Microsoft (MSFT) Hisse Özeti
Bir teknoloji şirketi olan Microsoft Corporation, dünya çapında bireyler ve işletmeler için bir dizi teknoloji çözümü geliştirir ve destekler. Daha fazla detay
| Kar Tanesi Skoru | |
|---|---|
| Değerleme | 2/6 |
| Gelecekteki Büyüme | 3/6 |
| Geçmiş Performans | 6/6 |
| Finansal Sağlık | 6/6 |
| Temettüler | 4/6 |
Last Earnings Call
Q4 2026 · 29 Jul 2026For the fiscal year 2026 fourth quarter, Microsoft reported revenue of $90.0 billion, a 18% increase year-over-year. The company beat analyst consensus estimates, which were approximately $87.63 billion for revenue and $4.24 for adjusted EPS. Microsoft reported a non-GAAP diluted EPS of $4.74, also surpassing expectations.
Financial Highlights & Outlook
- Key Metrics: Microsoft Cloud revenue reached $59.3 billion (up 27%), with Azure revenue growing 43%. Annual revenue surpassed $331 billion.
- AI Growth: M365 Copilot surpassed 30 million paid seats. Commercial remaining performance obligation (RPO) grew 84% to $678 billion.
- Outlook: Management expects Q1 fiscal year 2027 revenue between $89.85 billion and $90.95 billion, with continued Azure growth acceleration and capital expenditures exceeding $50 billion.
Market Reaction Despite beating analyst expectations, Microsoft shares fell by approximately 0.71% following the earnings release. Analysts cited ongoing investor concerns regarding the heavy capital expenditure required for AI infrastructure, margin compression, and the long-term sustainability of AI-driven spending as the primary reasons for the market's tepid reaction.
MSFT Community Fair Values
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Analyst Price Targets
Top Community Narratives
Microsoft Corporation Rakipler
Fiyat Geçmişi ve Performans
| Tarihsel hisse senedi fiyatları | |
|---|---|
| Güncel Hisse Fiyatı | US$503.81 |
| 52 Haftanın En Yüksek Seviyesi | US$553.72 |
| 52 Haftanın En Düşük Seviyesi | US$349.20 |
| Beta | 1.1 |
| 1 Aylık Değişim | 30.83% |
| 3 Aylık Değişim | 24.33% |
| 1 Yıllık Değişim | -4.81% |
| 3 Yıllık Değişim | 56.53% |
| 5 Yıllık Değişim | 71.90% |
| Halka arzdan bu yana değişim | 518,105.76% |
Son Haberler & Güncellemeler
Seeking Alpha • Aug 08
Microsoft Corporation: A Buy And Hold Forever Type Of Stock
Summary Microsoft Corporation remains a strong buy, especially on modest pullbacks, given its history of growth and cash flow generation. Microsoft's recent rally followed an earnings call that dispelled over-pessimism, with the stock outperforming the market by approximately 14% since the last upgrade. Cloud revenue acceleration and an overlooked gaming segment are driving near-term upside, while valuation remains attractive relative to historical highs. Key risks include shifting investor sentiment and rising capex, but Microsoft's dominant market position and upcoming investment payoffs support a long-term hold. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Yeni Anlatı • Aug 05
Earnings Grew 22%, Not 31%, And The Difference Is OpenAI Accounting
Correct the growth rate first. GAAP net income rose 31%.Recent updates
Seeking Alpha • Aug 08
Microsoft Corporation: A Buy And Hold Forever Type Of Stock
Summary Microsoft Corporation remains a strong buy, especially on modest pullbacks, given its history of growth and cash flow generation. Microsoft's recent rally followed an earnings call that dispelled over-pessimism, with the stock outperforming the market by approximately 14% since the last upgrade. Cloud revenue acceleration and an overlooked gaming segment are driving near-term upside, while valuation remains attractive relative to historical highs. Key risks include shifting investor sentiment and rising capex, but Microsoft's dominant market position and upcoming investment payoffs support a long-term hold. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaYeni Anlatı • Aug 05
Earnings Grew 22%, Not 31%, And The Difference Is OpenAI Accounting
Correct the growth rate first. GAAP net income rose 31%.
