Alcoa Geçmiş Kazanç Performansı
Geçmiş kriter kontrolleri 4/6
Alcoa yıllık ortalama 14.7% oranında kazançlarını artırırken, Metals and Mining sektöründe kazançlar declining at 8.4% annual. Gelirler growing yılda ortalama 2% oranında artmaktadır. Alcoa'in özkaynak karlılığı 14.3% ve net marjı 8.1%'dir.
Anahtar bilgiler
14.72%
Kazanç büyüme oranı
6.66%
EPS büyüme oranı
| Metals and Mining Sektör Büyümesi | 26.40% |
| Gelir büyüme oranı | 1.95% |
| Özkaynak getirisi | 14.34% |
| Net Marj | 8.12% |
| Sonraki Kazanç Güncellemesi | 16 Jul 2026 |
Yakın geçmiş performans güncellemeleri
Recent updates
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Jun 17
AA: Higher Margin Outlook And Aluminum Price Tailwinds Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have raised their Alcoa price target from $73.87 to $82.25, citing updated assumptions on fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E. What’s in the News for Alcoa Alcoa shares dropped nearly 10% after the company revised its Q2 outlook, citing a projected US$60 million unfavorable impact in the Alumina segment from higher production costs at the Pinjarra refinery, cyclone related disruptions, and increased energy prices linked to geopolitical tensions near the Strait of Hormuz.Analiz Makalesi • Jun 16
Alcoa (AA) Stock Could Be 14.9% Undervalued on Its Decarbonization Growth Narrative
Alcoa (AA) has drawn renewed attention after recent share price moves, with the stock last closing at $62.87. Investors are weighing this level against the company’s current earnings profile, growth metrics, and broader aluminum exposure. See our latest analysis for Alcoa. Recent weakness in Alcoa’s share price, with a 1-day share price return that declined 2.01% and a 7-day share price return that declined 13.18%, sits against a year-to-date share price return of 11.20% and a 1-year total...
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Jun 03
AA: Supply Disruptions And Cost Pressures Will Likely Still Fail To Justify Pricing
Analysts have lifted their price target on Alcoa from about $46.37 to roughly $53.99, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and a slightly higher future P/E multiple. What's in the News UBS upgraded Alcoa to Buy and lifted its price target to $80, citing expectations of prolonged aluminum supply disruptions in the Middle East and a projected global supply gap by 2026.Seeking Alpha • May 29
Alcoa: I Remain Bullish After The Massive Rally
Summary Alcoa Corporation remains a 'Buy' with ~21% upside potential, supported by structural demand and portfolio streamlining. AA benefits from global aluminum supply disruptions, higher regional premiums, and a strong alternative energy portfolio amid new EU carbon regulations. San Ciprián smelter's turnaround and asset marketing to hyperscalers could unlock $500–1,000 million in incremental value and boost FY2027 EBITDA. Valuation is compelling: forward EV/EBITDA at 6.2x with catalysts for multiple expansion, though risks remain if supply normalizes and prices fall. While geopolitical normalization could cool pricing, forward EBITDA still appears too low relative to business improvements, leaving additional upside if current conditions persist for longer. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Anlatı Güncellemesi • May 13
AA: Production Stability And Higher Margins Will Support Stronger Long Term Outlook
Analysts have raised Alcoa's fair value estimate from $58.00 to $92.00, citing updated assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, and a lower future P/E multiple as the main factors supporting the higher price target. What's in the News Alcoa reported first quarter 2026 production results, with Bauxite at 9.1 mdmt compared with 9.5 mdmt a year earlier, Alumina at 2,355 kmt in line with the prior year, and Aluminum at 607 kmt compared with 564 kmt a year earlier (Key Developments).Anlatı Güncellemesi • Apr 29
AA: Higher Margin Outlook And Production Plans Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have lifted their price target for Alcoa to $73.87 from $72.48, reflecting updated expectations around potential revenue growth, profit margins, and a lower assumed future P/E multiple. What's in the News Alcoa reported first quarter 2026 production results, with Bauxite output of 9.1 mdmt compared with 9.5 mdmt a year earlier, Alumina production of 2,355 kmt in line with the prior year, and Aluminum production of 607 kmt compared with 564 kmt a year ago (Key Developments).Anlatı Güncellemesi • Apr 15
AA: Updated Output Plans And Margins Will Shape Measured Future Returns
