Stock Analysis

Famous Brands (JSE:FBR) Will Pay A Larger Dividend Than Last Year At ZAR1.38

JSE:FBR
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Famous Brands Limited (JSE:FBR) will increase its dividend from last year's comparable payment on the 18th of December to ZAR1.38. This takes the annual payment to 7.9% of the current stock price, which is about average for the industry.

Check out our latest analysis for Famous Brands

Famous Brands' Earnings Easily Cover The Distributions

While it is always good to see a solid dividend yield, we should also consider whether the payment is feasible. Before making this announcement, Famous Brands was paying out quite a large proportion of both earnings and cash flow, with the dividend being 113% of cash flows. Paying out such a high proportion of cash flows certainly exposes the company to cutting the dividend if cash flows were to reduce.

Looking forward, earnings per share could rise by 43.2% over the next year if the trend from the last few years continues. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio will be 55%, which would make us comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend, despite the levels currently being quite high.

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JSE:FBR Historic Dividend October 27th 2023

Dividend Volatility

The company has a long dividend track record, but it doesn't look great with cuts in the past. The annual payment during the last 10 years was ZAR2.50 in 2013, and the most recent fiscal year payment was ZAR4.66. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 6.4% per annum over that time. It's good to see the dividend growing at a decent rate, but the dividend has been cut at least once in the past. Famous Brands might have put its house in order since then, but we remain cautious.

Famous Brands' Dividend Might Lack Growth

With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to evaluate if earnings per share is growing, which could point to a growing dividend in the future. Famous Brands has impressed us by growing EPS at 43% per year over the past five years. Earnings per share is growing nicely, but the company is paying out most of its earnings as dividends. This might be sustainable, but we wonder why Famous Brands is not retaining those earnings to reinvest in growth.

The Dividend Could Prove To Be Unreliable

Overall, we always like to see the dividend being raised, but we don't think Famous Brands will make a great income stock. In general, the distributions are a little bit higher than we would like, but we can't ignore the fact the quickly growing earnings gives this stock great potential in the future. Overall, we don't think this company has the makings of a good income stock.

It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. For example, we've picked out 2 warning signs for Famous Brands that investors should know about before committing capital to this stock. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.