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The Cheesecake Factory IncorporatedNasdaqGS:CAKE Aktierapport

Marknadsvärde US$3.8b
Aktiekurs
US$77.05
US$75
2.7% övervärderad intrinsisk rabatt
1Y29.1%
7D5.2%
1D
Portföljens värde
Utsikt

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated

NasdaqGS:CAKE Aktierapport

Börsvärde: US$3.8b

Cheesecake Factory (CAKE) Aktievy

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated driver och licensierar restauranger i USA och Kanada. Mer information

CAKE fundamental analys
Snöflinga Score
Värdering1/6
Framtida tillväxt2/6
Tidigare resultat3/6
Finansiell hälsa2/6
Utdelningar4/6

CAKE Community Fair Values

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The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated Konkurrenter

Prishistorik och prestanda

Sammanfattning av aktiekursernas upp- och nedgångar samt förändringar för Cheesecake Factory
Historiska aktiekurser
Aktuell aktiekursUS$77.05
52 veckors högstaUS$78.87
52 veckors lägstaUS$43.07
Beta1.04
1 månads förändring26.02%
3 månaders förändring36.81%
1 års förändring29.08%
3 års förändring128.97%
5 års förändring46.90%
Förändring sedan börsintroduktionen2,047.15%

Senaste nyheter och uppdateringar

Seeking Alpha 4h

Cheesecake Factory: Rebounding Comps In A Tough Environment (Upgrade)

Summary Cheesecake Factory is upgraded to "Buy" after a robust Q1 and ~50% YTD rally, driven by positive comps and disciplined expansion. CAKE’s differentiated large-format model and $12 million AUVs support a long-term TAM of $8.5 billion versus $3.2 billion current sales. Carryout sales now comprise 22% of revenue, and margin performance remains strong despite inflationary pressures and sector volatility. Valuation at 19.1x FY26 P/E and 17.3x FY27 P/E offers upside versus peers, especially with comps and unit growth outpacing sector averages. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Analysartikel Jun 19

Cheesecake Factory (CAKE) Stock Could Be 19.8% Overvalued After Flat Same Store Sales

Cheesecake Factory (CAKE) is back in focus after recent quarterly results that paired solid headline figures with flat same store sales, raising questions about demand trends, revenue growth expectations, and the company’s higher net debt burden. See our latest analysis for Cheesecake Factory. Cheesecake Factory’s recent quarterly results have arrived alongside a sharp shift in sentiment, with the stock’s 30 day share price return of 28.0% and year to date gain of 46.2% pointing to...
Uppdatering av berättelse Jun 03

CAKE: Elevated P/E Leaves Little Cushion For 2026 Execution Missteps

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Cheesecake Factory slightly higher, from $51.81 to $52.46. The change reflects updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E following a series of price target increases and one reduction across recent research reports.

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha 4h

Cheesecake Factory: Rebounding Comps In A Tough Environment (Upgrade)

Summary Cheesecake Factory is upgraded to "Buy" after a robust Q1 and ~50% YTD rally, driven by positive comps and disciplined expansion. CAKE’s differentiated large-format model and $12 million AUVs support a long-term TAM of $8.5 billion versus $3.2 billion current sales. Carryout sales now comprise 22% of revenue, and margin performance remains strong despite inflationary pressures and sector volatility. Valuation at 19.1x FY26 P/E and 17.3x FY27 P/E offers upside versus peers, especially with comps and unit growth outpacing sector averages. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Analysartikel Jun 19

Cheesecake Factory (CAKE) Stock Could Be 19.8% Overvalued After Flat Same Store Sales

Cheesecake Factory (CAKE) is back in focus after recent quarterly results that paired solid headline figures with flat same store sales, raising questions about demand trends, revenue growth expectations, and the company’s higher net debt burden. See our latest analysis for Cheesecake Factory. Cheesecake Factory’s recent quarterly results have arrived alongside a sharp shift in sentiment, with the stock’s 30 day share price return of 28.0% and year to date gain of 46.2% pointing to...
Uppdatering av berättelse Jun 03