Analysts have revised their price target for Alcoa to approximately $72, up from about $67, citing updated assumptions around fair value, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E levels as key drivers of the change. What's in the News Alcoa reported fourth quarter 2025 production with Bauxite at 9.4 mdmt versus 9.3 mdmt a year earlier, Alumina at 2,481 kmt versus 2,390 kmt, and Aluminum at 604 kmt versus 571 kmt (Announcement of Operating Results).Anlatı Güncellemesi • Mar 31
AA: Higher Output And Trading Volumes Will Likely Still Fail To Justify Pricing
Analysts now place Alcoa's price target at about $46.37, compared with the prior $38.00. This reflects updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margin, discount rate, and future P/E levels.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Mar 17
AA: Production Plans And Margin Expectations Will Guide Balanced Future Returns
Analysts have adjusted their fair value estimate for Alcoa to $66.92 from $61.42, reflecting updated assumptions on the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E expectations. What's in the News Alcoa issued production guidance for 2026, targeting total Alumina segment production between 9.7 and 9.9 million metric tons, with shipments between 11.8 and 12.0 million metric tons, reflecting the role of trading volumes and externally sourced alumina in meeting customer contracts (company guidance).Anlatı Güncellemesi • Mar 03
AA: Production Guidance And Margin Assumptions Will Shape Balanced Future Returns
Analysts have nudged their Alcoa price target slightly higher to $61.42 from $61.08, reflecting updated assumptions around the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and a modestly higher future P/E multiple. What's in the News Alcoa issued 2026 production guidance for its Alumina segment, with expected production between 9.7 million and 9.9 million metric tons and shipments between 11.8 million and 12.0 million metric tons, reflecting the use of trading volumes and externally sourced alumina to meet customer contracts (Corporate guidance).Anlatı Güncellemesi • Feb 16
AA: Higher Margins And Production Will Still Likely Fail To Justify Pricing
Analysts have raised their price target on Alcoa from $33.00 to $38.00, citing updated assumptions for the discount rate, revenue growth expectations, profit margin outlook, and a revised future P/E multiple. What's in the News Alcoa issued production guidance for 2025 and outlined expectations for 2026, with the Alumina segment projected to produce between 9.7 and 9.9 million metric tons in 2026, and shipments expected between 11.8 and 12.0 million metric tons, reflecting a mix of internal production, trading volumes, and externally sourced alumina to meet customer contracts (company guidance).Anlatı Güncellemesi • Feb 02
AA: Low Carbon Smelting And Margin Assumptions Will Shape Balanced Future Returns
Analysts have raised their price target on Alcoa from US$45.42 to US$61.08. They cite updates in their models that reflect revised assumptions for fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E multiples.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Jan 19
AA: Future Decarbonization Benefits Will Likely Fail To Justify Current Pricing
Analysts have lifted their price target on Alcoa from US$27.00 to US$33.00, pointing to updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, discount rate, and a lower future P/E as key drivers of the change. What's in the News Alcoa, Ball Corporation and Unilever announced the first use of ELYSIS carbon free smelting technology in consumer personal and home care packaging, using aluminum that eliminates direct smelting greenhouse gas emissions and generates oxygen instead of CO2 (Key Developments).Anlatı Güncellemesi • Jan 05
AA: Carbon Free Smelting And Energy Moves Will Support Balanced Long Term Outlook
Analysts have raised their price target on Alcoa from approximately $42 to $58 per share, citing expectations for faster revenue growth, significantly higher profit margins, and a lower future P/E multiple. Together, these factors support a meaningfully higher fair value estimate.Analiz Makalesi • Dec 30
Alcoa Corporation's (NYSE:AA) Share Price Boosted 29% But Its Business Prospects Need A Lift Too
Despite an already strong run, Alcoa Corporation ( NYSE:AA ) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 29% in the...Anlatı Güncellemesi • Dec 20
AA: Low Carbon Smelting Shift Will Likely Pressure Future Returns
