Empire State Realty Trust, Inc.

NYSE:ESRT Stok Raporu

Piyasa değeri: US$1.2b

Empire State Realty Trust Gelecekteki Büyüme

Future kriter kontrolleri 0/6

Empire State Realty Trust'in gelirinin artacağı tahmin edilmektedir.

Anahtar bilgiler

n/a

Kazanç büyüme oranı

n/a

EPS büyüme oranı

Office REITs kazanç büyümesi7.7%
Gelir büyüme oranı0.4%
Gelecekteki özkaynak getirisi1.00%
Analist kapsamı

Low

Son güncelleme01 Sep 2026

Gelecekteki son büyüme güncellemeleri

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha • Aug 05

Empire State Realty: Prime NYC Real Estate At Attractive Discount

Summary I believe shares in Empire State Realty appear attractive at its current 52-week lows and at a forward P/FFO of sub 6x. The multiple is a fraction of its NYC-based peers, SL Green and Vornado, who trade at forwards of 11x and 17x, respectively. I continue to like ESRT’s observatory operations despite the significant decline in YOY visitation. I further view the likelihood of an eventual recovery as a catalyst for continued growth. I can see shares recovering to 8x forward FFO over the medium to long-term. This would imply a fair price of just over $6/share or 20% above current trading levels. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Jul 25

ESRT: Rooftop Amenities And Higher Discount Rate Will Drive Balanced Outlook

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Empire State Realty Trust to $6 from $6.50, citing updated fair value estimates, a higher discount rate, and revised assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E multiples. What's in the News for Empire State Realty Trust Empire State Realty Trust announced the grand opening of the Rooftop at 1333 Broadway, described as the final piece of its Broadway Portfolio amenity package.
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Jul 10

ESRT: Refreshed Discount Assumptions And Amenities Will Support Future Upside Potential

Analysts have reduced their fair value estimate for Empire State Realty Trust from $9.00 to $7.00, citing updated assumptions on discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and a lower future P/E following recent price target cuts after the NAREIT Conference. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Empire State Realty Trust points to a more cautious stance on valuation, with price targets adjusted following the NAREIT Conference.
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Jun 08

ESRT: Capital Recycling And Midtown Land Consolidation Will Support Future Repricing Potential

Analysts have trimmed the 12 month price target for Empire State Realty Trust by $0.50 to $6.00, citing updated views following recent industry conferences and refreshed assumptions for growth, margins, and valuation multiples. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates indicate that analysts are reassessing Empire State Realty Trust's valuation following sector conversations at industry conferences, with price targets nudged lower but core views on the stock's positioning broadly maintained.
Anlatı Güncellemesi • May 25

ESRT: NYC Leasing And Capital Recycling Will Support Future Repricing Potential

Analysts recently lowered their price target on Empire State Realty Trust by $1.25 to reflect updated views on the company’s outlook and valuation drivers. Analyst Commentary Analysts trimming the price target by $1.25 signals a recalibration of expectations rather than a complete shift in the core thesis around Empire State Realty Trust.
Anlatı Güncellemesi • May 06

ESRT: NYC Leasing And Capital Recycling Will Support Forward Repricing Potential

Analysts have trimmed their price targets on Empire State Realty Trust to $7.00 from $8.25, citing updated views on revenue growth, profit margins, discount rates, and future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Empire State Realty Trust have focused on recalibrating price targets to US$7.00, with analysts aligning their views around current assumptions for revenue, margins, discount rates, and P/E multiples.
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Apr 21

ESRT: NYC Leasing And Capital Recycling Will Support Future Upside

Narrative Update The updated analyst price target for Empire State Realty Trust reflects a modest fair value move from about $6.86 to $6.61. This is in line with recent reductions in Street targets to $7 from $8 as analysts factor in slightly higher discount rates and a lower assumed future P/E multiple.
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Apr 07

ESRT: Leasing Momentum And NYC Asset Shift Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have reduced their implied fair value for Empire State Realty Trust from $7.26 to $6.86, reflecting recent cuts in Street price targets to $7 from $8 and a slightly lower future P/E assumption. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research has centered on a reset of price targets for Empire State Realty Trust to $7 from $8, alongside a Neutral and an In Line rating.
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Mar 24

