GEO Group (GEO) Aktievy
GEO Group, Inc. är en ledande och diversifierad leverantör av tjänster till myndigheter som specialiserar sig på design, finansiering, utveckling och supporttjänster för säkra anläggningar, behandlingscenter och center för återinträde i samhället i USA, Australien, Sydafrika och Storbritannien. Mer information
| Snöflinga Score | |
|---|---|
| Värdering | 4/6 |
| Framtida tillväxt | 0/6 |
| Tidigare resultat | 4/6 |
| Finansiell hälsa | 2/6 |
| Utdelningar | 0/6 |
Belöningar
Riskanalys
GEO Community Fair Values
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Analyst Price Targets
The GEO Group, Inc. Konkurrenter
Prishistorik och prestanda
| Historiska aktiekurser | |
|---|---|
| Aktuell aktiekurs | US$31.75 |
| 52 veckors högsta | US$32.62 |
| 52 veckors lägsta | US$12.51 |
| Beta | 0.78 |
| 1 månads förändring | 4.20% |
| 3 månaders förändring | 40.18% |
| 1 års förändring | 52.57% |
| 3 års förändring | 336.13% |
| 5 års förändring | 272.22% |
| Förändring sedan börsintroduktionen | 3,075.00% |
Senaste nyheter och uppdateringar
Analysartikel • Aug 09
The GEO Group, Inc. Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Predictions
The GEO Group, Inc. ( NYSE:GEO ) last week reported its latest second-quarter results, which makes it a good time for...
Uppdatering av berättelse • Aug 08
GEO: Pricing Gains And New ICE Contracts Offset Census And Policy Risks
Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for GEO Group from $27.00 to $31.00, citing higher Street price targets near $40 and recent research that points to supportive pricing, mix, and sector demand expectations despite softer census trends. Analyst Commentary on GEO Group Recent Street research on GEO Group has focused on how pricing, mix, and sector demand interact with softer census trends and evolving government policy.Recent updates
Analysartikel • Aug 09
The GEO Group, Inc. Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Predictions
The GEO Group, Inc. ( NYSE:GEO ) last week reported its latest second-quarter results, which makes it a good time for...Uppdatering av berättelse • Aug 08
GEO: Pricing Gains And New ICE Contracts Offset Census And Policy Risks
Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for GEO Group from $27.00 to $31.00, citing higher Street price targets near $40 and recent research that points to supportive pricing, mix, and sector demand expectations despite softer census trends. Analyst Commentary on GEO Group Recent Street research on GEO Group has focused on how pricing, mix, and sector demand interact with softer census trends and evolving government policy.
Uppdatering av berättelse • Jul 25
GEO: Facility Acquisitions And Detention Standards Scrutiny Will Shape 2026 Outlook
Analysts have modestly raised the GEO Group fair value estimate from $32.00 to $33.75, citing updated price targets, including a move to $40.00, and increased confidence that government facility acquisition plans and a more active back half of 2026 could support the stock's outlook. What’s in the News for GEO Group An off duty GEO Group employee operating at the ICE detention center in Aurora, Colorado was charged with assault after a shooting incident involving protesters, with the company placing the employee on unpaid administrative leave and stating it would cooperate with law enforcement investigations, according to recent news reports.