CAKE: Elevated P/E Leaves Little Cushion For 2026 Execution Missteps

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Cheesecake Factory slightly higher, from $51.81 to $52.46. The change reflects updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E following a series of price target increases and one reduction across recent research reports.
Analysartikel May 11

We Like The Quality Of Cheesecake Factory's (NASDAQ:CAKE) Earnings

Despite posting healthy earnings, The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated's ( NASDAQ:CAKE ) stock has been quite weak...
Uppdatering av berättelse May 10

CAKE: Elevated P/E And 2026 Execution Risks Will Constrain Returns

Analysts have lifted the fair value estimate for Cheesecake Factory stock by about $1.81 to $51.81, as recent price target revisions cite updated models following Q4 results, ongoing 2026 outlook assumptions, and adjustments to P/E expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent research has centered on how Cheesecake Factory's valuation lines up with its updated 2026 outlook and the mixed tone around the latest Q4 results.
Analysartikel May 07

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (NASDAQ:CAKE) First-Quarter Results: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For This Year

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated ( NASDAQ:CAKE ) shareholders are probably feeling a little disappointed, since its...
Uppdatering av berättelse Apr 23

CAKE: Elevated P/E And Mixed Q4 Delivery Will Constrain Forward Returns

Analysts have lifted Cheesecake Factory's average price target by several dollars to a range of roughly $58 to $75, as they refresh models after mixed Q4 results and an updated 2026 outlook. They still see a fair value of $50 based on current assumptions for revenue growth, margins and future P/E.
Uppdatering av berättelse Apr 07

CAKE: Higher P/E Assumptions Will Support 2026 Outlook Execution

The analyst fair value estimate for Cheesecake Factory has increased from $60.61 to $64.44. This change reflects a series of higher price targets on the stock as analysts update their models following mixed Q4 results and an intact 2026 outlook.
Uppdatering av berättelse Mar 24

CAKE: Elevated P/E And Mixed Q4 Execution Will Limit Forward Upside

Analyst price targets for Cheesecake Factory have moved higher into the $58 to $75 range, as analysts update models following mixed Q4 results while largely maintaining 2026 outlook assumptions and pointing to what they see as balanced risk/reward at current P/E levels. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates show a wide spread in views on Cheesecake Factory, even as headline price targets move higher.
Uppdatering av berättelse Mar 09

CAKE: Elevated P/E Premium And Sector Headwinds Will Constrain Forward Upside Potential

Analysts have lifted their aggregate price targets on Cheesecake Factory by several dollars into the $58 to $75 range, citing refreshed models after mixed Q4 results, an intact 2026 outlook, and what some see as conservative long term assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent research paints a mixed picture for Cheesecake Factory, with several firms lifting price targets after updating models for the latest Q4 report and 2026 outlook.
Uppdatering av berättelse Feb 23

CAKE: Elevated P E And Sector Headwinds Are Expected To Limit Upside

Narrative Update: Cheesecake Factory Analysts have raised their average price targets for Cheesecake Factory by several dollars into a broad $58 to $75 range, citing updated post-Q4 models, a largely intact 2026 outlook, and a higher assumed P/E multiple, even as views on risk and reward remain mixed across firms. Analyst Commentary Across recent research, analysts are broadly lifting their price targets for Cheesecake Factory into a higher band, but their views on the stock are far from unanimous.
Uppdatering av berättelse Feb 08

CAKE: Higher P/E Assumptions Will Balance Margin Pressure And Sector Headwinds

Analysts have nudged their price targets for Cheesecake Factory higher, reflecting slightly richer P/E assumptions and a modest lift in fair value to about $60.61, even as they acknowledge mixed sector views and ongoing earnings constraints in recent research. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Cheesecake Factory points to a split view, with some analysts lifting price targets on higher valuation multiples while others stay cautious on the operating backdrop for casual dining.
Uppdatering av berättelse Jan 25

CAKE: Softer Sales Trends And Sector Headwinds Are Expected To Pressure Returns

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Cheesecake Factory to $50, a $1 adjustment that reflects slightly updated views on discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and the appropriate future P/E multiple in light of recent mixed price target changes across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Cheesecake Factory has been mixed, with several firms adjusting price targets and, in at least one case, downgrading the stock.
Uppdatering av berättelse Jan 11

