The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Argent Industrial Limited (JSE:ART) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
See our latest analysis for Argent Industrial
How Much Debt Does Argent Industrial Carry?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2022 Argent Industrial had R132.9m of debt, an increase on R100.6m, over one year. But on the other hand it also has R184.4m in cash, leading to a R51.5m net cash position.
How Strong Is Argent Industrial's Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Argent Industrial had liabilities of R521.2m falling due within a year, and liabilities of R181.1m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of R184.4m and R439.2m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by R78.7m.
Since publicly traded Argent Industrial shares are worth a total of R844.4m, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Argent Industrial also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.
On top of that, Argent Industrial grew its EBIT by 40% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Argent Industrial's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. While Argent Industrial has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the most recent three years, Argent Industrial recorded free cash flow worth 65% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.
Summing Up
While it is always sensible to look at a company's total liabilities, it is very reassuring that Argent Industrial has R51.5m in net cash. And we liked the look of last year's 40% year-on-year EBIT growth. So is Argent Industrial's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example - Argent Industrial has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About JSE:ART
Argent Industrial
Manufactures and trades in steel and steel-related products in South Africa, Asia, the Middle East, Australia, New Zealand, North America, South America, rest of Africa, rest of Europe, the United Kingdom, and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet, good value and pays a dividend.