Uppdatering av berättelse • Jul 11
GEO: Government Facility Acquisitions And ICE Detention Exposure Will Drive Future Upside
Analysts raised their price target on GEO Group stock to $40 from $30, citing updated assumptions that include a higher $40 fair value estimate, a slightly lower discount rate, modestly adjusted revenue growth and profit margin expectations, and a higher future P/E multiple supported by expectations for an active security services backdrop and ongoing government interest in acquiring private detention facilities. What’s in the News for GEO Group GEO Group was reported by the Washington Post to have asked Immigration and Customs Enforcement to revise federal detention standards, including language on compliance with state and local laws and the legal status of detainees working in facilities, amid ongoing minimum wage related lawsuits in multiple states.Uppdatering av berättelse • Jun 26
GEO: Government Facility Acquisitions And Detention Policy Scrutiny Will Shape Future Returns
Analysts have raised the GEO Group fair value estimate from $29.50 to $32.00, citing recent Street research that lifts the broader price target range toward $40 and points to continued confidence in the government's initiative to acquire private detention facilities. What’s in the News for GEO Group GEO Group reportedly asked U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement to amend federal detention standards, including removing certain language about following state and local laws on detainee treatment and clarifying that detainees are not employees of the facilities where they work, according to reporting cited from the Washington Post.Analysartikel • Jun 20
GEO Group (GEO) Stock Near Fair Value After ICE Detention Standards Change
Why GEO Group Stock Is Back in Focus After ICE Detention Standard Changes GEO Group (GEO) is drawing attention after reports that U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement updated detention center standards in ways that reportedly reflect changes the company requested regarding language on detainee treatment. This development goes to the heart of GEO Group’s role as a government services contractor in secure facilities and immigrant detention, raising fresh questions about operational...Uppdatering av berättelse • Jun 11
GEO: ICE Detention Exposure And Political Ties Will Drive Future Upside Potential
Analysts have adjusted their price target on GEO Group to $33.00, reflecting updated views on discount rate assumptions, revenue growth expectations, profit margins, and a higher future P/E multiple. What's in the News Watchdog group alleges GEO Group illegally directed US$250,000 to a political network tied to Rep.Uppdatering av berättelse • May 28
GEO: ICE Detention Demand And Political Scrutiny Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have adjusted their price target for GEO Group to $29.50, with the change primarily reflecting minor updates to the discount rate and expected future P/E, rather than any major shift in the underlying fair value assumptions. What's in the News The House Oversight Committee opened an inquiry into Corey Lewandowski that mentions GEO Group in related reporting (NBC News).Seeking Alpha • May 21
GEO Group: Q1 Results Validate The Turnaround, But Policy Risks Remain
Summary The GEO Group Inc. delivered a strong Q1 '26, with 17% revenue growth, 32% EBITDA growth, and raised full-year guidance across all metrics. Despite operational strength and a robust contract backlog, GEO's valuation at $22 now reflects fair value, not a discount, given persistent policy risk. ICE contracts account for 51% of revenue, and unresolved policy risk can trigger rapid stock repricing, as seen with a 13% drop on a single headline. I rate GEO a hold, as the risk/reward at current levels lacks sufficient margin of safety despite management’s solid execution and capital allocation. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaUppdatering av berättelse • May 13
GEO: ICE Detention Spending And Political Scrutiny Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have trimmed their GEO Group price targets, with recent cuts such as a move to $28 from $35, mainly citing slower than expected growth following the company’s Q4 results and 2026 guidance. Analyst Commentary Recent research comments have focused on how GEO Group’s updated Q4 results and 2026 guidance feed into both growth expectations and the valuation framework that analysts are using.Uppdatering av berättelse • Apr 28
GEO: ICE Detention Spending And 2026 Guidance Will Support Future Upside Potential
