Napco Security Technologies Gelecekteki Büyüme
Future kriter kontrolleri 3/6
Napco Security Technologies kazanç ve gelirinin sırasıyla yıllık 21.1% ve 8% oranında artması tahmin edilirken, EPS'nin yıllık 20.1% oranında büyümesi bekleniyor.
Anahtar bilgiler
21.1%
Kazanç büyüme oranı
20.13%
EPS büyüme oranı
| Electronic kazanç büyümesi | 26.2% |
| Gelir büyüme oranı | 8.0% |
| Gelecekteki özkaynak getirisi | n/a |
| Analist kapsamı | Good |
| Son güncelleme | 25 Aug 2026 |
Gelecekteki son büyüme güncellemeleri
Recent updates
Seeking Alpha • Jul 21
Napco Security: How The MVP Platform Secures Napco's Future
Summary Napco Security Technologies is transitioning from hardware to a SaaS model, with recurring service revenue now comprising 51% of total sales at 90%+ gross margins. I assign NSSC a buy rating and a $50 per share target, citing robust operating leverage, a debt-free balance sheet, and strong free cash flow generation. The imminent MVP cloud platform launch is expected to catalyze high-margin recurring revenue growth, leveraging the company’s installed base of commercial fire alarm and door-locking devices. Key risks include declining hardware sales volume, potential supply chain disruptions, and execution risks tied to acquisitions and MVP platform adoption. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Jun 18
NSSC: Recurring Service Revenue Will Support Future Earnings Durability
Analysts have lifted their price target on Napco Security Technologies stock by $3, citing refreshed assumptions around growth, profitability, and forward P/E multiples reflected in recent Street research. What's in the News for Napco Security Technologies Napco Security Technologies reported Q3 2026 results that management described as strong operational performance, with revenue and adjusted EBITDA margins presented as key highlights.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Jun 04
NSSC: Rising Cash Generation And Index Inclusion Will Support Earnings Durability
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Napco Security Technologies up by $1 to $53, reflecting updated views on discount rate, profit margin, revenue growth, and future P/E assumptions following recent research, including TD Cowen's price target increase. What's in the News Recent coverage highlights Napco Security Technologies' revenue growth rate of 14.2% over the past five years, along with improving free cash flow margins and rising returns on capital, according to a multi source research summary dated 18 May 2026.
Anlatı Güncellemesi • May 21
NSSC: Cloud Ecosystem Expansion And New Research Update Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have raised their price target on Napco Security Technologies by $3 to reflect updated views on fair value, discount rates, growth, profitability, and future P/E assumptions cited in recent research. Analyst Commentary Even with a higher stated fair value, recent research still highlights several areas where bearish analysts are cautious on Napco Security Technologies.
Anlatı Güncellemesi • May 06
NSSC: Index Additions And SaaS Expansion Will Drive Future Upside Potential
Analysts have lifted their price target on Napco Security Technologies by about $1 to $50, citing updated views on fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions reflected in recent Street research. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts point to the raised price target of about $50 as a reflection of updated views on fair value, tying the new target to revised assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins and the future P/E applied to the stock.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Apr 21
NSSC: Fair Outlook Will Depend On Index Additions And Capital Returns
Analysts kept Napco Security Technologies' price target steady at $49.67, citing only modest tweaks to inputs such as discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions rather than any major shift in the investment case. What's in the News Napco is scheduled to showcase its full security portfolio at ISC West 2026, highlighting its four core brands, expanded StarLink intrusion and fire communicators with 5G and multi carrier support, and its MVP cloud ecosystem for security, access, and video integration (Key Developments).Anlatı Güncellemesi • Apr 07
NSSC: Cloud Ecosystem And Index Inclusion Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have maintained their $48.00 price target for Napco Security Technologies, citing broadly consistent assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E as the basis for their current view. What's in the News Napco Security Technologies is scheduled to participate in ISC West 2026, presenting its full security portfolio in a 2,500 sq.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Mar 24
