Pick n Pay Stores Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

Pick n Pay Stores is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 55% and 6.3% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 83.5% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 15.5% in 3 years.

Key information

55.0%

Earnings growth rate

83.5%

EPS growth rate

Consumer Retailing earnings growth	14.3%
Revenue growth rate	6.3%
Future return on equity	15.5%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	04 Apr 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Be Wary Of Pick n Pay Stores (JSE:PIK) And Its Returns On Capital

Sep 24

Pick n Pay Stores (JSE:PIK) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

Aug 03

Pick n Pay Stores' (JSE:PIK) Returns On Capital Not Reflecting Well On The Business

Mar 25

Pick n Pay Stores Limited (JSE:PIK) Is Yielding 4.0% - But Is It A Buy?

Feb 23

Here's Why Pick n Pay Stores' (JSE:PIK) Statutory Earnings Are Arguably Too Conservative

Feb 09

If You Had Bought Pick n Pay Stores' (JSE:PIK) Shares A Year Ago You Would Be Down 23%

Dec 09

Pick n Pay Stores Limited (JSE:PIK) Will Pay A R1.92 Dividend In Four Days

Nov 27

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

JSE:PIK - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (ZAR Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
2/28/2027	141,201	N/A	325	N/A	1
2/28/2026	129,553	618	789	4,056	8
2/28/2025	120,135	433	-205	3,607	8
2/29/2024	112,407	204	-169	2,936	8
8/27/2023	111,556	145	274	4,474	N/A
5/27/2023	110,061	658	248	4,152	N/A
2/26/2023	108,566	1,170	222	3,830	N/A
11/26/2022	106,804	1,270	677	3,679	N/A
8/28/2022	105,041	1,371	1,133	3,528	N/A
5/28/2022	102,335	1,293	1,594	3,829	N/A
2/27/2022	99,630	1,215	2,055	4,129	N/A
11/27/2021	98,066	1,160	2,125	4,083	N/A
8/29/2021	96,501	1,105	2,195	4,036	N/A
5/29/2021	95,581	1,036	2,918	4,481	N/A
2/28/2021	94,660	967	3,642	4,927	N/A
11/30/2020	93,267	967	3,664	5,022	N/A
8/30/2020	91,875	967	3,685	5,117	N/A
5/30/2020	91,363	1,081	3,288	4,876	N/A
3/1/2020	90,852	1,195	2,891	4,636	N/A
12/1/2019	91,322	1,322	2,706	4,353	N/A
9/1/2019	91,791	1,449	2,521	4,071	N/A
6/1/2019	90,791	1,447	2,194	3,694	N/A
3/3/2019	89,791	1,445	1,867	3,317	N/A
12/3/2018	87,339	1,480	N/A	N/A	N/A
8/26/2018	84,673	1,417	1,994	3,485	N/A
5/26/2018	83,489	1,357	1,550	3,069	N/A
2/25/2018	82,306	1,296	1,106	2,653	N/A
11/25/2017	81,016	1,196	N/A	N/A	N/A
8/27/2017	79,726	1,095	149	1,961	N/A
5/27/2017	78,606	1,153	N/A	1,771	N/A
2/26/2017	77,486	1,210	N/A	1,580	N/A
11/26/2016	76,216	1,159	N/A	2,080	N/A
8/28/2016	74,946	1,108	N/A	2,580	N/A
5/28/2016	73,696	1,079	N/A	2,827	N/A
2/28/2016	72,445	1,049	N/A	3,073	N/A
11/28/2015	71,066	980	N/A	2,744	N/A
8/30/2015	69,686	911	N/A	2,415	N/A
5/30/2015	68,313	883	N/A	2,302	N/A
3/1/2015	66,941	855	N/A	2,189	N/A
12/1/2014	66,050	755	N/A	2,141	N/A
8/31/2014	65,160	654	N/A	2,093	N/A
5/31/2014	64,139	619	N/A	2,309	N/A
3/2/2014	63,117	584	N/A	2,525	N/A
12/2/2013	62,075	573	N/A	2,163	N/A
9/1/2013	61,033	562	N/A	1,802	N/A
6/1/2013	60,152	556	N/A	1,152	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: PIK's forecast earnings growth (55% per year) is above the savings rate (9.5%).

Earnings vs Market: PIK's earnings (55% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the ZA market (16.3% per year).

High Growth Earnings: PIK's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: PIK's revenue (6.3% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the ZA market (3.4% per year).