CAKE: Softer Same Store Sales And Sector Pressure Will Constrain Near Term Outlook

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for The Cheesecake Factory higher to $49.00 from $48.00. This reflects updated price targets that balance recent cuts and raises across the Street and factor in modest tweaks to revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions.
Uppdatering av berättelse Dec 26

CAKE: Softer Same Store Sales Trends Will Shape Near Term Outlook

Cheesecake Factory's analyst-derived fair value has been trimmed from about $50.41 to $48.00, as analysts factor in softer same-store sales trends, modest demand slowdowns into next year, and a slightly weaker growth and margin outlook, despite the brand's still solid positioning in a choppier macro environment. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts continue to recalibrate their expectations for Cheesecake Factory, cutting price targets across the board as they reassess near term growth and margin assumptions.
Uppdatering av berättelse Dec 12

CAKE: Margin Discipline Will Support Earnings Stability Amid Choppy Demand

Analysts have nudged their blended price target for Cheesecake Factory modestly lower, trimming expectations by a few dollars per share to reflect softer same store sales trends, choppier demand into Q3, and a slightly more cautious view on the restaurant sector backdrop. Analyst Commentary Street research reflects a more nuanced stance on Cheesecake Factory, with both optimistic and cautious voices acknowledging a tougher near term operating backdrop while debating the durability of demand and margin resilience.
Uppdatering av berättelse Nov 28

CAKE: Margin Resilience Will Support Recovery Despite Sales Headwinds Ahead

Cheesecake Factory's average analyst price target has declined slightly. Recent reductions have been attributed to softer sales trends and persistent industry demand headwinds.
Uppdatering av berättelse Nov 14

CAKE: Sustained Margin Improvement Is Expected To Support Long-Term Upside

The consensus analyst price target for Cheesecake Factory has been lowered by approximately $0.56. Analysts cite recent weaker same-store sales trends and persistent demand headwinds as key drivers of the adjustment.
Uppdatering av berättelse Oct 30

CAKE: Share Repurchase Program And Brand Resilience Will Drive Positive Momentum

The consensus analyst price target for Cheesecake Factory has decreased by just over $5 to around $60. Analysts cite softer sales trends and persistent macroeconomic challenges impacting growth expectations.
Analysartikel Oct 30

Results: The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates

There's been a notable change in appetite for The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated ( NASDAQ:CAKE ) shares in the week...
Uppdatering av berättelse Oct 16

Flower Child And North Italia Concepts Will Expand Market Appeal

The consensus analyst price target for Cheesecake Factory has been reduced from approximately $73 to $68 as analysts cite a challenging industry backdrop and updated company outlooks, particularly with an anticipated mixed and volatile earnings season ahead. Analyst Commentary Recent research from major firms reflects both optimism and caution regarding Cheesecake Factory's performance in the upcoming quarter.
Analysartikel Sep 24

Weekly Picks: ⛏️ The Gold Play With Permits, A Plan And Real Momentum And 2 More Picks

This week’s picks cover: Why most people don’t understand The Cheesecake Factory’s potential, how fully permitted gold miner, 1911 Gold, could offer 50x return, why rate cuts benefit dividend plays like Coca Cola immensely.
Analysartikel Sep 09

Is Now The Time To Look At Buying The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (NASDAQ:CAKE)?

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated ( NASDAQ:CAKE ), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw significant share price...
Analysartikel Aug 04

Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ:CAKE) Is Paying Out A Dividend Of $0.27

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated ( NASDAQ:CAKE ) will pay a dividend of $0.27 on the 26th of August. This means the...
Ny berättelse Aug 02

Cheesecake Factory offers an enticing opportunity for long-term growth by leveraging new concepts

The Cheesecake Factory is a stock that I believe most people do not understand it's actual potential; or really what makes this stock so attractive for long term growth. Here is a brief description of the company according to Benzinga: "Cheesecake Factory Inc owns and operates restaurants in the United States and Canada under brands that include The Cheesecake Factory, North Italia, and a collection within the Fox Restaurants Concepts subsidiary.
Analysartikel Aug 01

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated Just Recorded A 8.4% EPS Beat: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Next

Last week, you might have seen that The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated ( NASDAQ:CAKE ) released its quarterly result...
Analysartikel Jul 02

Cheesecake Factory's (NASDAQ:CAKE) Returns On Capital Are Heading Higher

What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term...
Analysartikel Jun 18

Some Shareholders Feeling Restless Over The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated's (NASDAQ:CAKE) P/E Ratio

There wouldn't be many who think The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated's ( NASDAQ:CAKE ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E...
Analysartikel May 25

Is Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ:CAKE) A Risky Investment?