NSSC: Recurring Cloud Services And RMR Focus Will Drive Future Upside
Analysts have kept their $48.00 price target on Napco Security Technologies unchanged, citing largely consistent assumptions around the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E multiple. What's in the News Napco Security Technologies is scheduled to participate in ISC West 2026, highlighting its "all under one roof" security portfolio across four core brands at a 2,500 sq.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Mar 09
NSSC: Higher Margin Outlook And Dividend Policy Will Support Upside
Analysts have lifted their price target on Napco Security Technologies from $36.00 to $48.00, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth of 9.71%, a profit margin of 25.16% and a future P/E of 33.43 as key drivers behind the higher fair value estimate. What's in the News Board declared a quarterly dividend of $0.15 per share, a 7% increase from the prior quarter, payable on April 3, 2026 to shareholders of record on March 12, 2026 (Key Developments).Anlatı Güncellemesi • Feb 23
NSSC: Fair Outlook Will Rely On Dividend And Buyback Support
Analysts have nudged their price target for Napco Security Technologies up by about $1 to $49.67, reflecting updated assumptions around fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E. What's in the News The board declared a quarterly dividend of $0.15 per share, a 7% increase from the previous quarter, payable on April 3, 2026, to shareholders of record on March 12, 2026 (Key Developments).Anlatı Güncellemesi • Feb 09
NSSC: Higher Margins And Dividend Growth Will Support Earnings Durability
Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Napco Security Technologies from $50.00 to $52.00, reflecting updated assumptions that include a revised discount rate, adjustments to revenue growth expectations, a higher profit margin forecast, and a slightly higher future P/E multiple. What's in the News Board declared a quarterly dividend of $0.15 per share, a 7% increase from the prior quarter, payable on April 3, 2026 to shareholders of record on March 12, 2026 (Key Developments).Analiz Makalesi • Feb 05
Napco Security Technologies' (NASDAQ:NSSC) Dividend Will Be Increased To $0.15
Napco Security Technologies, Inc. ( NASDAQ:NSSC ) has announced that it will be increasing its dividend from last...Anlatı Güncellemesi • Jan 25
NSSC: Recurring Quarterly Beats Will Support Higher Confidence In Earnings Durability
Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Napco Security Technologies to $50 from $45, citing recent research that highlights recurring quarterly beats and stronger equipment sales as key supports for a higher price target and slightly richer future P/E and margin assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research has turned more constructive on Napco Security Technologies, with bullish analysts highlighting consistent quarterly beats and stronger equipment sales as key reasons for raising fair value estimates.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Jan 11
NSSC: Sustained Estimate Beats And Equipment Demand Should Support Further Outperformance
Analysts have raised their price target on Napco Security Technologies by $7 to $50, citing recent estimate beats, faster equipment sales growth, and increased confidence in both near-term and long-term performance. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are pointing to recent estimate beats and quicker equipment sales growth as key reasons for their higher conviction in Napco Security Technologies.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Dec 22
NSSC: Accelerating Equipment Sales Should Sustain Outperformance Into Fiscal 2026
Analysts have modestly raised their price target on Napco Security Technologies to $50.00, citing the company’s repeated quarterly beats, accelerating equipment sales growth, and an increasingly favorable setup into FY26 as key drivers of renewed near term and long term conviction. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts highlight the third consecutive quarterly beat as evidence that Napco is executing well against expectations, supporting a higher valuation multiple.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Dec 08
NSSC: Accelerating Equipment Sales Will Drive Continued Outperformance Through Fiscal 2026