ESRT: Neutral Ratings And Leasing Progress Will Support Future Upside Potential

Analysts have trimmed their 12 month price target for Empire State Realty Trust to $7 from $8, reflecting updated views on fair value, discount rate, growth, margins and future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates show a consistent reset of fair value assumptions for Empire State Realty Trust, with both major firms now aligning on a US$7 price target and maintaining neutral stances rather than expressing clear positive or negative conviction.
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Mar 08

ESRT: Leasing Momentum And Buybacks Will Support Future Upside Potential

Analysts have trimmed their average price target on Empire State Realty Trust to $7 from $8, with the shift reflecting updated views on discount rates, profit margins, and longer term P/E assumptions in recent research. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Empire State Realty Trust points to a more measured stance on the shares, with price targets adjusted to $7 and ratings held in the middle of the range.
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Feb 22

ESRT: Buybacks And New Manhattan Leasing Are Expected To Unlock Upside

Narrative Update The analyst price target for Empire State Realty Trust has been reduced by $1 to $7, as analysts reflect a lower fair value estimate of $7.36, a slightly higher discount rate, softer revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, and a higher future P/E of 129.45x. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates point to a tighter range of expectations around Empire State Realty Trust, with several firms reducing price targets but maintaining their existing ratings.
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Feb 08

ESRT: Cautious Outlook Will Balance Buybacks With Broadway Acquisition Risk

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Empire State Realty Trust to US$6.80 from US$8.30, citing generally healthy REIT operating conditions while maintaining a cautious stance on the shares. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts are signaling a more cautious stance on Empire State Realty Trust after the latest review of the stock, pointing to risks that they believe are not fully reflected in the current share price.
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Jan 24

ESRT: Share Repurchases And Portfolio Leasing Will Support Future Upside Potential

Narrative Update Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Empire State Realty Trust from about US$10.00 to roughly US$9.00, citing modestly higher discount rates, slightly softer revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, and a lower future P/E outlook, even as recent REIT earnings broadly reflected healthy operating conditions. Analyst Commentary Recent research commentary points to a more cautious stance on Empire State Realty Trust, with a lower fair value framework and a reduced published price target.
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Jan 09

ESRT: Buybacks And Leasing Execution Will Drive Future Upside Potential

Analysts have trimmed their price targets on Empire State Realty Trust, with one prominent cut from US$8.30 to US$6.80. This reflects updated fair value estimates and views on sector operating conditions despite generally healthy recent REIT earnings.
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Dec 14

ESRT: Share Repurchases And Leasing Strength Will Support Future Upside Potential

Analysts have lowered their price target on Empire State Realty Trust to $6.80 from $8.30, citing a more cautious view on valuation despite generally healthy operating conditions across most REITs. Analyst Commentary Analysts remain divided on Empire State Realty Trust, with the latest price target cut to $6.80 reflecting a more conservative stance on valuation, even as fundamentals appear broadly stable across the REIT sector. Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts point to generally healthy Q3 2025 operating conditions across the REIT universe, suggesting that Empire State Realty Trust should continue to benefit from a supportive demand backdrop.
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Nov 30

ESRT: Leasing Momentum Will Support Resilient Performance Amid Market Uncertainty

Empire State Realty Trust's analyst price target has been reduced from $8.97 to $8.55 per share, as analysts cite ongoing macroeconomic and labor market concerns even though the REIT sector has generally shown stable performance. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Several analysts note that, despite current macroeconomic and labor market headwinds, the majority of REITs, including Empire State Realty Trust, reported stable earnings and maintained positive outlooks for Q3 2025.
Analiz Makalesi • Feb 22

Earnings Beat: Empire State Realty Trust, Inc. Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Models

Empire State Realty Trust, Inc. ( NYSE:ESRT ) shareholders are probably feeling a little disappointed, since its shares...
Seeking Alpha • Jan 20

Empire State Realty Trust In An Empire State Of Mind, As NYC Office Demand Returns

