I've personally been a follower of them for a while now, and put considerable trust in the decision making prowess of the current managing director, who long-term Kajaria-heads like myself affectionally name "Uncle Kajar".Read more

Veefin is a prominent fintech company specializing in working capital financing solutions, catering to banks, financial institutions, and corporations. The company's software-as-a-service (SaaS) platform streamlines various aspects of working capital finance, such as supply chain financing and invoice discounting.Read more

Shilchar Technologies is strategically positioned to capitalize on several significant growth catalysts: Power Infrastructure Modernization: The Indian government's initiatives, such as the Revamped Distribution Sector Scheme (RDSS) and the overall National Infrastructure Pipeline, allocate massive capital to grid strengthening and electrification, directly driving demand for transformers. Renewable Energy Boom: The rapid global and domestic expansion of solar and wind energy projects is a primary driver of demand for Shilchar's specialized inverter and generator duty transformers.Read more