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Aug 05
MSFT: AI Data Center Capex Will Pressure Margins And Cash Flows
Microsoft's updated fair value estimate has moved up by around $9 to $422.83 per share as analysts factor in higher expected profit margins and sustained AI driven demand for Azure and Copilot, reflected in a series of recent price target revisions that often sit in the $500 to $650 range. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Microsoft highlights a clear split between bullish long term AI optimism and more cautious voices that are focused on valuation, capital intensity, and execution around Azure and Copilot.Analiz Makalesi • Aug 01
Earnings Update: Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ:MSFT) Just Reported Its Annual Results And Analysts Are Updating Their Forecasts
Shareholders will be ecstatic, with their stake up 22% over the past week following Microsoft Corporation 's...
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Aug 01
Microsoft Made $26.7 Billion More and Brought Home Less Cash. The Stock Jumped 15% in a Single Day.
Best year in the company's history. Record margins.
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Aug 01
10-K Update
Updated with the most recent annual report.
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Jul 31
Microsoft (MSFT): The Toll Road Just Sent Its First Real Invoice
The Quarter That Answered the Question I Left Open Two weeks ago I closed this narrative with a question I genuinely couldn't answer: when does a $190 billion capex number stop looking like vertigo and start looking like foresight? I said nobody knew, and that not knowing was what made this a real bet rather than an obvious one.
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Jul 22
MSFT: AI Infrastructure Spending Will Support Premium Multiples Over Longer Horizon
Microsoft's analyst price targets have edged lower, with several firms trimming objectives by amounts such as $25 to $115, while still pointing to Azure, Copilot, AI driven demand and tighter cost control as key supports for the long term thesis and for updated assumptions around revenue growth, margins and future P/E multiples. Analyst Commentary Recent commentary on Microsoft continues to center on how its AI and cloud spending filters through to growth, profitability and valuation.
Yeni Anlatı • Jul 19
Is Microsoft on sale? and Its Case in the AI Race
(This story appeared on my substack page around a week ago: https://open.substack.com/pub/piproberts25/p/is-microsoft-on-sale-and-its-case?r=6kjdcg&utm_campaign=post-expanded-share&utm_medium=web ) Last October, Microsoft was trading at around US$540 per share. Today it trades closer to US$385.Yeni Anlatı • Jul 13
Microsoft (MSFT): The AI Bull Case Everyone Sees, Trading at a Multiple Nobody's Willing to Pay
What Microsoft Actually Does (And Why the Bear Case Misreads It) Most retail investors think of Microsoft as "the Windows and Office company that also does AI now." That framing is about eight years out of date. Microsoft today is a three-headed compounding machine — enterprise productivity software, cloud infrastructure, and, increasingly, the metering layer for the entire AI economy — and the third head is growing fast enough to change how the other two should be valued.
Yeni Anlatı • Jul 06
Microsoft Are Industry Leaders at a Heavy Discount
Microsoft's decline in value over the last year is not surprising, but whether or not it was deserved is another thing entirely. Similar to their peers, a lot of money has been spent developing their AI infrastructure.Yeni Anlatı • Jul 04
A wonderful business at reasonable price.
Microsoft rarely goes on sale, so it's worth paying attention when the multiple compresses. At around $380, the stock trades at roughly 22–23x trailing earnings and ~14x EV/EBITDA, well below its own seven year historical range.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Jun 30
MSFT: AI Infrastructure And OpenAI Stake Will Drive Future Upside
Microsoft's updated analyst narrative reflects a lower implied fair value of about $413 per share, compared with roughly $438 previously, as analysts trim long term gross margin assumptions and future P/E expectations while still recognizing higher modeled revenue growth and profitability tied to the company's AI positioning and recent research commentary. Analyst Commentary Recent research coverage on Microsoft highlights a split view, with some firms still constructive on the company's AI roadmap while a separate group of bearish analysts has been trimming price targets and reassessing long term assumptions.Analiz Makalesi • Jun 19
Microsoft (MSFT) Stock Could Be 18.6% Undervalued After China AI Push and Copilot Reset
Microsoft (MSFT) is back in focus after two linked moves: rapid expansion of its Azure hosted OpenAI services in China and a reset of Copilot Cowork pricing and underlying AI models. See our latest analysis for Microsoft. Despite a long list of AI partnerships and new products like Copilot Cowork, Microsoft’s recent share price performance has been weak, with the stock down 19.8% year to date on a share price basis and total shareholder return declining 20.4% over the past year. However,...