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...
Analysartikel May 12

Cheesecake Factory's (NASDAQ:CAKE) Earnings May Just Be The Starting Point

Even though The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated's ( NASDAQ:CAKE ) recent earnings release was robust, the market didn't...
Analysartikel Apr 15

Should You Investigate The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (NASDAQ:CAKE) At US$46.99?

While The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated ( NASDAQ:CAKE ) might not have the largest market cap around , it received a...
Seeking Alpha Mar 28

The Cheesecake Factory: Downgrade To Sell As The Macro Environment Is Too Challenging

Summary I am downgrading The Cheesecake Factory from hold to sell due to worsening macro conditions and poor consumer sentiment affecting discretionary spending. CAKE's traffic growth has been negative for seven consecutive quarters, and price increases are no longer a viable strategy for SSS growth. Limited unit growth and high G&A expenses further constrain CAKE's ability to drive revenue and margin expansion in FY25. Valuation at 13x forward P/E is too high given the headwinds, with the potential for multiple re-rating if revenue or margins decline. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Analysartikel Mar 21

Estimating The Fair Value Of The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (NASDAQ:CAKE)

Key Insights Cheesecake Factory's estimated fair value is US$46.97 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Current...
Analysartikel Mar 09

Market Participants Recognise The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated's (NASDAQ:CAKE) Earnings

With a median price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of close to 18x in the United States, you could be forgiven for...
Analysartikel Feb 25

Cheesecake Factory's (NASDAQ:CAKE) Dividend Will Be $0.27

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated's ( NASDAQ:CAKE ) investors are due to receive a payment of $0.27 per share on 18th...
Seeking Alpha Feb 20

The Cheesecake Factory: A Winning Restaurant Stock

Summary We continue to rate The Cheesecake Factory a hold, highlighting its strong revenue growth, margin improvements, and positive comparable sales trends. The company's strategic cost management and easing inflation have led to improved margins, with food and labor expenses showing notable reductions. CAKE's earnings growth is robust, with Q4 adjusted EPS rising significantly year-over-year, and the stock remains attractively valued at less than 15X forward earnings. With manageable debt, ongoing share repurchases, and expected dividend increases, we see long-term upside, projecting EPS of $3.70-3.85 for 2025. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Analysartikel Feb 10

Returns At Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ:CAKE) Appear To Be Weighed Down

What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? Firstly...
Seeking Alpha Feb 03

The Cheesecake Factory: Maintaining My Buy Rating

Summary The Cheesecake Factory has outperformed the market with over a 50% return since April 2024, driven by strong fundamentals and positive earnings momentum. Despite the current fair valuation, CAKE's consistent revenue, margin improvements, and strong consumer base suggest potential for further appreciation. Risks include historical underperformance prior to this past year, inconsistent quarterly fundamentals, and potential economic downturns, but CAKE's strong consumer base and earnings resilience offer optimism. Fair value for CAKE is estimated between $42-$59 per share, with a 2% dividend yield, making it a long-term cautious buy. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Aktieägarnas avkastning

CAKEUS HospitalityUS Marknad
7D5.2%-1.4%-2.3%
1Y29.1%-5.7%21.2%

Avkastning vs industri: CAKE översteg US Hospitality branschen som gav -5.7 % under det senaste året.

Avkastning vs Marknaden: CAKE översteg US marknaden som gav 21.2 % under det senaste året.

Prisvolatilitet

Is CAKE's price volatile compared to industry and market?
CAKE volatility
CAKE Average Weekly Movement5.2%
Hospitality Industry Average Movement7.6%
Market Average Movement7.2%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market16.7%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market3.1%

Stabil aktiekurs: CAKE har inte haft någon betydande prisvolatilitet under de senaste 3 månaderna jämfört med marknaden för US.