Narrative Update on Alcoa Analysts have raised their price target on Alcoa by approximately 10 percent to around 45 dollars per share, citing expectations for modestly stronger revenue growth, materially improved profit margins, and a more attractive forward earnings multiple. What's in the News Alcoa, Ball and Unilever unveiled the first consumer packaging using ELYSIS carbon free smelting technology, combining low carbon primary aluminum with recycled content to create one of the lowest footprint aerosol cans on the market (company announcement).Anlatı Güncellemesi • Dec 06
AA: Low Carbon Initiatives And Portfolio Reshaping Will Define Future Performance
Analysts have modestly raised their price target on Alcoa from approximately 39.54 dollars to 41.29 dollars, citing higher long term revenue growth expectations and a richer future earnings multiple, despite a lower projected profit margin and slightly higher discount rate. What's in the News Alcoa, Ball and Unilever unveiled the first consumer packaging using ELYSIS carbon free smelting technology in low carbon aerosol cans ahead of COP30, highlighting a major step toward decarbonized aluminum supply chains (Key Developments).Anlatı Güncellemesi • Nov 22
AA: Measured Shifts in Operations and Partnerships Will Shape Future Performance
Narrative Update on Alcoa: Analyst Price Target Adjustment Analysts have slightly lowered their fair value estimate for Alcoa, revising the price target from $39.63 to $39.54 per share. This change reflects modest adjustments to outlooks on discount rate and growth assumptions.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Nov 05
AA: Future Investments and Facility Upgrades Will Drive Shareholder Value
Analysts have raised their price target for Alcoa slightly. The new target is $39.63, up from $39.21.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Oct 22
Analysts Raise Alcoa Price Target as New Partnerships and Plant Closure Drive Valuation Upward
Alcoa's analyst price target has increased from $36.64 to $39.21. This change reflects improved revenue growth and profit margin projections according to analysts.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Oct 08
Tariff Volatility And Recycled Materials Will Erode Primary Aluminum Margins
Analysts have raised their price target for Alcoa from $34.09 to $36.64. They cite improved forecast profit margins and lower expected future price-to-earnings ratios as key factors in their updated outlook.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Sep 24
Tariff Volatility And Recycled Materials Will Erode Primary Aluminum Margins
Despite a notable downgrade in revenue growth expectations, an improved net profit margin has offset this impact, resulting in a slight increase in Alcoa's analyst price target from $33.55 to $34.09. What's in the News Held Analyst/Investor Day event.
Yeni Anlatı • Apr 24
Australia Refinancing And San Ciprián Restart Will Support Stable Operations
Strategic refinancing and joint ventures are expected to enhance cash flow, reduce interest expenses, and stabilize revenue.Seeking Alpha • Apr 18
Alcoa's Q1 2025 Review: Tariff Hurts, But Game Isn't Over
Summary Alcoa's stock is down ~75% from its ATH. Tariff wars and economic uncertainty added fuel to the fire, but Q1 2025 results show strong net income and adjusted EBITDA growth. Despite a 3% QoQ revenue dip, net income more than doubled to $548 million, with adjusted net income beating Street estimates at $568 million. Alcoa refinanced $1 billion in debt, extending maturities and lowering interest expenses, aiming for an adjusted net debt range of $1-1.5 billion. Tariffs on Canadian aluminum imports will significantly impact Alcoa's costs, with a projected unfavorable impact of ~$90 million in Q2 2025. Because current tariffs hinder construction accessibility and will likely be revised (perhaps favorably for Alcoa), the present undervaluation of AA stock provides significant upside potential. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 30
Alcoa And The Aluminum Market: A Point Of Tension And Growth
Summary Alcoa's financial results have been volatile, with losses in 2022-2023 and profits in 2024 due to aluminum price recovery and strategic asset restructuring. The company focuses on high-quality assets, vertical integration, and technological advancements, aiming for efficiency and sustainability without aggressive expansion. Despite positive developments, Alcoa remains vulnerable to raw material price fluctuations and high energy costs, impacting its financial stability. Alcoa shares are fairly valued at $34; I recommend considering a purchase closer to $25, assigning a "Hold" rating due to limited upside. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Feb 11
The 'Trump Factor' In Action: Why I'm Bullish On Alcoa
