Pick n Pay Stores Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

Pick n Pay Stores is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 117.5% and 4.4% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 113.8% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 11.6% in 3 years.

Key information

117.5%

Earnings growth rate

113.8%

EPS growth rate

Consumer Retailing earnings growth	17.9%
Revenue growth rate	4.4%
Future return on equity	11.6%
Analyst coverage	Low
Last updated	15 Nov 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Pick n Pay Stores Limited (JSE:PIK) Soars 25% But It's A Story Of Risk Vs Reward

Oct 08

Be Wary Of Pick n Pay Stores (JSE:PIK) And Its Returns On Capital

Sep 24

Pick n Pay Stores (JSE:PIK) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

Aug 03

Pick n Pay Stores' (JSE:PIK) Returns On Capital Not Reflecting Well On The Business

Mar 25

Pick n Pay Stores Limited (JSE:PIK) Is Yielding 4.0% - But Is It A Buy?

Feb 23

Here's Why Pick n Pay Stores' (JSE:PIK) Statutory Earnings Are Arguably Too Conservative

Feb 09

If You Had Bought Pick n Pay Stores' (JSE:PIK) Shares A Year Ago You Would Be Down 23%

Dec 09

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

JSE:PIK - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (ZAR Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
2/28/2027	130,416	518	2,138	5,167	4
2/28/2026	121,598	-31	-41	4,244	5
2/28/2025	116,728	-536	-917	3,481	5
8/25/2024	117,195	-3,446	-513	1,611	N/A
5/25/2024	116,072	-3,318	-384	2,388	N/A
2/25/2024	114,948	-3,190	-255	3,165	N/A
11/25/2023	113,252	-1,522	9	3,820	N/A
8/27/2023	111,556	145	274	4,474	N/A
5/27/2023	110,061	658	248	4,152	N/A
2/26/2023	108,566	1,170	222	3,830	N/A
11/26/2022	106,804	1,270	677	3,679	N/A
8/28/2022	105,041	1,371	1,133	3,528	N/A
5/28/2022	102,335	1,293	1,594	3,829	N/A
2/27/2022	99,630	1,215	2,055	4,129	N/A
11/27/2021	98,066	1,160	2,125	4,083	N/A
8/29/2021	96,501	1,105	2,195	4,036	N/A
5/29/2021	95,581	1,036	2,918	4,481	N/A
2/28/2021	94,660	967	3,642	4,927	N/A
11/30/2020	93,267	967	3,664	5,022	N/A
8/30/2020	91,875	967	3,685	5,117	N/A
5/30/2020	91,363	1,081	3,288	4,876	N/A
3/1/2020	90,852	1,195	2,891	4,636	N/A
12/1/2019	91,322	1,322	2,706	4,353	N/A
9/1/2019	91,791	1,449	2,521	4,071	N/A
6/1/2019	90,791	1,447	2,194	3,694	N/A
3/3/2019	89,791	1,445	1,867	3,317	N/A
12/3/2018	87,339	1,480	N/A	N/A	N/A
8/26/2018	84,673	1,417	1,994	3,485	N/A
5/26/2018	83,489	1,357	N/A	3,069	N/A
2/25/2018	82,306	1,296	N/A	2,653	N/A
11/25/2017	81,016	1,196	N/A	N/A	N/A
8/27/2017	79,726	1,095	N/A	1,961	N/A
5/27/2017	78,606	1,153	N/A	1,771	N/A
2/26/2017	77,486	1,210	N/A	1,580	N/A
11/26/2016	76,216	1,159	N/A	2,080	N/A
8/28/2016	74,946	1,108	N/A	2,580	N/A
5/28/2016	73,696	1,079	N/A	2,827	N/A
2/28/2016	72,445	1,049	N/A	3,073	N/A
11/28/2015	71,066	980	N/A	2,744	N/A
8/30/2015	69,686	911	N/A	2,415	N/A
5/30/2015	68,313	883	N/A	2,302	N/A
3/1/2015	66,941	855	N/A	2,189	N/A
12/1/2014	66,050	755	N/A	2,141	N/A
8/31/2014	65,160	654	N/A	2,093	N/A
5/31/2014	64,139	619	N/A	2,309	N/A
3/2/2014	63,117	584	N/A	2,525	N/A
12/2/2013	62,075	573	N/A	2,163	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: PIK is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (9.7%).

Earnings vs Market: PIK is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.