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Jun 16
MSFT: AI Infrastructure Buildout And Commercial Backlog Will Drive Future Leadership
Analysts have nudged the Microsoft price target higher by $0.50 to reflect slightly adjusted assumptions for fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E, supported by recent research that highlights Microsoft's positioning in AI software and its progress on capacity, models and Copilot. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Microsoft shows an active debate around how much AI should influence valuation, with both supportive and cautious voices adjusting their targets and views.Analiz Makalesi • Jun 12
Software stocks just gave investors a masterclass
Software stocks crashed on fears AI would make them obsolete, then they came roaring back. This edition of Market Insights aims to hand investors a repeatable playbook for separating real risk from market panic.Analiz Makalesi • Jun 12
Software stocks just gave investors a masterclass
Software stocks crashed on fears AI would make them obsolete, then they came roaring back. This edition of Market Insights aims to hand investors a repeatable playbook for separating real risk from market panic.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Jun 01
MSFT: AI Infrastructure Buildout And Cloud Backlog Will Support Long-Term Leadership
Narrative Update on Microsoft Microsoft's analyst price target framework has been refined with a slightly lower fair value of about $560.89. This reflects analyst views that stronger revenue growth tied to AI initiatives is being balanced by modestly lower margin expectations and a slightly higher required return.
Yeni Anlatı • May 21
Microsoft no es una apuesta. Es una franquicia global de la que se puede ser socio durante décadas.
Copilot me ha creado un investment memo ampliado al estilo Warren Buffett , usando exclusivamente datos verificables de Investor Relations de Microsoft (earnings, 10‑Q, reports) y manteniendo un tono sobrio, basado en principios de inversión a largo plazo. Investment Memo – Microsoft (MSFT) (Estilo Buffett: negocio, moat, retorno sobre capital, disciplina de precio) 1.Anlatı Güncellemesi • May 11
Microsoft's enterprise cash-flow durability stays unmatched despite near-term margin pressures
Microsoft’s long‑term economic value remains grounded in the same core reality: the company’s enterprise cash‑flow durability continues to be unmatched. High‑retention subscription economics, entrenched operating‑system and productivity moats, and the scale advantages of Azure still anchor Microsoft’s intrinsic worth far more than any short‑term growth narrative.Yeni Anlatı • May 10
Microsoft will achieve a future PE ratio of 24.626979x by leveraging strong growth
Valuation In 3–5 years, I think Microsoft becomes even more dominant in enterprise AI, cloud infrastructure, and productivity software. Azure and Copilot are probably the biggest growth drivers, while Windows, Office, LinkedIn, GitHub, and gaming remain huge cash generators.Analiz Makalesi • May 02
Microsoft Corporation Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Predictions
Last week, you might have seen that Microsoft Corporation ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) released its third-quarter result to the...Anlatı Güncellemesi • May 02
Microsoft Just Had a Quarter for the History Books. I Still Haven't Bought a Share.