Summary Alcoa's vertical integration and strong aluminum demand outside China position it well amid tariffs, supply chain shifts, and economic growth trends. Tariffs could disrupt operations, but Alcoa's flexibility and improved balance sheet offer resilience and potential for significant upside. Valuation is attractive, with potential for over 30% stock price upside if economic growth accelerates and tariff risks are mitigated. Alcoa is highly cyclical and volatile, making it suitable for investors with patience and risk tolerance, despite trade policy and market risks. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jan 30
Alcoa: The Tides Have Shifted To A Bullish Market
Summary Alcoa Corporation closed FY24 with a strong macroeconomic backdrop, realizing revenue and margin growth resulting from strong aluminum and alumina pricing and volumes shipped. AA stock is well-positioned to benefit from potential trade restrictions and tariffs, with a strong global presence and flexible operational routes. Risks include potential negative impacts from trade wars and economic recoveries in China and Europe, which may affect pricing and shipment routes. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jan 06
Alcoa: Learn How To Trade A Sentiment-Based Stock (Technical Analysis)
Summary Our methodology combines sentiment and non-linear analysis, focusing on human behavior patterns to trade stocks like Alcoa Corporation effectively. Traditional technical analysis is insufficient; our approach identifies high-probability setups with specific risk parameters, as illustrated here with AA stock. Recent analysis projected a pullback in Alcoa, presenting a bullish opportunity with a favorable risk-reward ratio. We provide reliable, actionable insights for traders and investors, emphasizing capital preservation and strategic risk management. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Dec 31
Alcoa Corporation: Bearish Market, And Tariff Uncertainty Blur Positive Signals, Hold
Summary I rate Alcoa Corporation a hold due to operational headwinds impacting financial performance despite a strong balance sheet. Alcoa's financials show weak revenue growth and profitability, with high expenses and low net income compared to peers, signaling operational inefficiencies. The Dow Jones US Aluminum Index's downtrend and potential tariff hikes by President Trump suggest short-term weakness but a promising long-term outlook for AA. Alcoa's vast global presence, vertical integration, and potential benefits from proposed tariffs position it well to capitalize on projected market growth and aluminum demand. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaGelir ve Gider Dağılımı
Gelir ve Gider Dağılımı
Alcoa nasıl para kazanır ve harcar. LTM bazında en son bildirilen kazançlara dayanmaktadır.
Kazanç ve Gelir Geçmişi
| Tarih | Gelir | Kazançlar | G+A Giderleri | Ar-Ge Giderleri |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar 26 | 12,655 | 1,027 | 339 | 22 |
| 31 Dec 25 | 12,831 | 1,141 | 325 | 24 |
| 30 Sep 25 | 12,868 | 1,129 | 335 | 52 |
| 30 Jun 25 | 12,777 | 989 | 320 | 57 |
| 31 Mar 25 | 12,665 | 847 | 304 | 58 |
| 31 Dec 24 | 11,895 | 56 | 291 | 57 |
| 30 Sep 24 | 11,004 | -293 | 274 | 54 |
| 30 Jun 24 | 10,702 | -550 | 264 | 47 |
| 31 Mar 24 | 10,480 | -672 | 246 | 40 |
| 31 Dec 23 | 10,551 | -651 | 239 | 39 |
| 30 Sep 23 | 10,619 | -896 | 252 | 34 |
| 30 Jun 23 | 10,868 | -1,474 | 249 | 32 |
| 31 Mar 23 | 11,828 | -823 | 261 | 33 |
| 31 Dec 22 | 12,451 | -123 | 264 | 32 |
| 30 Sep 22 | 13,128 | -120 | 262 | 33 |
| 30 Jun 22 | 13,386 | 963 | 271 | 34 |
| 31 Mar 22 | 12,575 | 723 | 269 | 33 |
| 31 Dec 21 | 12,152 | 429 | 274 | 31 |
| 30 Sep 21 | 11,204 | 817 | 279 | 30 |
| 30 Jun 21 | 10,460 | 431 | 288 | 28 |
| 31 Mar 21 | 9,775 | -75 | 294 | 27 |
| 31 Dec 20 | 9,286 | -170 | 314 | 27 |
| 30 Sep 20 | 9,330 | -469 | 319 | 24 |
| 30 Jun 20 | 9,532 | -641 | 340 | 25 |
| 31 Mar 20 | 10,095 | -846 | 367 | 27 |
| 31 Dec 19 | 10,433 | -1,125 | 395 | 27 |
| 30 Sep 19 | 11,341 | -771 | 396 | 28 |
| 30 Jun 19 | 12,164 | -556 | 390 | 28 |
| 31 Mar 19 | 13,032 | -144 | 395 | 30 |
| 31 Dec 18 | 13,403 | 250 | 387 | 31 |
| 30 Sep 18 | 13,233 | 3 | 388 | 33 |
| 30 Jun 18 | 12,807 | 122 | 432 | 34 |
| 31 Mar 18 | 12,087 | 187 | 399 | 33 |
| 31 Dec 17 | 11,652 | 279 | 365 | 32 |
| 30 Sep 17 | 11,015 | 288 | 353 | 30 |
| 30 Jun 17 | 10,380 | 165 | 288 | 30 |
| 31 Mar 17 | 9,844 | 35 | 286 | 29 |
| 31 Dec 16 | 9,318 | -400 | 312 | 33 |
| 30 Sep 16 | 9,232 | -1,101 | 299 | 41 |
| 30 Jun 16 | 9,582 | -1,215 | 319 | 47 |
| 31 Mar 16 | 10,223 | -1,239 | 333 | 59 |
| 31 Dec 15 | 11,199 | -863 | 341 | 69 |
Kaliteli Kazançlar: AA yüksek kaliteli kazançlar sağlıyor.
