Treasury Wine Estates (TWE) Stock Overview
Operates as a wine company in Australia, the United States, the United Kingdom, and internationally. More details
| Snowflake Score | |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 4/6 |
| Future Growth | 3/6 |
| Past Performance | 0/6 |
| Financial Health | 3/6 |
| Dividends | 0/6 |
Rewards
Risk Analysis
No risks detected for TWE from our risk checks.
TWE Community Fair Values
Create NarrativeSee what 119 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.
Analyst Price Targets
Treasury Wine Estates Limited Competitors
Price History & Performance
| Historical stock prices | |
|---|---|
| Current Share Price | AU$4.66 |
| 52 Week High | AU$8.57 |
| 52 Week Low | AU$3.34 |
| Beta | 0.38 |
| 1 Month Change | 10.17% |
| 3 Month Change | 8.12% |
| 1 Year Change | -43.31% |
| 3 Year Change | -58.98% |
| 5 Year Change | -60.97% |
| Change since IPO | 38.69% |
Recent News & Updates
Recent updates
Narrative Update • Feb 07
TWE: Future Earnings Will Reflect Softer Margins Yet Supportive P/E Re-Rating
Analysts have reduced their price target for Treasury Wine Estates by a small amount, reflecting slightly higher discount rate assumptions, modestly softer profit margin expectations and a marginally richer future P/E multiple in their updated valuation work. Valuation Changes Fair value was trimmed slightly from 5.73 to 5.72, reflecting only a very small adjustment in the model output.
Narrative Update • Jan 24
TWE: Higher Margin Outlook Will Support Future Upside Potential
Analysts have trimmed their price target for Treasury Wine Estates by a small amount, reflecting slightly softer revenue growth assumptions and a modestly higher profit margin outlook while keeping the discount rate broadly unchanged. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Trimmed slightly, with the model output moving from A$8.14 to A$8.14, reflecting only a very small adjustment.Narrative Update • Jan 09
TWE: Revised Outlook Will Support Upside As Profitability Expectations Reset
Analysts have reduced their fair value estimate for Treasury Wine Estates from A$12.00 to about A$8.14, citing updated assumptions for revenue, margins and the P/E multiple that together point to a more conservative outlook for the shares. Valuation Changes Fair Value Estimate reduced from A$12.00 to about A$8.14, implying a materially lower assessment of intrinsic value.Narrative Update • Dec 25
TWE: Future Earnings Will Reflect Weaker Revenue And Narrower Margins
Analysts have reduced their price target for Treasury Wine Estates by approximately 23 percent, citing a sharper than previously expected revenue decline and some compression in projected profit margins, which is partly offset by a modestly higher forecast future P/E multiple. Valuation Changes The Fair Value Estimate has fallen significantly from A$7.48 to A$5.73, reflecting a lower intrinsic valuation for Treasury Wine Estates.Narrative Update • Dec 10
TWE: Future Margin Resilience Will Support Upside Despite Lower Growth Assumptions
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Treasury Wine Estates to approximately $7.48 from about $7.86 per share. This reflects more cautious assumptions on revenue growth and profit margins, while the discount rate and future valuation multiples remain broadly unchanged.Narrative Update • Nov 26
TWE: Index Exclusions Will Be Offset By Improving Profit Margins
Analysts have modestly lowered their price target for Treasury Wine Estates to $7.86 from $7.87. They cite expectations of slightly slower revenue growth, despite stable discount rates and a marginal improvement in profit margin forecasts.Narrative Update • Nov 10
TWE: Future U S Market Stabilization Will Support Earnings Recovery
Analysts have lowered their price target for Treasury Wine Estates from A$10.75 to A$8.70, citing ongoing challenges in the U.S. market and signs of weakness in China. These factors are expected to make the next financial year difficult for the company.Narrative Update • Oct 27
Market Challenges And Renewed Focus Will Shape Wine Industry Outlook
Analysts have lowered their price target for Treasury Wine Estates from A$10.75 to A$8.70. They cited concerns over a softer U.S. market and ongoing challenges for the company’s Penfolds brand in China.Narrative Update • Oct 13
Chinese Demand And Digital Shift Will Drive Wine Value
Treasury Wine Estates' analyst consensus price target has been lowered from A$10.75 to A$8.70. Analysts cite ongoing challenges in the U.S. market and continued weakness in Penfolds China as key factors behind the revised outlook.Analysis Article • Oct 09
