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Sanlam Limited's (JSE:SLM) Business Is Trailing The Market But Its Shares Aren't
It's not a stretch to say that Sanlam Limited's (JSE:SLM) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 9.1x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the market in South Africa, where the median P/E ratio is around 9x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/E ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
Recent times have been advantageous for Sanlam as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/E is moderate because investors think this strong earnings performance might be about to tail off. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
Check out our latest analysis for Sanlam
Is There Some Growth For Sanlam?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/E like Sanlam's is when the company's growth is tracking the market closely.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 21% gain to the company's bottom line. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 84% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the seven analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 3.5% per year over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 18% each year, which is noticeably more attractive.
With this information, we find it interesting that Sanlam is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.
The Bottom Line On Sanlam's P/E
Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
We've established that Sanlam currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is lower than the wider market. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/E as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless these conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
Many other vital risk factors can be found on the company's balance sheet. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for Sanlam with six simple checks on some of these key factors.
If you're unsure about the strength of Sanlam's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About JSE:SLM
Sanlam
Provides various financial solutions to individual, business, and institutional clients in South Africa, rest of Africa, Asia, and internationally.
Established dividend payer with adequate balance sheet.
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