Büyüyen Kar Marjı: AA 'nin mevcut net kar marjları (8.1%) geçen yılın (6.7%) sinden daha yüksektir.
Serbest Nakit Akışı ve Kazanç Analizi
Geçmiş Kazanç Büyüme Analizi
Kazanç Eğilimi: AA son 5 yılda karlı hale geldi ve kazançlarını yıllık 14.7% oranında artırdı.
Büyüme Hızlandırma: AA 'un son bir yıldaki kazanç büyümesi ( 21.3% ) 5 yıllık ortalamasını (yıllık 14.7% ) aşıyor.
Kazançlar vs. Sektör: AA geçen yılki kazanç büyümesi ( 21.3% ) Metals and Mining sektörünün 82.4% performansını geride bırakmadı.
Özkaynak Getirisi
Yüksek ROE: AA 'nin Özsermaye Getirisi ( 14.3% ) düşük olarak değerlendiriliyor.
Varlık Getirisi
Kullanılan Sermaye Getirisi
Geçmişte güçlü performans gösteren şirketleri keşfedin
Şirket Analizi ve Finansal Veri Durumu
| Veri | Son Güncelleme (UTC saati) |
|---|---|
| Şirket Analizi | 2026/06/20 18:23 |
| Gün Sonu Hisse Fiyatı | 2026/06/18 00:00 |
| Kazançlar | 2026/03/31 |
| Yıllık Kazançlar | 2025/12/31 |
Veri Kaynakları
Şirket analizimizde kullanılan veriler S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC'den alınmıştır. Bu raporu oluşturmak için analiz modelimizde aşağıdaki veriler kullanılmıştır. Veriler normalize edilmiştir, bu da kaynağın mevcut olmasından kaynaklanan bir gecikmeye neden olabilir.
| Paket | Veri | Zaman Çerçevesi | Örnek ABD Kaynağı * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Şirket Finansalları | 10 yıl |
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| Analist Konsensüs Tahminleri | +3 yıl |
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| Piyasa Fiyatları | 30 yıl |
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| Sahiplik | 10 yıl |
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| Yönetim | 10 yıl |
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| Önemli Gelişmeler | 10 yıl |
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* ABD menkul kıymetleri için örnek, ABD dışı için eşdeğer düzenleyici formlar ve kaynaklar kullanılmıştır.
Belirtilmediği sürece tüm finansal veriler yıllık bir döneme dayanmaktadır ancak üç ayda bir güncellenmektedir. Bu, İzleyen On İki Ay (TTM) veya Son On İki Ay (LTM) Verileri olarak bilinir. Daha fazla bilgi edinin.
Analiz Modeli ve Kar Tanesi
Bu raporu oluşturmak için kullanılan analiz modelinin ayrıntıları GitHub sayfamızda mevcuttur; ayrıca raporlarımızı nasıl kullanacağınıza dair kılavuzlarımız ve YouTube'da eğitim videolarımız da bulunmaktadır.
Simply Wall St analiz modelini tasarlayan ve oluşturan dünya standartlarındaki ekip hakkında bilgi edinin.
Endüstri ve Sektör Metrikleri
Sektör ve bölüm metriklerimiz Simply Wall St tarafından her 6 saatte bir hesaplanmaktadır, sürecimizin ayrıntıları Github'da mevcuttur.
Analist Kaynakları
Alcoa Corporation 27 Bu analistlerden 14, raporumuzun girdisi olarak kullanılan gelir veya kazanç tahminlerini sunmuştur. Analistlerin gönderimleri gün boyunca güncellenmektedir.
| Analist | Kurum |
|---|---|
| David Coleman | Argus Research Company |
| Dale Koenders | Barrenjoey Markets Pty Limited |
| Paretosh Misra | Berenberg |