Stock Analysis

Impressive Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For Tiger Brands (JSE:TBS)

Tiger Brands Limited (JSE:TBS) just reported some strong earnings, and the market reacted accordingly with a healthy uplift in the share price. However, we think that shareholders may be missing some concerning details in the numbers.

earnings-and-revenue-history
JSE:TBS Earnings and Revenue History December 4th 2025
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The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

To properly understand Tiger Brands' profit results, we need to consider the R1.7b gain attributed to unusual items. While it's always nice to have higher profit, a large contribution from unusual items sometimes dampens our enthusiasm. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. Tiger Brands had a rather significant contribution from unusual items relative to its profit to September 2025. All else being equal, this would likely have the effect of making the statutory profit a poor guide to underlying earnings power.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

Our Take On Tiger Brands' Profit Performance

As previously mentioned, Tiger Brands' large boost from unusual items won't be there indefinitely, so its statutory earnings are probably a poor guide to its underlying profitability. As a result, we think it may well be the case that Tiger Brands' underlying earnings power is lower than its statutory profit. But at least holders can take some solace from the 51% per annum growth in EPS for the last three. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. If you'd like to know more about Tiger Brands as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. In terms of investment risks, we've identified 2 warning signs with Tiger Brands, and understanding these should be part of your investment process.

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Tiger Brands' profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Tiger Brands might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About JSE:TBS

Tiger Brands

Engages in the manufacture and sale of fast-moving consumer goods in South Africa and internationally.

Solid track record with excellent balance sheet and pays a dividend.

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