Shareholders Will Probably Hold Off On Increasing Treasury Wine Estates Limited's (ASX:TWE) CEO Compensation For The Time Being
Key Insights Treasury Wine Estates' Annual General Meeting to take place on 16th of October Total pay for CEO Tim Ford...Narrative Update • Sep 04
Chinese Demand And Digital Shift Will Drive Wine Value
Analysts have lowered their outlook on Treasury Wine Estates citing ongoing U.S. market softness, weaker Penfolds sales in China, and continued challenging conditions into FY26, resulting in a maintained but more cautiously framed consensus price target of A$9.85. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts highlight ongoing softness in the U.S. market impacting revenue expectations.Analysis Article • Aug 04
Investors Still Waiting For A Pull Back In Treasury Wine Estates Limited (ASX:TWE)
Treasury Wine Estates Limited's ( ASX:TWE ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 39.9x might make it look like a...Analysis Article • Jun 18
An Intrinsic Calculation For Treasury Wine Estates Limited (ASX:TWE) Suggests It's 48% Undervalued
Key Insights The projected fair value for Treasury Wine Estates is AU$15.36 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity...Analysis Article • Apr 26
Treasury Wine Estates Limited's (ASX:TWE) P/E Still Appears To Be Reasonable
When close to half the companies in Australia have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 17x, you may consider...Analysis Article • Apr 09
These 4 Measures Indicate That Treasury Wine Estates (ASX:TWE) Is Using Debt Extensively
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company...
New Narrative • Feb 23
Penfolds' China Expansion And DAOU Integration To Strengthen Future Performance
The expansion into the Chinese market with strong Penfolds demand indicates robust future earnings potential and improved profit margins.Analysis Article • Feb 19
Treasury Wine Estates (ASX:TWE) Has Announced That It Will Be Increasing Its Dividend To A$0.20
The board of Treasury Wine Estates Limited ( ASX:TWE ) has announced that it will be paying its dividend of A$0.20 on...Analysis Article • Dec 17
Is Treasury Wine Estates (ASX:TWE) Using Too Much Debt?
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...Analysis Article • Oct 10
Here's Why We Think Treasury Wine Estates Limited's (ASX:TWE) CEO Compensation Looks Fair for the time being
Key Insights Treasury Wine Estates to hold its Annual General Meeting on 17th of October Total pay for CEO Tim Ford...Analysis Article • Aug 16
Treasury Wine Estates Limited Just Missed EPS By 62%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next
It's been a good week for Treasury Wine Estates Limited ( ASX:TWE ) shareholders, because the company has just released...Analysis Article • Jul 16
Treasury Wine Estates Limited's (ASX:TWE) P/E Still Appears To Be Reasonable
Treasury Wine Estates Limited's ( ASX:TWE ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 43.1x might make it look like a...Analysis Article • May 06
Are Investors Undervaluing Treasury Wine Estates Limited (ASX:TWE) By 44%?
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Treasury Wine Estates fair value estimate is AU$20.23 Treasury...Analysis Article • Apr 18
These 4 Measures Indicate That Treasury Wine Estates (ASX:TWE) Is Using Debt Extensively
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...Analysis Article • Feb 21
Treasury Wine Estates' (ASX:TWE) Conservative Accounting Might Explain Soft Earnings
Shareholders appeared unconcerned with Treasury Wine Estates Limited's ( ASX:TWE ) lackluster earnings report last...Analysis Article • Feb 04
Treasury Wine Estates Limited (ASX:TWE) Not Lagging Market On Growth Or Pricing
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 35.8x Treasury Wine Estates Limited ( ASX:TWE ) may be sending very...Analysis Article • Jan 09
Treasury Wine Estates Limited (ASX:TWE) Shares Could Be 49% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate
Key Insights Treasury Wine Estates' estimated fair value is AU$19.82 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Treasury...Analysis Article • Oct 25
Returns On Capital Signal Tricky Times Ahead For Treasury Wine Estates (ASX:TWE)
Did you know there are some financial metrics that can provide clues of a potential multi-bagger? Firstly, we'll want...Analysis Article • Sep 24
Is There An Opportunity With Treasury Wine Estates Limited's (ASX:TWE) 33% Undervaluation?
