Stock Analysis

Tsogo Sun Limited's (JSE:TSG) 7.8% loss last week hit both individual investors who own 40% as well as institutions

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JSE:TSG

Key Insights

  • Significant control over Tsogo Sun by private companies implies that the general public has more power to influence management and governance-related decisions
  • A total of 3 investors have a majority stake in the company with 60% ownership
  • Institutions own 32% of Tsogo Sun

To get a sense of who is truly in control of Tsogo Sun Limited (JSE:TSG), it is important to understand the ownership structure of the business. With 40% stake, private companies possess the maximum shares in the company. Put another way, the group faces the maximum upside potential (or downside risk).

While institutions, who own 32% shares weren’t spared from last week’s R981m market cap drop, private companies as a group suffered the maximum losses

Let's delve deeper into each type of owner of Tsogo Sun, beginning with the chart below.

See our latest analysis for Tsogo Sun

JSE:TSG Ownership Breakdown May 30th 2024

What Does The Institutional Ownership Tell Us About Tsogo Sun?

Institutional investors commonly compare their own returns to the returns of a commonly followed index. So they generally do consider buying larger companies that are included in the relevant benchmark index.

We can see that Tsogo Sun does have institutional investors; and they hold a good portion of the company's stock. This can indicate that the company has a certain degree of credibility in the investment community. However, it is best to be wary of relying on the supposed validation that comes with institutional investors. They too, get it wrong sometimes. It is not uncommon to see a big share price drop if two large institutional investors try to sell out of a stock at the same time. So it is worth checking the past earnings trajectory of Tsogo Sun, (below). Of course, keep in mind that there are other factors to consider, too.

JSE:TSG Earnings and Revenue Growth May 30th 2024

Hedge funds don't have many shares in Tsogo Sun. The company's largest shareholder is Tihc Investments (Rf) (Pty) Ltd, with ownership of 40%. The second and third largest shareholders are M&G Investment Managers (Pty) Limited and Hosken Consolidated Investments Limited, with an equal amount of shares to their name at 10%.

After doing some more digging, we found that the top 3 shareholders collectively control more than half of the company's shares, implying that they have considerable power to influence the company's decisions.

Researching institutional ownership is a good way to gauge and filter a stock's expected performance. The same can be achieved by studying analyst sentiments. We're not picking up on any analyst coverage of the stock at the moment, so the company is unlikely to be widely held.

Insider Ownership Of Tsogo Sun

While the precise definition of an insider can be subjective, almost everyone considers board members to be insiders. Company management run the business, but the CEO will answer to the board, even if he or she is a member of it.

I generally consider insider ownership to be a good thing. However, on some occasions it makes it more difficult for other shareholders to hold the board accountable for decisions.

Our most recent data indicates that insiders own some shares in Tsogo Sun Limited. In their own names, insiders own R336m worth of stock in the R12b company. Some would say this shows alignment of interests between shareholders and the board. But it might be worth checking if those insiders have been selling.

General Public Ownership

The general public, who are usually individual investors, hold a 15% stake in Tsogo Sun. While this group can't necessarily call the shots, it can certainly have a real influence on how the company is run.

Private Company Ownership

It seems that Private Companies own 40%, of the Tsogo Sun stock. It's hard to draw any conclusions from this fact alone, so its worth looking into who owns those private companies. Sometimes insiders or other related parties have an interest in shares in a public company through a separate private company.

Public Company Ownership

Public companies currently own 10% of Tsogo Sun stock. It's hard to say for sure but this suggests they have entwined business interests. This might be a strategic stake, so it's worth watching this space for changes in ownership.

Next Steps:

It's always worth thinking about the different groups who own shares in a company. But to understand Tsogo Sun better, we need to consider many other factors. Be aware that Tsogo Sun is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...

If you would prefer check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of interesting companies, backed by strong financial data.

NB: Figures in this article are calculated using data from the last twelve months, which refer to the 12-month period ending on the last date of the month the financial statement is dated. This may not be consistent with full year annual report figures.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.