Analysts have nudged their price target for Napco Security Technologies higher, to about $50 per share from the low $40s, citing accelerating equipment sales, a pattern of quarterly beats, and growing confidence in the company’s setup through FY26. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates reflect a broadly constructive stance on Napco Security Technologies, with several firms lifting ratings and targets as earnings and revenue trends continue to exceed expectations.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Nov 24
NSSC: Equipment Sales Acceleration Will Drive Outperformance Into Fiscal 2026
Analysts have raised their price target for Napco Security Technologies from approximately $47.67 to $48.83 per share. They cite the company’s consistent quarterly beats and accelerating equipment sales growth as key drivers for the upward revision.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Nov 08
NSSC: Accelerating Equipment Sales Will Support Stronger Momentum Into Fiscal 2026
Analysts have raised their price target for Napco Security Technologies from $44.50 to approximately $47.67 per share. They cite continued outperformance, accelerating equipment sales, and improved conviction in both near- and longer-term prospects as key factors.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Oct 25
Demand Momentum And Service Revenue Expansion Will Drive Greater Resilience Ahead
Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Napco Security Technologies from $43 to $44.50 per share. They cite improved revenue growth, expanding profit margins, and heightened optimism for fiscal year 2026 following stronger-than-expected recent performance.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Oct 11
Wireless And Cloud Trends Will Secure Resilient Market Position
Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Napco Security Technologies to $43.00. This reflects optimism about stronger revenue growth and improved demand trends highlighted in recent research updates.Analiz Makalesi • Aug 31
What Napco Security Technologies, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:NSSC) 26% Share Price Gain Is Not Telling You
Despite an already strong run, Napco Security Technologies, Inc. ( NASDAQ:NSSC ) shares have been powering on, with a...Anlatı Güncellemesi • Aug 27
Introducing MVP Hosted Access And Prima Security Systems Will Drive Future Market Expansion
Napco Security Technologies' consensus price target has been revised upward to $37.50 as analysts cite strong Q4 outperformance, accelerating high-margin recurring revenue, improved equipment demand, and margin expansion from StarLink services, despite ongoing macroeconomic uncertainties. Analyst Commentary Strong Q4 performance with revenue and EPS exceeding expectations, driven by equipment outperformance and high-margin recurring service revenue accelerating to its highest sequential growth in six quarters.Analiz Makalesi • Jul 14
Napco Security Technologies (NASDAQ:NSSC) Is Achieving High Returns On Its Capital
What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? Firstly...Analiz Makalesi • May 09
There's Reason For Concern Over Napco Security Technologies, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:NSSC) Massive 32% Price Jump
Napco Security Technologies, Inc. ( NASDAQ:NSSC ) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 32% after a shaky...Analiz Makalesi • May 08
Analysts Have Made A Financial Statement On Napco Security Technologies, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:NSSC) Third-Quarter Report
It's been a good week for Napco Security Technologies, Inc. ( NASDAQ:NSSC ) shareholders, because the company has just...Seeking Alpha • Apr 23
Napco Security: Recession-Resistant Business With A Fortress Balance Sheet And Zero Debt
Summary Napco Security's services segment, driven by StarLink radios, has grown at a 34% CAGR since 2019, now representing nearly 80% of gross profits. The shift from POTS to cellular radios creates substantial retrofit demand, with 4 million US buildings yet to upgrade, offering significant growth potential. Despite recent weak equipment sales, radio sales have surged 93% YoY, indicating future services revenue growth and improving operating margins. With a strong balance sheet and recession-resistant business model, NAPCO is projected to achieve $2.50 EPS by 2026, targeting a share price of $40. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnaliz Makalesi • Apr 15
Here's Why We Think Napco Security Technologies (NASDAQ:NSSC) Might Deserve Your Attention Today
It's common for many investors, especially those who are inexperienced, to buy shares in companies with a good story...Analiz Makalesi • Mar 31
Is It Too Late To Consider Buying Napco Security Technologies, Inc. (NASDAQ:NSSC)?
