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TWE: Index Exclusions Will Be Offset By Improving Profit Margins

Update shared on 26 Nov 2025

Fair value Decreased 0.22%
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AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
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1Y
-48.6%
7D
4.3%

Analysts have modestly lowered their price target for Treasury Wine Estates to $7.86 from $7.87. They cite expectations of slightly slower revenue growth, despite stable discount rates and a marginal improvement in profit margin forecasts.

What's in the News

  • Treasury Wine Estates Limited (ASX:TWE) was dropped from the S&P Global 1200 index (Key Developments).
  • The company was also removed from the S&P International 700 index (Key Developments).
  • Treasury Wine Estates Limited is no longer included in the S&P/ASX 50 Index (Key Developments).

Valuation Changes

  • Consensus Analyst Price Target: decreased marginally from A$7.87 to A$7.86.
  • Discount Rate: remains unchanged at 6.67%.
  • Revenue Growth: projected to slow, with estimates falling from 0.91% to 0.78%.
  • Net Profit Margin: forecasted to improve slightly, rising from 16.72% to 16.79%.
  • Future P/E: expected to edge down from 15.08x to 15.05x.

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.