Stock Analysis

With Shoprite Holdings Limited (JSE:SHP) It Looks Like You'll Get What You Pay For

JSE:SHP
Source: Shutterstock

With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 22.3x Shoprite Holdings Limited (JSE:SHP) may be sending very bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in South Africa have P/E ratios under 8x and even P/E's lower than 5x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

With earnings growth that's inferior to most other companies of late, Shoprite Holdings has been relatively sluggish. It might be that many expect the uninspiring earnings performance to recover significantly, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

See our latest analysis for Shoprite Holdings

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JSE:SHP Price Based on Past Earnings June 23rd 2022
Keen to find out how analysts think Shoprite Holdings' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Enough Growth For Shoprite Holdings?

Shoprite Holdings' P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the market.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 34% last year. As a result, it also grew EPS by 22% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 20% as estimated by the eight analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 18%, which is noticeably less attractive.

In light of this, it's understandable that Shoprite Holdings' P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

The Final Word

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that Shoprite Holdings maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Shoprite Holdings that you should be aware of.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Shoprite Holdings. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that sit on P/E's below 20x and have grown earnings strongly.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About JSE:SHP

Shoprite Holdings

An investment holding company, primarily engages in the food retailing business in South Africa and internationally.

Flawless balance sheet with moderate growth potential.

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