High Growth Earnings: PIK is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: PIK's revenue (4.4% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the ZA market (3.5% per year).

High Growth Revenue: PIK's revenue (4.4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: PIK's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (11.6%).

Pick n Pay Stores Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 29%

Pick n Pay Stores Limited Provides Financial Guidance for the Fiscal Year 2025

Pick N Pay Stores Limited Provides Earnings Guidance for the Twenty Six Weeks to 25 August 2024

Consensus EPS estimates upgraded to R0.56 loss

Consensus EPS estimates upgraded to R0.65 loss

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 18%

Recent updates

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 29%

New major risk - Shareholder dilution

First half 2025 earnings released: R1.41 loss per share (vs R1.19 loss in 1H 2024)

Pick n Pay Stores Limited Provides Financial Guidance for the Fiscal Year 2025

Pick N Pay Stores Limited Provides Earnings Guidance for the Twenty Six Weeks to 25 August 2024

Pick n Pay Stores Limited (JSE:PIK) Soars 25% But It's A Story Of Risk Vs Reward

Consensus EPS estimates upgraded to R0.56 loss

Pick n Pay Stores Limited to Report First Half, 2025 Results on Oct 28, 2024

Consensus EPS estimates upgraded to R0.65 loss

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 18%

Pick n Pay Stores Limited Announces Resignation of Mariam Cassim as an Independent Non-Executive Director, Member of the Audit, Risk and Compliance Committee and the Finance and Investment Committee, Effective 5 July 2024

Pick n Pay Stores Limited, Annual General Meeting, Aug 27, 2024

Price target increased by 7.1% to R26.04

Full year 2024 earnings released: R6.62 loss per share (vs R2.43 profit in FY 2023)

Pick N Pay Stores Limited Does Not Declare Dividend for the Fiscal Year 2024

Pick n Pay Stores Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2024 Results on May 27, 2024

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 19%

Consensus EPS estimates fall from profit to R0.054 loss

Pick N Pay Stores Limited Announces Company Secretary Changes

Price target decreased by 8.5% to R25.17

New minor risk - Share price stability

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 16%

Price target decreased by 23% to R27.50

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 109%

Pick n Pay Stores Limited Announces Changes to Group Management, Effective from 1 March 2024

Price target decreased by 9.1% to R35.57

Price target decreased by 8.2% to R38.14

Non-Executive Director recently bought R137k worth of stock

Price target decreased by 9.6% to R39.14

New minor risk - Earnings quality

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 19%

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 40%

Pick N Pay Stores Limited Revises Earnings Guidance for the 26 Weeks Ended 27 August 2023

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 17%

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 20%

New minor risk - Share price stability

Pick n Pay Stores Limited(JSE:PIK) dropped from FTSE All-World Index (USD)

Pick n Pay Stores Limited(JSE:PIK) dropped from FTSE All-World Index (USD)

Now 21% undervalued after recent price drop

Pick n Pay Stores Limited Provides Earnings Guidance for the First Half and Second Half of Fiscal Year 2024

Non-Executive Director recently sold R599k worth of stock

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 13%

Pick n Pay Stores Limited (JSE:PIK) concluded a sale and purchase agreement to acquire business operations of the Tomis group for approximately ZAR 340 million.

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 18%

Upcoming dividend of R1.40 per share at 5.6% yield

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 24%

Price target decreased by 18% to R52.00

Full year 2023 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectations

Pick n Pay Stores Limited Declares Dividend, Payable on 5 June 2023

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 10%

Pick n Pay Stores Limited Announces Board Changes

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 10%

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 12%

Price target decreased by 9.6% to R64.77

Upcoming dividend of R0.45 per share

Pick n Pay Stores Limited, Annual General Meeting, Jul 19, 2023

Pick n Pay Stores Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2023 Results on May 03, 2023

Now 21% undervalued

Public Investment Corporation Limited acquired minority stake in Pick n Pay Stores Limited (JSE:PIK).

Independent Non-Executive Director recently sold R459k worth of stock

Pick n Pay Stores Limited Announces Executive Changes

Full year 2022 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectations

Pick n Pay Stores Limited, Annual General Meeting, Jul 26, 2022

Upcoming dividend of R1.85 per share

Full year 2022 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Pick n Pay Stores Limited to Report First Half, 2023 Results on Oct 18, 2022

Now 21% undervalued

Now 21% undervalued

Upcoming dividend of R0.36 per share