In late March I told you the fundamentals were a fortress and the price had not caught up to the fear yet. The fear faded.Anlatı Güncellemesi • May 02
MSFT: AI Infrastructure Self Sufficiency And Global Data Center Expansion Will Drive Leadership
Analysts have trimmed their average price targets on Microsoft, reflecting a lower assumed fair value of around $562 and a reduced future P/E of roughly 28x. This comes even as they continue to reference solid revenue growth assumptions and mixed reactions to recent OpenAI and AI infrastructure updates across the latest research reports.Yeni Anlatı • Apr 30
AI Infrastructure And Enterprise Agents Will Reshape Long Term Earnings Power
Catalysts About Microsoft Microsoft is a global technology company that offers cloud services, productivity software, AI platforms, business applications, security products and consumer services. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?Anlatı Güncellemesi • Apr 18
MSFT: AI Infrastructure Self Sufficiency And Heavy Data Center Commitments Will Sustain Leadership
Microsoft's analyst fair value estimate has been adjusted slightly lower to $579.57, as analysts factor in updated price targets that reflect a mix of reduced P/E assumptions, along with expectations for revenue growth and profit margins tied to AI and cloud spending. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Microsoft reflects a mix of optimism and caution as analysts recalibrate price targets and ratings around AI, cloud spending, and capital intensity.Yeni Anlatı • Apr 16
AI Infrastructure Constraints Will Pressure Cloud Margins Yet Support Stable Long Term Earnings
Catalysts About Microsoft Microsoft is a global technology company that provides cloud services, productivity software, AI platforms and related hardware and services to enterprise, government and consumer customers. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?Yeni Anlatı • Apr 13
Microsoft Could Reach $600 Over the Next Five Years
Microsoft has a strong path to $600 over the next five years because it combines durable growth, elite profitability, and a leadership position in AI, cloud, and enterprise software. Its recurring revenue base makes earnings more predictable, while Azure, Microsoft 365, and its AI products give it multiple ways to compound value over time.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Apr 03
MSFT: AI Infrastructure Buildout And Self Sufficiency Will Support Long Duration Leadership
Microsoft's analyst price target has been modestly trimmed as the fair value estimate shifts from $594.62 to $587.31, reflecting a round of target reductions and mixed views on AI related risks and opportunities, even as several firms maintain positive long term opinions on the company's role in software and infrastructure. Analyst Commentary Recent commentary around Microsoft shows a split view, with many research houses trimming price targets while still seeing long term potential, and a smaller group turning more cautious on AI related execution risks, valuation, and competitive threats.Yeni Anlatı • Mar 29
Everyone's Terrified Microsoft Will Keep Spending. I'm Terrified They'll Stop.
Microsoft just burned $37.5 billion in 90 days. The stock has lost a third of its value.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Mar 19
MSFT: AI Infrastructure Buildout And Self Sufficiency Will Support Long Duration Leadership
Analysts have made a small cut to the Microsoft analyst price target, trimming fair value by about $1 to $594.62 as they factor in a slightly higher discount rate, modest tweaks to long term revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, and a marginally lower future P/E. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Microsoft presents a mixed but detailed picture, with several firms adjusting price targets and ratings as they recalibrate expectations around AI, capital spending, and long term growth assumptions.Yeni Anlatı • Mar 05
A Structured Counter‑Analysis of "The Leaking Dreadnought"
A Structured Counter‑Analysis of "The Leaking Dreadnought" Microsoft is not a leaking vessel drifting toward structural decline; it is a company in the middle of a capital‑intensive platform transition whose long‑term logic the article fundamentally misreads. The critique below addresses the article’s core claims and reframes them through the lens of Microsoft’s actual strategic architecture, economic model, and competitive position.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Mar 05
MSFT: AI Infrastructure Self Sufficiency Will Support Long Duration Cloud Leadership