Analysts have trimmed their price targets on GEO Group, with reductions such as from $35 to $28, reflecting slower than anticipated growth following recent Q4 results and 2026 guidance updates. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are trimming price targets on GEO Group, but are still signaling confidence in the company’s long term execution and growth potential despite the slower than anticipated trajectory implied by Q4 results and 2026 guidance.Uppdatering av berättelse • Apr 13
GEO: Slower Guidance And Leadership Shifts Set Up Future Detention Upside
Analysts have reduced GEO Group's fair value estimate to $27 from $35, reflecting updated expectations for slower growth and lower profit margins following recent guidance. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts have moved to lower GEO Group's valuation anchors, pointing to slower growth expectations and pressure on profit margins after the latest quarter and 2026 guidance.Uppdatering av berättelse • Mar 30
GEO: ICE Detention Spending And 2026 Guidance Will Reset Earnings Expectations
Analysts have reduced their price expectations for GEO Group, with recent updates lowering targets to $28. This reflects slower than anticipated growth following the company’s Q4 results and 2026 guidance.Uppdatering av berättelse • Mar 16
GEO: ICE Detention Spending Upside Will Drive 2026 Earnings Repricing
Analysts have reduced the fair value estimate for GEO Group from $35.00 to $33.00, citing slower than anticipated growth, as reflected in recent price target cuts and updated earnings assumptions. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are framing the recent fair value and price target revisions as a recalibration after updated Q4 results and 2026 guidance, rather than a shift away from a constructive long term view on GEO Group.Uppdatering av berättelse • Mar 02
GEO: ICE Detention Spending And Buybacks Will Support Path Toward $3b Revenue
Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for GEO Group to $29.50 from $32.25, citing slower than anticipated growth, as reflected in recent price target cuts and updated assumptions for the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research has generally aligned with the trimmed fair value estimate, with price targets recalibrated after the company issued Q4 results and 2026 guidance that pointed to slower than previously assumed growth.Uppdatering av berättelse • Feb 16
GEO: ICE Detention Spending And Leadership Shift Will Shape 2026 Earnings
Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for GEO Group by $2 to $35, citing updated assumptions for growth, profitability, and a lower future P/E multiple reflected in recent Street research. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are framing the latest target changes as a recalibration rather than a shift in view on GEO Group’s underlying thesis.Uppdatering av berättelse • Feb 02
GEO: Upcoming Contracts And Monitoring Programs Will Underpin 2026 Earnings Profile
Analysts have trimmed their price target on GEO Group to US$37 from US$50, citing revised growth estimates and a softer profit outlook, even as they continue to highlight potential revenue from upcoming contracts and monitoring programs. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are framing the lower US$37 price target as a reset rather than a reversal in their view on GEO Group.Uppdatering av berättelse • Jan 19
GEO: Upcoming Contracts And Monitoring Will Support Path Toward $3B Revenue
Narrative Update Analysts cut their price target on GEO Group by $13 to $37, citing revised estimates that reflect slower than expected growth toward the projected $3b+ in annualized revenue from upcoming contracts and monitoring. They still expressed a positive view on all business segments, including the Intensive Supervision Appearance Program opportunity.Uppdatering av berättelse • Jan 05
GEO: Upcoming Monitoring Contracts Will Drive Path Toward $3B Annualized Revenue
Analysts have modestly lowered their price target on GEO Group, trimming expectations by approximately $13 per share to reflect slower than expected growth. They are still emphasizing long term revenue potential from upcoming contracts and monitoring programs.Uppdatering av berättelse • Dec 21
GEO Will Benefit From Upcoming Contracts And Monitoring Expansion By 2026
Analysts have reduced their price target on GEO Group to $37.00 from $50.00, citing slower than previously expected revenue growth and profitability, despite continued optimism about the company’s long term contract and monitoring opportunities. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts emphasize that the revised $37.00 price target still implies meaningful upside from current trading levels, arguing that the market has not fully reflected GEO Group’s multi year contract pipeline and expanding monitoring footprint in its valuation.Uppdatering av berättelse • Dec 07
