Stock Analysis

Anglo American Platinum (JSE:AMS) Could Easily Take On More Debt

JSE:AMS
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Anglo American Platinum Limited (JSE:AMS) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Anglo American Platinum

How Much Debt Does Anglo American Platinum Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Anglo American Platinum had R131.0m of debt in December 2021, down from R256.0m, one year before. But it also has R51.5b in cash to offset that, meaning it has R51.4b net cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
JSE:AMS Debt to Equity History June 29th 2022

How Strong Is Anglo American Platinum's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Anglo American Platinum had liabilities of R56.5b due within 12 months, and liabilities of R21.3b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of R51.5b as well as receivables valued at R4.96b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling R21.4b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Since publicly traded Anglo American Platinum shares are worth a very impressive total of R379.7b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Anglo American Platinum boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

Even more impressive was the fact that Anglo American Platinum grew its EBIT by 171% over twelve months. That boost will make it even easier to pay down debt going forward. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Anglo American Platinum can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. Anglo American Platinum may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. During the last three years, Anglo American Platinum produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 70% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Summing up

We could understand if investors are concerned about Anglo American Platinum's liabilities, but we can be reassured by the fact it has has net cash of R51.4b. And we liked the look of last year's 171% year-on-year EBIT growth. So is Anglo American Platinum's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Anglo American Platinum (1 doesn't sit too well with us) you should be aware of.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.