To avoid investing in a business that's in decline, there's a few financial metrics that can provide early indications of aging. When we see a declining return on capital employed (ROCE) in conjunction with a declining base of capital employed, that's often how a mature business shows signs of aging. Basically the company is earning less on its investments and it is also reducing its total assets. In light of that, from a first glance at RCL Foods (JSE:RCL), we've spotted some signs that it could be struggling, so let's investigate.
What is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. To calculate this metric for RCL Foods, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.018 = R266m ÷ (R22b - R7.6b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2020).
Thus, RCL Foods has an ROCE of 1.8%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Food industry average of 13%.
See our latest analysis for RCL Foods
In the above chart we have measured RCL Foods' prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report for RCL Foods.
So How Is RCL Foods' ROCE Trending?
We are a bit worried about the trend of returns on capital at RCL Foods. Unfortunately the returns on capital have diminished from the 9.5% that they were earning five years ago. Meanwhile, capital employed in the business has stayed roughly the flat over the period. Companies that exhibit these attributes tend to not be shrinking, but they can be mature and facing pressure on their margins from competition. If these trends continue, we wouldn't expect RCL Foods to turn into a multi-bagger.
While on the subject, we noticed that the ratio of current liabilities to total assets has risen to 34%, which has impacted the ROCE. If current liabilities hadn't increased as much as they did, the ROCE could actually be even lower. While the ratio isn't currently too high, it's worth keeping an eye on this because if it gets particularly high, the business could then face some new elements of risk.In Conclusion...
All in all, the lower returns from the same amount of capital employed aren't exactly signs of a compounding machine. It should come as no surprise then that the stock has fallen 28% over the last five years, so it looks like investors are recognizing these changes. Unless there is a shift to a more positive trajectory in these metrics, we would look elsewhere.
One more thing to note, we've identified 2 warning signs with RCL Foods and understanding these should be part of your investment process.
While RCL Foods isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About JSE:RCL
Flawless balance sheet, good value and pays a dividend.