GEO: Upcoming Monitoring And Contract Wins Will Drive Revenue Expansion By 2026
Analysts have modestly trimmed their price target on GEO Group, reflecting a recalibration toward slower near term growth. They continue to highlight multi year contract wins and monitoring opportunities that could support the path to more than $3 billion in annualized revenue and underpin an updated fair value estimate of approximately $32.25 per share.Uppdatering av berättelse • Nov 23
GEO: Upcoming Contracts Will Significantly Boost Annual Revenue By 2026
Analysts have lowered their price target for GEO Group from $34.25 to $32.25. They cite revised estimates that reflect slower-than-expected growth, although there remains continued optimism around new contract opportunities and segment performance.Analysartikel • Nov 14
GEO Group's (NYSE:GEO) Solid Profits Have Weak Fundamentals
Last week's profit announcement from The GEO Group, Inc. ( NYSE:GEO ) was underwhelming for investors, despite headline...Uppdatering av berättelse • Nov 08
GEO: New Contracts Will Drive Annualized Revenue Past $3 Billion
Analysts have lowered their price target for GEO Group from $39 to $34.25 per share, citing slower-than-expected revenue growth and profit margins based on recent research updates. However, they remain optimistic about the company's long-term opportunities.Uppdatering av berättelse • Sep 04
Federal Funding Will Expand ICE Facility Activations
Analyst sentiment on GEO Group is mixed, with bulls citing favorable immigration policy momentum and likely funding increases while bears flag slower growth in alternatives to detention, resulting in the consensus price target holding steady at $39.00. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts expect significant demand tailwinds for GEO Group due to major U.S. immigration policy proposals, including anticipated funding increases for detention and monitoring services.Analysartikel • Aug 08
Earnings Beat: The GEO Group, Inc. Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Models
The GEO Group, Inc. ( NYSE:GEO ) just released its second-quarter report and things are looking bullish. It was overall...Analysartikel • Jul 10
GEO Group (NYSE:GEO) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to...Analysartikel • Jun 22
Investors Will Want GEO Group's (NYSE:GEO) Growth In ROCE To Persist
If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for...Analysartikel • May 14
Investors Can Find Comfort In GEO Group's (NYSE:GEO) Earnings Quality
The GEO Group, Inc.'s ( NYSE:GEO ) earnings announcement last week didn't impress shareholders. Despite the soft profit...Analysartikel • Apr 27
The GEO Group, Inc.'s (NYSE:GEO) Business Is Yet to Catch Up With Its Share Price
The GEO Group, Inc.'s ( NYSE:GEO ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.8x may not look like an appealing investment...Analysartikel • Mar 22
GEO Group (NYSE:GEO) Is Experiencing Growth In Returns On Capital
What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term...Seeking Alpha • Mar 21
The GEO Group: The Stock Has Re-Priced And No Longer Offers Attractive Risk/Reward
Summary GEO Group's EBITDA declined in 2024, and missed my expectations. Refinancing in April 2024 lowered interest expenses but increased share count by 15%, diluting stock value. The market cap is $3.6 billion with an EV/EBITDA ratio over 11x, making the stock overvalued compared to my initial target. The stock no longer offers favorable risk/reward, as it missed EBITDA expectations and has a higher share count. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysartikel • Mar 04
The GEO Group, Inc. Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models
It's been a good week for The GEO Group, Inc. ( NYSE:GEO ) shareholders, because the company has just released its...Aktieägarnas avkastning
| GEO | US Commercial Services | US Marknad | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | 1.5% | -0.2% | 0.09% |
| 1Y | 52.6% | -9.1% | 19.0% |
Avkastning vs industri: GEO översteg US Commercial Services branschen som gav -9.1 % under det senaste året.
Avkastning vs Marknaden: GEO översteg US marknaden som gav 19 % under det senaste året.
Prisvolatilitet
| GEO volatility | |
|---|---|
| GEO Average Weekly Movement | 4.8% |
| Commercial Services Industry Average Movement | 7.1% |
| Market Average Movement | 7.2% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 16.3% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 3.1% |
Stabil aktiekurs: GEO har inte haft någon betydande prisvolatilitet under de senaste 3 månaderna jämfört med marknaden för US.
Volatilitet över tid: GEO s veckovolatilitet ( 5% ) har varit stabil under det senaste året.