Napco Security Technologies, Inc. ( NASDAQ:NSSC ), might not be a large cap stock, but it received a lot of attention...Seeking Alpha • Mar 13
Napco Security Technologies: The Extended Dip Is A Good Entry Point
Summary Napco Security Technologies is transitioning from hardware sales to high-margin recurring service revenue, which is expected to drive margin expansion and shareholder returns. Despite a 37% dip in share price, Napco's strong balance sheet, with no debt and nearly $100 million in cash, positions it well for growth. Q2 2025 results show a 14.4% YoY increase in recurring service revenue, now making up 49% of total revenue, highlighting the successful pivot. Risks include prolonged weakness in equipment sales and the need for continuous innovation, but the long-term growth story remains compelling. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnaliz Makalesi • Mar 10
We Like Napco Security Technologies' (NASDAQ:NSSC) Returns And Here's How They're Trending
Did you know there are some financial metrics that can provide clues of a potential multi-bagger? Amongst other things...Analiz Makalesi • Feb 08
Napco Security Technologies, Inc. (NASDAQ:NSSC) May Have Run Too Fast Too Soon With Recent 27% Price Plummet
Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Napco Security Technologies, Inc. ( NASDAQ:NSSC ) share price has dived 27% in...Analiz Makalesi • Dec 23
Earnings Not Telling The Story For Napco Security Technologies, Inc. (NASDAQ:NSSC)
When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 18x, you may...Seeking Alpha • Dec 12
Napco Security Technologies: Unlocking Profitable Growth
Summary Napco Security Technologies focuses on electronic security devices, with strong growth in recurring service revenues and StarLink radio sales. Q1'25 results showed a 6% increase in sales, with a 91% gross margin on service revenues, despite a temporary decline in locking hardware sales. New products like the Prima security panel and StarLink Fire Max 2 communicator boost Napco's market position and recurring revenue potential. Napco maintains a debt-free financial position, providing flexibility for future investments, stock buybacks, or acquisitions. The valuation is attractive with a forward P/E of 26.9x for FY'25 and 21.1x for FY'26, which is justified given profitable growth ahead. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaKazanç ve Gelir Büyüme Tahminleri
| Tarih | Gelir | Kazançlar | Serbest Nakit Akışı | Faaliyetlerden Nakit | Avg. Analist Sayısı |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/30/2028 | 238 | 66 | 67 | 70 | 4 |
| 6/30/2027 | 219 | 59 | 59 | 67 | 6 |
| 6/30/2026 | 202 | 43 | 59 | 61 | N/A |
| 3/31/2026 | 197 | 37 | 56 | 58 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 192 | 47 | 54 | 55 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 187 | 44 | 52 | 53 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 182 | 43 | 51 | 54 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 181 | 45 | 51 | 53 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 187 | 48 | 49 | 52 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 191 | 51 | 44 | 46 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 189 | 50 | 44 | 45 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 183 | 47 | 42 | 43 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 177 | 43 | 39 | 42 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 172 | 35 | 35 | 38 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 170 | 27 | 22 | 25 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 169 | 24 | 9 | 12 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 161 | 18 | 0 | 2 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 152 | 15 | 2 | 3 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 144 | 20 | 7 | 8 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 136 | 18 | 13 | 15 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 128 | 19 | 20 | 22 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 122 | 21 | 21 | 23 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 114 | 15 | 22 | 23 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 102 | 7 | 19 | 20 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 100 | 7 | 13 | 14 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 98 | 8 | 10 | 11 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 101 | 8 | 9 | 10 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 108 | 15 | N/A | 10 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 107 | 15 | N/A | 7 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 106 | 14 | N/A | 8 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 103 | 12 | N/A | 9 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 101 | 11 | N/A | 9 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 98 | 10 | N/A | 11 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 94 | 8 | N/A | 9 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 92 | 8 | N/A | 8 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 90 | 7 | N/A | 6 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 89 | 6 | N/A | 2 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 88 | 6 | N/A | 2 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 87 | 6 | N/A | 2 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 86 | 6 | N/A | 4 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 85 | 6 | N/A | 9 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 85 | 6 | N/A | 9 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 83 | 6 | N/A | 9 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 81 | 6 | N/A | 7 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 80 | 5 | N/A | 5 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 79 | 5 | N/A | 4 | N/A |
Analist Gelecek Büyüme Tahminleri
Kazançlar ve Tasarruf Oranları: NSSC 'nin tahmini kazanç büyümesi (yıllık 21.1% ) tasarruf oranının ( 3.7% ) üzerindedir.