High Growth Revenue: PIK's revenue (6.3% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: PIK's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (15.5%).

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Pick n Pay Stores Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Consensus EPS estimates fall from profit to R0.054 loss

Price target decreased by 8.5% to R25.17

Price target decreased by 23% to R27.50

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 109%

Price target decreased by 9.1% to R35.57

Price target decreased by 8.2% to R38.14

Recent updates

Consensus EPS estimates fall from profit to R0.054 loss

Pick N Pay Stores Limited Announces Company Secretary Changes

Price target decreased by 8.5% to R25.17

New minor risk - Share price stability

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 16%

Price target decreased by 23% to R27.50

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 109%

Pick n Pay Stores Limited Announces Changes to Group Management, Effective from 1 March 2024

Price target decreased by 9.1% to R35.57

Price target decreased by 8.2% to R38.14

Non-Executive Director recently bought R137k worth of stock

Price target decreased by 9.6% to R39.14

New minor risk - Earnings quality

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 19%

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 40%

Pick N Pay Stores Limited Revises Earnings Guidance for the 26 Weeks Ended 27 August 2023

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 17%

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 20%

New minor risk - Share price stability

Pick n Pay Stores Limited(JSE:PIK) dropped from FTSE All-World Index (USD)

Pick n Pay Stores Limited(JSE:PIK) dropped from FTSE All-World Index (USD)

Now 21% undervalued after recent price drop

Pick n Pay Stores Limited Provides Earnings Guidance for the First Half and Second Half of Fiscal Year 2024

Non-Executive Director recently sold R599k worth of stock

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 13%

Pick n Pay Stores Limited (JSE:PIK) concluded a sale and purchase agreement to acquire business operations of the Tomis group for approximately ZAR 340 million.

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 18%

Upcoming dividend of R1.40 per share at 5.6% yield

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 24%

Price target decreased by 18% to R52.00

Full year 2023 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectations

Pick n Pay Stores Limited Declares Dividend, Payable on 5 June 2023

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 10%

Pick n Pay Stores Limited Announces Board Changes

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 10%

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 12%

Price target decreased by 9.6% to R64.77

Upcoming dividend of R0.45 per share

Pick n Pay Stores Limited, Annual General Meeting, Jul 19, 2023

Pick n Pay Stores Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2023 Results on May 03, 2023

Now 21% undervalued

Public Investment Corporation Limited acquired minority stake in Pick n Pay Stores Limited (JSE:PIK).

Independent Non-Executive Director recently sold R459k worth of stock

Pick n Pay Stores Limited Announces Executive Changes

Full year 2022 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectations

Pick n Pay Stores Limited, Annual General Meeting, Jul 26, 2022

Upcoming dividend of R1.85 per share

Full year 2022 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Pick n Pay Stores Limited to Report First Half, 2023 Results on Oct 18, 2022

Now 21% undervalued

Now 21% undervalued

Upcoming dividend of R0.36 per share

Independent Non-Executive Director recently sold R604k worth of stock

First half 2022 earnings released: EPS R0.62 (vs R0.33 in 1H 2021)

Be Wary Of Pick n Pay Stores (JSE:PIK) And Its Returns On Capital

Pick n Pay Stores (JSE:PIK) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

Full year 2021 earnings released: EPS R2.03 (vs R2.51 in FY 2020)

Upcoming dividend of R1.61 per share

Clicks Group Limited (JSE:CLS) agreed to acquire Retail Pharmacy Business from Pick n Pay Stores Limited (JSE:PIK).

Full year 2021 earnings released: EPS R2.03 (vs R2.51 in FY 2020)

CEO & Executive Director Richard William Brasher has left the company

Chief Information Officer & Executive Director has left the company

Pick n Pay Stores' (JSE:PIK) Returns On Capital Not Reflecting Well On The Business

Pick n Pay Stores Limited Announces Retirement of Richard Van Rensburg as Executive Director, Effective 31 March 2021

Pick n Pay Stores Limited (JSE:PIK) Is Yielding 4.0% - But Is It A Buy?

Pick n Pay Stores Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2021 Results on Apr 21, 2021

Here's Why Pick n Pay Stores' (JSE:PIK) Statutory Earnings Are Arguably Too Conservative

New 90-day high: R56.86

How Much Of Pick n Pay Stores Limited (JSE:PIK) Do Institutions Own?