Stock Analysis

Here's Why WEC Energy Group (NYSE:WEC) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

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NYSE:WEC

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that WEC Energy Group, Inc. (NYSE:WEC) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for WEC Energy Group

What Is WEC Energy Group's Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of June 2024, WEC Energy Group had US$18.8b of debt, up from US$17.9b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. And it doesn't have much cash, so its net debt is about the same.

NYSE:WEC Debt to Equity History August 1st 2024

How Strong Is WEC Energy Group's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, WEC Energy Group had liabilities of US$3.49b due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$28.7b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had US$224.0m in cash and US$1.24b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$30.7b.

Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's massive market capitalization of US$27.2b, we think shareholders really should watch WEC Energy Group's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

WEC Energy Group has a rather high debt to EBITDA ratio of 5.2 which suggests a meaningful debt load. However, its interest coverage of 2.9 is reasonably strong, which is a good sign. On a slightly more positive note, WEC Energy Group grew its EBIT at 16% over the last year, further increasing its ability to manage debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if WEC Energy Group can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. In the last three years, WEC Energy Group created free cash flow amounting to 9.4% of its EBIT, an uninspiring performance. That limp level of cash conversion undermines its ability to manage and pay down debt.

Our View

On the face of it, WEC Energy Group's level of total liabilities left us tentative about the stock, and its net debt to EBITDA was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But on the bright side, its EBIT growth rate is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. It's also worth noting that WEC Energy Group is in the Integrated Utilities industry, which is often considered to be quite defensive. Overall, we think it's fair to say that WEC Energy Group has enough debt that there are some real risks around the balance sheet. If all goes well, that should boost returns, but on the flip side, the risk of permanent capital loss is elevated by the debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for WEC Energy Group (of which 1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) you should know about.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.