Volatilitet över tid: CAKE s veckovolatilitet ( 5% ) har varit stabil under det senaste året.

Om företaget

GrundadAnställdaVD OCH KONCERNCHEFWebbplats
197248,400David Overtonwww.thecheesecakefactory.com

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated driver och licensierar restauranger i USA och Kanada. Företaget driver bagerier som producerar ostkakor och andra bakverk för sina restauranger, internationella licenstagare, tredjeparts bagerikunder, externa foodserviceoperatörer, detaljhandlare och distributörer. Bolaget driver restauranger under varumärkena The Cheesecake Factory, North Italia, Flower Child och Fox Restaurant Concepts.

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated Sammanfattning av grunderna

Hur förhåller sig Cheesecake Factory:s resultat och omsättning till dess börsvärde?
CAKE grundläggande statistik
BörsvärdeUS$3.82b
Vinst(TTM)US$165.03m
Intäkter(TTM)US$3.80b
23.2x
P/E-förhållande
1.0x
P/S-förhållande

Resultat & intäkter

Viktig lönsamhetsstatistik från den senaste resultatrapporten (TTM)
CAKE resultaträkning (TTM)
IntäkterUS$3.80b
Kostnad för intäkterUS$2.26b
BruttovinstUS$1.54b
Övriga kostnaderUS$1.38b
IntäkterUS$165.03m

Senast redovisade vinst

Mar 31, 2026

Nästa vinstdatum

n/a

Vinst per aktie (EPS)3.32
Bruttomarginal40.50%
Nettovinstmarginal4.34%
Skuld/egenkapitalförhållande137.4%

Hur har CAKE utvecklats på lång sikt?

Se historisk utveckling och jämförelse

Utdelningar

1.6%
Aktuell utdelningsavkastning
31%
Utbetalningskvot

Företagsanalys och finansiella data Status

UppgifterSenast uppdaterad (UTC-tid)
Analys av företag2026/06/23 21:02
Aktiekurs vid dagens slut2026/06/23 00:00
Intäkter2026/03/31
Årlig intjäning2025/12/30

Datakällor

Den data som används i vår företagsanalys kommer från S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Följande data används i vår analysmodell för att generera denna rapport. Data är normaliserade vilket kan medföra en fördröjning från det att källan är tillgänglig.

PaketUppgifterTidsramExempel US-källa
Företagets finansiella ställning10 år
  • Resultaträkning
  • Kassaflödesanalys
  • Balansräkning
Analytikernas konsensusuppskattningar+3 år
  • Prognos för finansiella poster
  • Analytikernas prismål
Marknadspriser30 år
  • Aktiekurser
  • Utdelningar, splittar och åtgärder
Ägarskap10 år
  • Största aktieägare
  • Insiderhandel
Förvaltning10 år
  • Ledningsgrupp
  • Styrelse och verkställande direktörer
Viktiga utvecklingstendenser10 år
  • Företagsmeddelanden

* Exempel för amerikanska värdepapper, för icke-amerikanska värdepapper används motsvarande regelverk och källor.

Om inget annat anges är all finansiell data baserad på en årsperiod men uppdateras kvartalsvis. Detta kallas data för efterföljande tolv månader (TTM) eller senaste tolv månader (LTM). Lär dig mer om detta.

Analysmodell och snöflinga

Detaljer om analysmodellen som används för att skapa denna rapport finns på vår Github-sida; vi har också guider om hur du använder våra rapporter och handledningar på Youtube.

Lär dig mer om det team i världsklass som utformade och byggde analysmodellen Simply Wall St.

Industri- och sektormått

Våra bransch- och sektionsmått beräknas var sjätte timme av Simply Wall St, detaljer om vår process finns tillgängliga på Github.

Källor för analytiker

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated bevakas av 39 analytiker. 18 av dessa analytiker lämnade de uppskattningar av intäkter eller resultat som användes som indata till vår rapport. Analytikernas inskickade estimat uppdateras löpande under dagen.

AnalytikerInstitution
John StaszakArgus Research Company
David TarantinoBaird
Jeffrey BernsteinBarclays