Summary ESRT gets a buy rating, more bullish than the consensus, as macro and micro-level growth factors drive future upside potential. A strong profit margin vs peers, and stable positive cash flow per share, add to the upside case. This stock does not have a strong 5-year dividend growth CAGR, for investors focused on proven dividend growth stocks. An overconcentration in one geography, and heavy concentration in office property, could pose a portfolio risk to consider, compared to REITs that have nationwide properties. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Dec 15

Empire State Realty Trust Is A Way To Go Long New York City

Summary Empire State Realty Trust has surged 16% in the past year, driven by Manhattan's office market recovery and increasing return-to-office mandates. ESRT's fiscal 2024 third-quarter revenue rose 4.2% year-over-year, fueled by its diversified portfolio, including the iconic Empire State Building. The REIT's strong FFO growth, record free cash flow, and strategic acquisitions position it well for future expansion and increased occupancy rates. Trading at 10.8x annualized Q3 FFO, ESRT is reasonably valued, with a promising outlook for its core assets. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Sep 10

Empire State Realty Trust: Expensive Valuation, Wait For A Better Entry Point

Summary Empire State Realty Trust offers investors exposure to NYC real estate, including office, retail, and multifamily properties, and the iconic Empire State Building. The REIT's diverse portfolio includes significant rentable office and retail space, along with 727 residential units, providing a balanced investment opportunity. Q2'24 results came in better than expected and the near-term outlook looks strong with occupancy gains ahead for the office portfolio. Compared to its peers, ESRT looks expensive and so investors should consider waiting for a better entry point before initiating a position. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
User avatar
Yeni Anlatı • Sep 05

Williamsburg Expansion And ESG Focus Risk Undermining ESRT's Financial Stability

Expansion into Williamsburg and an optimistic office leasing strategy amidst evolving work dynamics might increase operational risks and strain occupancy rates.

Kazanç ve Gelir Büyüme Tahminleri

NYSE:ESRT - Analistlerin gelecek tahminleri ve geçmiş finansal verileri (USD Millions )
TarihGelirKazançlarSerbest Nakit AkışıFaaliyetlerden NakitAvg. Analist Sayısı
12/31/2028792N/AN/AN/A1
12/31/2027770N/AN/AN/A3
12/31/2026754N/AN/AN/A3
6/30/20267833228228N/A
3/31/202677735235235N/A
12/31/202576843249249N/A
9/30/202576635265265N/A
6/30/202576340263263N/A
3/31/202576251273273N/A
12/31/202476347261261N/A
9/30/202475845247247N/A
6/30/202475543235235N/A
3/31/202475648217217N/A
12/31/202374049232232N/A
9/30/202372853233233N/A
6/30/202372047233233N/A
3/31/202370954230230N/A
12/31/202270736211211N/A
9/30/202268621219219N/A
6/30/20226568212212N/A
3/31/2022627-19207207N/A
12/31/2021608-11212212N/A
9/30/2021591-8186186N/A
6/30/2021584-9192192N/A
3/31/2021574-24191191N/A
12/31/2020600-17182182N/A
9/30/20206500198198N/A
6/30/202069424218218N/A
3/31/202073048N/A219N/A
12/31/201972749N/A233N/A
9/30/201971455N/A290N/A
6/30/201970956N/A259N/A
3/31/201971161N/A288N/A
12/31/201870866N/A279N/A
9/30/201870560N/A207N/A
6/30/201870562N/A212N/A
3/31/201870262N/A202N/A
12/31/201769663N/A194N/A
9/30/201768862N/A231N/A
6/30/201767959N/A219N/A
3/31/201767054N/A220N/A
12/31/201667051N/A215N/A
9/30/201666443N/A206N/A
6/30/201666138N/A218N/A
3/31/201666038N/A215N/A
12/31/201565634N/A203N/A
9/30/201566030N/A197N/A

Analist Gelecek Büyüme Tahminleri

Kazançlar ve Tasarruf Oranları: ESRT 'un tahmini kazanç büyümesinin tasarruf oranının ( 3.7% ) üzerinde olup olmadığını belirlemek için yeterli veri yok.