Om företaget
| Grundad | Anställda | VD OCH KONCERNCHEF | Webbplats |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1984 | 18,000 | George Zoley | www.geogroup.com |
GEO Group, Inc. är en ledande och mångsidig leverantör av tjänster till offentlig sektor, specialiserad på utformning, finansiering, utveckling och supporttjänster för säkerhetsanläggningar, handläggningscenter och återanpassningscenter i USA, Australien, Sydafrika och Storbritannien. GEO:s diversifierade tjänster omfattar förbättrad rehabilitering under frihetsberövande och stöd efter frigivning genom det prisbelönta programmet GEO Continuum of Care, säker transport, elektronisk övervakning, samhällsbaserade program samt hälso- och psykisk vård inom kriminalvården. GEO:s globala verksamhet omfattar ägande och/eller tillhandahållande av stödtjänster för 97 anläggningar med sammanlagt cirka 76 000 platser, inklusive anläggningar som för närvarande inte är i drift och projekt under utveckling, med en personalstyrka på upp till cirka 20 000 anställda.
The GEO Group, Inc. Sammanfattning av grunderna
| GEO grundläggande statistik | |
|---|---|
| Börsvärde | US$3.96b |
| Vinst(TTM) | US$291.54m |
| Intäkter(TTM) | US$2.83b |
14.1x
P/E-förhållande1.5x
P/S-förhållandeÄr GEO övervärderat?
Se Verkligt värde och värderingsanalysResultat & intäkter
| GEO resultaträkning (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Intäkter | US$2.83b |
| Kostnad för intäkter | US$2.09b |
| Bruttovinst | US$736.32m |
| Övriga kostnader | US$444.78m |
| Intäkter | US$291.54m |
Senast redovisade vinst
Jun 30, 2026
Nästa vinstdatum
n/a
| Vinst per aktie (EPS) | 2.26 |
| Bruttomarginal | 26.04% |
| Nettovinstmarginal | 10.31% |
| Skuld/egenkapitalförhållande | 101.8% |
Hur har GEO utvecklats på lång sikt?
Se historisk utveckling och jämförelseFöretagsanalys och finansiella data Status
| Uppgifter | Senast uppdaterad (UTC-tid) |
|---|---|
| Analys av företag | 2026/08/11 12:36 |
| Aktiekurs vid dagens slut | 2026/08/11 00:00 |
| Intäkter | 2026/06/30 |
| Årlig intjäning | 2025/12/31 |
Datakällor
Den data som används i vår företagsanalys kommer från S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Följande data används i vår analysmodell för att generera denna rapport. Data är normaliserade vilket kan medföra en fördröjning från det att källan är tillgänglig.
| Paket | Uppgifter | Tidsram | Exempel US-källa |
|---|---|---|---|
| Företagets finansiella ställning | 10 år |
| |
| Analytikernas konsensusuppskattningar | +3 år |
|
|
| Marknadspriser | 30 år |
| |
| Ägarskap | 10 år |
| |
| Förvaltning | 10 år |
| |
| Viktiga utvecklingstendenser | 10 år |
|
* Exempel för amerikanska värdepapper, för icke-amerikanska värdepapper används motsvarande regelverk och källor.
Om inget annat anges är all finansiell data baserad på en årsperiod men uppdateras kvartalsvis. Detta kallas data för efterföljande tolv månader (TTM) eller senaste tolv månader (LTM). Lär dig mer om detta.
Analysmodell och snöflinga
Detaljer om analysmodellen som används för att skapa den här rapporten finns på vår Github-sida, vi har också guider om hur du använder våra rapporter och handledningar på Youtube.
Lär dig mer om det team i världsklass som utformade och byggde analysmodellen Simply Wall St.
Industri- och sektormått
Våra bransch- och sektionsmått beräknas var sjätte timme av Simply Wall St, detaljer om vår process finns tillgängliga på Github.
Källor för analytiker
The GEO Group, Inc. bevakas av 14 analytiker. 4 av dessa analytiker lämnade de uppskattningar av intäkter eller resultat som användes som indata till vår rapport. Analytikernas inskickade estimat uppdateras löpande under dagen.
| Analytiker | Institution |
|---|---|
| Manav Patnaik | Barclays |
| Ryan Meliker | Canaccord Genuity |
| Tan Wei | Deutsche Bank |