Santam Ltd

JSE:SNT Stock Report

Market Cap: R43.5b

Santam Valuation

Is SNT undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SNT when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SNT (ZAR384.9) is trading above our estimate of fair value (ZAR246.91)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SNT is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SNT?

Key metric: As SNT is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for SNT. This is calculated by dividing SNT's market cap by their current earnings.
What is SNT's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio14.6x
EarningsR2.98b
Market CapR43.54b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SNT's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SNT vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average15.3x
OUT OUTsurance Group
25x10.1%R100.7b
MTM Momentum Group
10.7x14.5%R40.8b
DSY Discovery
18.2x14.6%R128.9b
OMU Old Mutual
7.1x2.7%R56.3b
SNT Santam
14.6x6.8%R43.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SNT is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.6x) compared to the peer average (15.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SNT's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the African Insurance Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
SNT 14.6xIndustry Avg. 5.9xNo. of Companies11PE0612182430+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SNT is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.6x) compared to the African Insurance industry average (5.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SNT's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SNT PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio14.6x
Fair PE Ratio13.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: SNT is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.1x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SNT forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentR384.90
R367.63
-4.5%
1.5%R372.88R360.00n/a3
Nov ’25R365.66
R367.63
+0.5%
1.5%R372.88R360.00n/a3
Oct ’25R367.00
R367.63
+0.2%
1.5%R372.88R360.00n/a3
Sep ’25R351.55
R350.40
-0.3%
4.1%R370.00R336.00n/a3
Aug ’25R322.06
R340.40
+5.7%
1.1%R345.20R336.00n/a3
Jul ’25R336.98
R323.10
-4.1%
5.2%R340.00R300.00n/a3
Jun ’25R298.67
R323.10
+8.2%
5.2%R340.00R300.00n/a3
May ’25R300.55
R323.10
+7.5%
5.2%R340.00R300.00n/a3
Apr ’25R297.88
R323.10
+8.5%
5.2%R340.00R300.00n/a3
Mar ’25R304.33
R319.75
+5.1%
1.9%R324.26R311.00n/a3
Feb ’25R290.49
R319.75
+10.1%
1.9%R324.26R311.00n/a3
Jan ’25R286.57
R320.49
+11.8%
2.4%R327.46R310.00n/a3
Dec ’24R284.51
R325.82
+14.5%
3.8%R340.00R310.00n/a3
Nov ’24R282.00
R331.65
+17.6%
2.6%R340.00R320.00R365.663
Oct ’24R301.94
R331.65
+9.8%
2.6%R340.00R320.00R367.003
Sep ’24R300.02
R323.97
+8.0%
3.6%R340.00R311.91R351.553
Aug ’24R301.12
R318.97
+5.9%
1.7%R325.00R311.91R322.063
Jul ’24R289.00
R318.97
+10.4%
1.7%R325.00R311.91R336.983
Jun ’24R269.40
R322.50
+19.7%
0.8%R325.00R320.00R298.672
May ’24R283.93
R335.00
+18.0%
4.5%R350.00R320.00R300.552

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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