Stock Analysis

SilverBridge Holdings Limited's (JSE:SVB) 62% Price Boost Is Out Of Tune With Earnings

JSE:SVB
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SilverBridge Holdings Limited (JSE:SVB) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 62% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Looking further back, the 15% rise over the last twelve months isn't too bad notwithstanding the strength over the last 30 days.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about SilverBridge Holdings' P/E ratio of 10.6x, since the median price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio in South Africa is also close to 11x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/E without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

Recent times have been quite advantageous for SilverBridge Holdings as its earnings have been rising very briskly. The P/E is probably moderate because investors think this strong earnings growth might not be enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

See our latest analysis for SilverBridge Holdings

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JSE:SVB Price Based on Past Earnings September 29th 2021
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on SilverBridge Holdings will help you shine a light on its historical performance.
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What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/E?

SilverBridge Holdings' P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the market.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 42%. Despite this strong recent growth, it's still struggling to catch up as its three-year EPS frustratingly shrank by 42% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 24% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term earnings results is a sobering picture.

With this information, we find it concerning that SilverBridge Holdings is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

What We Can Learn From SilverBridge Holdings' P/E?

SilverBridge Holdings appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump getting its P/E back in line with most other companies. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our examination of SilverBridge Holdings revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term aren't impacting its P/E as much as we would have predicted, given the market is set to grow. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/E as this earnings performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 3 warning signs for SilverBridge Holdings (2 are a bit concerning!) that you need to be mindful of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on SilverBridge Holdings, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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