Kazançlar ve Piyasa: ESRT 'un kazançlarının US pazarından daha hızlı büyümesinin öngörülüp öngörülmediğini belirlemek için yeterli veri yok

Yüksek Büyüme Kazançları: ESRT şirketinin kazançlarının önümüzdeki 3 yıl içerisinde önemli ölçüde artıp artmayacağını belirlemek için yeterli veri bulunmuyor.

Gelir ve Pazar: ESRT şirketinin gelirinin (yıllık 0.4% ) US pazarından (yıllık 13.5% ) daha yavaş büyümesi öngörülüyor.

Yüksek Büyüme Geliri: ESRT şirketinin gelirinin (yıllık 0.4% ) yıllık 20% oranından daha yavaş büyümesi öngörülüyor.

Hisse Başına Kazanç Büyüme Tahminleri

Gelecekteki Özkaynak Getirisi

Gelecekteki ROE: ESRT 'nin Özsermaye Getirisi'nin 3 yıl içinde düşük olması tahmin ediliyor ( 1 %).

Büyüyen şirketleri keşfedin

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

Şirket Analizi ve Finansal Veri Durumu

VeriSon Güncelleme (UTC saati)
Şirket Analizi2026/09/18 15:53
Gün Sonu Hisse Fiyatı2026/09/18 00:00
Kazançlar2026/06/30
Yıllık Kazançlar2025/12/31

Veri Kaynakları

Şirket analizimizde kullanılan veriler S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC'den alınmıştır. Bu raporu oluşturmak için analiz modelimizde aşağıdaki veriler kullanılmıştır. Veriler normalize edilmiştir, bu da kaynağın mevcut olmasından kaynaklanan bir gecikmeye neden olabilir.

PaketVeriZaman ÇerçevesiÖrnek ABD Kaynağı *
Şirket Finansalları10 yıl
  • Gelir tablosu
  • Nakit akış tablosu
  • Bilanço
Analist Konsensüs Tahminleri+3 yıl
  • Finansal tahminler
  • Analist fiyat hedefleri
Piyasa Fiyatları30 yıl
  • Hisse senedi fiyatları
  • Temettüler, Bölünmeler ve Eylemler
Sahiplik10 yıl
  • En büyük hissedarlar
  • İçeriden öğrenenlerin ticareti
Yönetim10 yıl
  • Liderlik ekibi
  • Yönetim Kurulu
Önemli Gelişmeler10 yıl
  • Şirket duyuruları

* ABD menkul kıymetleri için örnek, ABD dışı için eşdeğer düzenleyici formlar ve kaynaklar kullanılmıştır.

Belirtilmediği sürece tüm finansal veriler yıllık bir döneme dayanmaktadır ancak üç ayda bir güncellenmektedir. Bu, İzleyen On İki Ay (TTM) veya Son On İki Ay (LTM) Verileri olarak bilinir. Daha fazla bilgi edinin.

Analiz Modeli ve Kar Tanesi

Bu raporu oluşturmak için kullanılan analiz modelinin ayrıntılarına Github sayfamızdan ulaşabilirsiniz; ayrıca raporlarımızı nasıl kullanacağınıza dair kılavuzlarımız ve YouTube’da eğitim videolarımız da bulunmaktadır.

Simply Wall St analiz modelini tasarlayan ve oluşturan hakkında bilgi edinin.

Endüstri ve Sektör Metrikleri

Sektör ve bölüm metriklerimiz Simply Wall St tarafından her 6 saatte bir hesaplanmaktadır, sürecimizin ayrıntıları Github'da mevcuttur.

Analist Kaynakları

Empire State Realty Trust, Inc. 18 Bu analistlerden 3, raporumuzun girdisi olarak kullanılan gelir veya kazanç tahminlerini sunmuştur. Analistlerin gönderimleri gün boyunca güncellenmektedir.

AnalistKurum
John KimBMO Capital Markets Equity Research
Juan SanabriaBMO Capital Markets Equity Research
Jing Xian Tan BonnelBofA Global Research