Stock Analysis

Improved Revenues Required Before Sasol Limited (JSE:SOL) Shares Find Their Feet

JSE:SOL
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When you see that almost half of the companies in the Chemicals industry in South Africa have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 1x, Sasol Limited (JSE:SOL) looks to be giving off some buy signals with its 0.3x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

See our latest analysis for Sasol

ps-multiple-vs-industry
JSE:SOL Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry May 8th 2024

What Does Sasol's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Recent times have been more advantageous for Sasol as its revenue hasn't fallen as much as the rest of the industry. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is low because investors think this relatively better revenue performance might be about to deteriorate significantly. So while you could say the stock is cheap, investors will be looking for improvement before they see it as good value. But at the very least, you'd be hoping that revenue doesn't fall off a cliff completely if your plan is to pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Keen to find out how analysts think Sasol's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Sasol?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Sasol's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 8.7%. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 51% overall rise in revenue, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would definitely welcome the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the nine analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 2.3% over the next year. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 58% growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this information, we can see why Sasol is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

The Bottom Line On Sasol's P/S

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

As expected, our analysis of Sasol's analyst forecasts confirms that the company's underwhelming revenue outlook is a major contributor to its low P/S. Shareholders' pessimism on the revenue prospects for the company seems to be the main contributor to the depressed P/S. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 4 warning signs for Sasol that you should be aware of.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Sasol is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.