Stock Analysis

Standard Bank Group's (JSE:SBK) Upcoming Dividend Will Be Larger Than Last Year's

JSE:SBK
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Standard Bank Group Limited (JSE:SBK) will increase its dividend from last year's comparable payment on the 16th of September to ZAR7.44. This will take the dividend yield to an attractive 6.2%, providing a nice boost to shareholder returns.

Check out our latest analysis for Standard Bank Group

Standard Bank Group's Dividend Forecasted To Be Well Covered By Earnings

Impressive dividend yields are good, but this doesn't matter much if the payments can't be sustained.

Standard Bank Group has a long history of paying out dividends, with its current track record at a minimum of 10 years. Taking data from its last earnings report, calculating for the company's payout ratio shows 56%, which means that Standard Bank Group would be able to pay its last dividend without pressure on the balance sheet.

Looking forward, EPS is forecast to rise by 21.1% over the next 3 years. Analysts forecast the future payout ratio could be 57% over the same time horizon, which is a number we think the company can maintain.

historic-dividend
JSE:SBK Historic Dividend September 1st 2024

Dividend Volatility

The company has a long dividend track record, but it doesn't look great with cuts in the past. Since 2014, the dividend has gone from ZAR5.33 total annually to ZAR14.77. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 11% a year over that time. Despite the rapid growth in the dividend over the past number of years, we have seen the payments go down the past as well, so that makes us cautious.

The Dividend Has Growth Potential

Given that the dividend has been cut in the past, we need to check if earnings are growing and if that might lead to stronger dividends in the future. We are encouraged to see that Standard Bank Group has grown earnings per share at 8.6% per year over the past five years. Since earnings per share is growing at an acceptable rate, and the payout policy is balanced, we think the company is positioning itself well to grow earnings and dividends in the future.

Standard Bank Group Looks Like A Great Dividend Stock

Overall, we think this could be an attractive income stock, and it is only getting better by paying a higher dividend this year. The company is easily earning enough to cover its dividend payments and it is great to see that these earnings are being translated into cash flow. All of these factors considered, we think this has solid potential as a dividend stock.

Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. For instance, we've picked out 1 warning sign for Standard Bank Group that investors should take into consideration. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.