Narrative Update The analyst price target for Microsoft has been trimmed by a modest amount in dollar terms. Analysts are factoring in slightly lower revenue growth, a small step down in profit margin assumptions, a marginally higher discount rate, and a slightly richer future P/E multiple.Yeni Anlatı • Feb 22
Microsoft: Real‑Terms Economic Value Anchored in Durability, Not Growth Assumptions
Microsoft’s true economic value rests on its unmatched enterprise cash-flow durability, high-retention subscription model, and deep competitive moats in operating systems, productivity platforms, and cloud infrastructure. These produce stable, high-margin recurring cash flows capable of long-duration compounding under disciplined capital allocation.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Feb 18
MSFT: AI Self Sufficiency And Global Data Center Expansion Will Sustain Cloud Leadership
Our analyst price target for Microsoft has been nudged lower by a few dollars to reflect a slightly reduced fair value estimate of about $596, as analysts balance ongoing enthusiasm around AI driven capital spending with a wave of recent target trims. These largely stem from valuation discipline and concerns that prior long term assumptions, including P/E and margin expectations, may have been set too high.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Feb 04
MSFT: AI Infrastructure Partnerships And Data Center Expansion Will Sustain Cloud Leadership
Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Microsoft by about $19 to $603, citing a blend of slightly higher discount rates, modestly stronger revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, and a lower future P/E multiple that reflects the recent wave of price target resets and still constructive, AI driven, long term views across recent research. Analyst Commentary Recent research around Microsoft centers on how to value its AI opportunity, the required capital spending, and whether current expectations are too high or still leave room for upside.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Jan 21
MSFT: AI Infrastructure Buildout And OpenAI Partnership Will Sustain Cloud Leadership
Microsoft's updated analyst price target edges slightly lower, with fair value now at about $622.19, as analysts balance modest tweaks to the discount rate and P/E assumptions against ongoing AI related demand signals highlighted in recent research. Analyst Commentary Recent research around Microsoft clusters into two broad camps, with most commentary still constructive on AI driven growth and cloud execution, while a smaller group is more cautious on capital intensity and hyperscaler economics.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Jan 13
Microsoft (MSFT): When AI Becomes the Operating Layer of Work
Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) is no longer just a software company—it’s becoming the operating layer for modern work. Windows, Office, Azure, and now AI-powered copilots form an interconnected ecosystem that spans individual users, enterprises, and governments.Hissedar Getirileri
| MSFT | US Software | US Pazar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | 2.2% | 2.4% | 0.09% |
| 1Y | -4.8% | -8.5% | 19.0% |
Getiri vs. Endüstri: MSFT geçen yıl % -8.5 oranında getiri sağlayan US Software sektörünü aştı.
Getiri vs Piyasa: MSFT geçen yıl % 19 oranında getiri sağlayan US Piyasasının altında performans gösterdi.
Fiyat Oynaklığı
| MSFT volatility | |
|---|---|
| MSFT Average Weekly Movement | 6.5% |
| Software Industry Average Movement | 9.8% |
| Market Average Movement | 7.2% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 16.3% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 3.1% |
İstikrarlı Hisse Senedi Fiyatı: MSFT son 3 ayda US piyasasına kıyasla önemli bir fiyat oynaklığı yaşamadı.
Zaman İçindeki Volatilite: MSFT 'nin haftalık oynaklığı ( 7% ) son bir yıldır istikrarlı seyretti.
Şirket Hakkında
| Kuruldu | Çalışanlar | CEO | Web sitesi |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 223,000 | Satya Nadella | www.microsoft.com |
Bir teknoloji şirketi olan Microsoft Corporation, dünya çapında bireyler ve işletmeler için bir dizi teknoloji çözümü geliştirir ve destekler. Şirket, üç iş kolu üzerinden faaliyet göstermektedir: Verimlilik ve İş Süreçleri, Akıllı Bulut ve Daha Kişisel Bilgi İşlem. Verimlilik ve İş Süreçleri segmenti, Microsoft 365 Commercial, Enterprise Mobility + Security, Power BI, Exchange, SharePoint, Microsoft Teams, Microsoft 365 Security and Compliance, Microsoft 365 Copilot ile şirket içi Windows Commercial ve lisanslı şirket içi Office ürünlerini sunmaktadır.
Microsoft Corporation Temel Bilgiler Özeti
| MSFT temel i̇stati̇sti̇kler | |
|---|---|
| Piyasa değeri | US$3.76t |
| Kazançlar(TTM) | US$133.75b |
| Gelir(TTM) | US$331.84b |
28.0x
F/K Oranı11.3x
P/S OranıMSFT aşırı değerli mi?