Kazançlar ve Piyasa: NSSC şirketinin kazançlarının (yıllık 21.1% ) US pazarından (yıllık 17.4% ) daha hızlı büyümesi öngörülüyor.
Yüksek Büyüme Kazançları: NSSC şirketinin kazançlarının önümüzdeki 3 yıl içerisinde önemli ölçüde artması bekleniyor.
Gelir ve Pazar: NSSC şirketinin gelirinin (yıllık 8% ) US pazarından (yıllık 13.5% ) daha yavaş büyümesi öngörülüyor.
Yüksek Büyüme Geliri: NSSC şirketinin gelirinin (yıllık 8% ) yıllık 20% oranından daha yavaş büyümesi öngörülüyor.
Hisse Başına Kazanç Büyüme Tahminleri
Gelecekteki Özkaynak Getirisi
Gelecekteki ROE: NSSC 'un Özsermaye Getirisi'nin 3 yıl içinde yüksek olmasının öngörülüp öngörülmediğini belirlemek için yeterli veri yok
Büyüyen şirketleri keşfedin
Şirket Analizi ve Finansal Veri Durumu
| Veri | Son Güncelleme (UTC saati) |
|---|---|
| Şirket Analizi | 2026/09/10 03:31 |
| Gün Sonu Hisse Fiyatı | 2026/09/10 00:00 |
| Kazançlar | 2026/06/30 |
| Yıllık Kazançlar | 2026/06/30 |
Veri Kaynakları
Şirket analizimizde kullanılan veriler S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC'den alınmıştır. Bu raporu oluşturmak için analiz modelimizde aşağıdaki veriler kullanılmıştır. Veriler normalize edilmiştir, bu da kaynağın mevcut olmasından kaynaklanan bir gecikmeye neden olabilir.
| Paket | Veri | Zaman Çerçevesi | Örnek ABD Kaynağı * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Şirket Finansalları | 10 yıl |
| |
| Analist Konsensüs Tahminleri | +3 yıl |
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| Piyasa Fiyatları | 30 yıl |
| |
| Sahiplik | 10 yıl |
| |
| Yönetim | 10 yıl |
| |
| Önemli Gelişmeler | 10 yıl |
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* ABD menkul kıymetleri için örnek, ABD dışı için eşdeğer düzenleyici formlar ve kaynaklar kullanılmıştır.
Belirtilmediği sürece tüm finansal veriler yıllık bir döneme dayanmaktadır ancak üç ayda bir güncellenmektedir. Bu, İzleyen On İki Ay (TTM) veya Son On İki Ay (LTM) Verileri olarak bilinir. Daha fazla bilgi edinin.
Analiz Modeli ve Kar Tanesi
Bu raporu oluşturmak için kullanılan analiz modelinin ayrıntılarına Github sayfamızdan ulaşabilirsiniz; ayrıca raporlarımızı nasıl kullanacağınıza dair kılavuzlarımız ve YouTube’da eğitim videolarımız da bulunmaktadır.
Simply Wall St analiz modelini tasarlayan ve oluşturan hakkında bilgi edinin.
Endüstri ve Sektör Metrikleri
Sektör ve bölüm metriklerimiz Simply Wall St tarafından her 6 saatte bir hesaplanmaktadır, sürecimizin ayrıntıları Github'da mevcuttur.
Analist Kaynakları
Napco Security Technologies, Inc. 11 Bu analistlerden 6, raporumuzun girdisi olarak kullanılan gelir veya kazanç tahminlerini sunmuştur. Analistlerin gönderimleri gün boyunca güncellenmektedir.
| Analist | Kurum |
|---|---|
| Thomas Walkley | Canaccord Genuity |
| Jeremy Hamblin | Craig-Hallum Capital Group LLC |
| Matt Summerville | D.A. Davidson & Co. |