Key Insights Treasury Wine Estates' estimated fair value is AU$17.90 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Treasury...Analysis Article • Aug 19
Treasury Wine Estates' (ASX:TWE) Shareholders Will Receive A Bigger Dividend Than Last Year
Treasury Wine Estates Limited's ( ASX:TWE ) dividend will be increasing from last year's payment of the same period to...Analysis Article • Jul 11
Treasury Wine Estates' (ASX:TWE) Returns Have Hit A Wall
There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. Firstly, we'll want to see a...Analysis Article • Jun 20
We Think Treasury Wine Estates (ASX:TWE) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...Analysis Article • May 23
A Look At The Fair Value Of Treasury Wine Estates Limited (ASX:TWE)
Key Insights Treasury Wine Estates' estimated fair value is AU$11.31 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Current...Analysis Article • Feb 17
Treasury Wine Estates (ASX:TWE) Is Increasing Its Dividend To A$0.18
Treasury Wine Estates Limited ( ASX:TWE ) has announced that it will be increasing its dividend from last year's...Analysis Article • Feb 01
A Look At The Fair Value Of Treasury Wine Estates Limited (ASX:TWE)
How far off is Treasury Wine Estates Limited ( ASX:TWE ) from its intrinsic value? Using the most recent financial...Analysis Article • Dec 19
Does Treasury Wine Estates (ASX:TWE) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...Analysis Article • Dec 01
Returns At Treasury Wine Estates (ASX:TWE) Appear To Be Weighed Down
If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. Firstly, we'd want to identify a...Analysis Article • Oct 27
Is Treasury Wine Estates Limited (ASX:TWE) Trading At A 30% Discount?
Today we will run through one way of estimating the intrinsic value of Treasury Wine Estates Limited ( ASX:TWE ) by...Shareholder Returns
| TWE | AU Beverage | AU Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | 9.4% | -5.3% | 0.8% |
| 1Y | -43.3% | -47.3% | 2.3% |
Return vs Industry: TWE exceeded the Australian Beverage industry which returned -47.3% over the past year.
Return vs Market: TWE underperformed the Australian Market which returned 2.3% over the past year.
Price Volatility
| TWE volatility | |
|---|---|
| TWE Average Weekly Movement | 6.9% |
| Beverage Industry Average Movement | 6.2% |
| Market Average Movement | 10.2% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in AU Market | 17.5% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in AU Market | 4.1% |
Stable Share Price: TWE has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the Australian market.
Volatility Over Time: TWE's weekly volatility (7%) has been stable over the past year.
About the Company
| Founded | Employees | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1843 | 2,500 | Sam Fischer | www.tweglobal.com |
Treasury Wine Estates Limited operates as a wine company in Australia, the United States, the United Kingdom, and internationally. The company engages in the viticulture and winemaking, as well as marketing, sale, and distribution of wine. Its wine portfolio includes brands, such as Penfolds, DAOU Vineyards, 19 Crimes, Drop of Sunshine, Frank Family Vineyards, Wolf Blass, St Hubert’s The Stag, Matua, Lindeman’s, Squealing Pig, Blossom Hill, Pepper Jack, Wynns, Seppelt, Beringer, Etude, Sterling Vineyards, Beaulieu Vineyard, Stags’ Leap, Beringer Bros, and Castello di Gabbiano.
Treasury Wine Estates Limited Fundamentals Summary
| TWE fundamental statistics | |
|---|---|
| Market cap | AU$3.33b |
| Earnings (TTM) | -AU$433.40m |
| Revenue (TTM) | AU$2.73b |
1.4x
P/S Ratio-8.7x
P/E RatioIs TWE overvalued?
See Fair Value and valuation analysisEarnings & Revenue
| TWE income statement (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Revenue | AU$2.73b |
| Cost of Revenue | AU$1.47b |
| Gross Profit | AU$1.26b |
| Other Expenses | AU$1.69b |
| Earnings | -AU$433.40m |
Last Reported Earnings
Dec 31, 2025
Next Earnings Date
n/a
| Earnings per share (EPS) | -0.54 |
| Gross Margin | 46.06% |
| Net Profit Margin | -15.88% |
| Debt/Equity Ratio | 41.3% |
How did TWE perform over the long term?
See historical performance and comparisonCompany Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/06/04 08:28 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/06/04 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/06/30 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
| |
| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Treasury Wine Estates Limited is covered by 22 analysts. 13 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Thomas Kierath | Barrenjoey Markets Pty Limited |
| Euan Grant Mcleish | Bernstein |
| David Errington | BofA Global Research |