Gerçeğe Uygun Değer ve değerleme analizine bakınızKazanç ve Gelir
| MSFT gelir tablosu (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Gelir | US$331.84b |
| Gelir Maliyeti | US$106.37b |
| Brüt Kâr | US$225.47b |
| Diğer Giderler | US$91.72b |
| Kazançlar | US$133.75b |
Son Raporlanan Kazançlar
Jun 30, 2026
Sonraki Kazanç Tarihi
n/a
| Hisse başına kazanç (EPS) | 18.01 |
| Brüt Marj | 67.94% |
| Net Kâr Marjı | 40.31% |
| Borç/Özkaynak Oranı | 9.1% |
MSFT uzun vadede nasıl bir performans gösterdi?
Geçmiş performansı ve karşılaştırmayı görünTemettüler
0.7%
Mevcut Temettü Verimi20%
Ödeme OranıMSFT güvenilir bir temettü ödüyor mu?
MSFT temettü geçmişine ve kıyaslamalara bakın| Microsoft temettü tari̇hleri̇ | |
|---|---|
| Eski Temettü Tarihi | Aug 20 2026 |
| Temettü Ödeme Tarihi | Sep 10 2026 |
| Eski temettüye kadar geçen günler | 8 days |
| Temettü ödeme tarihine kadar geçen günler | 29 days |
MSFT güvenilir bir temettü ödüyor mu?
MSFT temettü geçmişine ve kıyaslamalara bakınŞirket Analizi ve Finansal Veri Durumu
| Veri | Son Güncelleme (UTC saati) |
|---|---|
| Şirket Analizi | 2026/08/11 10:12 |
| Gün Sonu Hisse Fiyatı | 2026/08/11 00:00 |
| Kazançlar | 2026/06/30 |
| Yıllık Kazançlar | 2026/06/30 |
Veri Kaynakları
Şirket analizimizde kullanılan veriler S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC'den alınmıştır. Bu raporu oluşturmak için analiz modelimizde aşağıdaki veriler kullanılmıştır. Veriler normalize edilmiştir, bu da kaynağın mevcut olmasından kaynaklanan bir gecikmeye neden olabilir.
| Paket | Veri | Zaman Çerçevesi | Örnek ABD Kaynağı * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Şirket Finansalları | 10 yıl |
| |
| Analist Konsensüs Tahminleri | +3 yıl |
|
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| Piyasa Fiyatları | 30 yıl |
| |
| Sahiplik | 10 yıl |
| |
| Yönetim | 10 yıl |
| |
| Önemli Gelişmeler | 10 yıl |
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* ABD menkul kıymetleri için örnek, ABD dışı için eşdeğer düzenleyici formlar ve kaynaklar kullanılmıştır.
Belirtilmediği sürece tüm finansal veriler yıllık bir döneme dayanmaktadır ancak üç ayda bir güncellenmektedir. Bu, İzleyen On İki Ay (TTM) veya Son On İki Ay (LTM) Verileri olarak bilinir. Daha fazla bilgi edinin.
Analiz Modeli ve Kar Tanesi
Bu raporu oluşturmak için kullanılan analiz modelinin ayrıntılarına Github sayfamızdan ulaşabilirsiniz; ayrıca raporlarımızı nasıl kullanacağınıza dair kılavuzlarımız ve YouTube’da eğitim videolarımız da bulunmaktadır.
Simply Wall St analiz modelini tasarlayan ve oluşturan dünya standartlarındaki ekip hakkında bilgi edinin.
Endüstri ve Sektör Metrikleri
Sektör ve bölüm metriklerimiz Simply Wall St tarafından her 6 saatte bir hesaplanmaktadır, sürecimizin ayrıntıları Github'da mevcuttur.
Analist Kaynakları
Microsoft Corporation 86 Bu analistlerden 49, raporumuzun girdisi olarak kullanılan gelir veya kazanç tahminlerini sunmuştur. Analistlerin gönderimleri gün boyunca güncellenmektedir.
| Analist | Kurum |
|---|---|
| Kadambari Daptardar | Accountability Research Corporation |
| Adam Shepherd | Arete Research Services LLP |
| Joseph Bonner | Argus Research Company |