TXNM Energy Dividends and Buybacks
Dividend criteria checks 3/6
TXNM Energy is a dividend paying company with a current yield of 2.93%.
Key information
2.9%
Dividend yield
-4.9%
Buyback Yield
| Total Shareholder Yield | -2.0% |
| Future Dividend Yield | 3.3% |
| Dividend Growth | 6.6% |
| Next dividend pay date | n/a |
| Ex dividend date | n/a |
| Dividend per share | n/a |
| Payout ratio | 94% |
Recent dividend and buyback updates
Recent updates
TXNM: Dividend Raise And Pending Buyout Will Support A Fairly Valued Hold
Analysts kept their average price target for TXNM Energy effectively unchanged at approximately $60.79. This reflects consistent views on fair value, discount rate, growth, margins, and future P/E assumptions.TXNM: Dividend Increase And Buyout Agreement Will Support A Fairly Valued Hold
Analysts have modestly adjusted their price target on TXNM Energy to reflect updated assumptions around the discount rate and forward P/E. This has led to a refined valuation estimate rather than a material shift in expected value.TXNM: Hold Downgrade And Dividend Commitments Will Shape Fairly Valued Outlook
Narrative Update on TXNM Energy The consensus analyst price target for TXNM Energy has shifted to $61.25 from $58, with analysts citing the recent downgrade to Hold as a key factor behind the updated view. Analyst Commentary Recent research reflects a more balanced stance on TXNM Energy, with the new Hold rating paired with a higher price target of $61.25 compared with $58 previously.TXNM: Pending Blackstone Takeover And Dividend Policy Will Shape Future Returns
Narrative Update on TXNM Energy The analyst price target for TXNM Energy has shifted slightly higher to about $60.79 from $60.63, as analysts align their models more closely with the recently cited $61.25 per share takeout reference and adjust assumptions around revenue growth, margins, and future P/E. Analyst Commentary Recent research on TXNM Energy has centered on the proposed Blackstone Infrastructure takeover at $61.25 per share, with current ratings and price targets largely anchored to that reference point.TXNM: Pending Blackstone Deal And Dividend Policy Will Shape Future Share Performance
Analysts nudged their price target on TXNM Energy higher to $61.25 from $58.00, citing alignment with the assumed Blackstone Infrastructure takeover value and a more balanced risk reward profile that supports Hold or Neutral ratings. Analyst Commentary Analysts describe the new $61.25 price target as a ceiling defined by the assumed Blackstone Infrastructure takeover value, framing the equity story as largely event driven rather than driven by standalone growth or margin expansion.TXNM: Blackstone Acquisition Approval And Integration Will Influence Near-Term Performance
Analysts have modestly raised their price target for TXNM Energy to $61.25 per share, citing recent coverage updates and expectations related to the Blackstone Infrastructure acquisition. Analyst Commentary Recent updates from street research have provided a nuanced outlook on TXNM Energy, reflecting both optimism and caution regarding the company’s prospects amid ongoing strategic developments.TXNM: Pending Blackstone Takeover And Profitability Improvements Will Shape Outlook
Analysts have raised their price target for TXNM Energy from $60.08 to $60.63 per share. This reflects revised margin and valuation assumptions, even as growth outlooks have become more restrained.Blackstone Acquisition Will Shape New Mexico Energy And Data Center Expansion
Analysts have maintained their price target for TXNM Energy at $61.25 per share. They cite stable fair value estimates, while also noting slightly higher expected revenue growth, balanced by a modest decrease in profit margin forecasts.Texas Data Centers And Renewable Energy Will Transform Infrastructure
Analysts have raised their price target for TXNM Energy from $58.89 to $60.08 per share, supported by recent street research that suggests expectations the Blackstone Infrastructure takeover will close at a premium valuation. Analyst Commentary Street research has provided new insights into TXNM Energy's current valuation and future prospects as the Blackstone Infrastructure takeover continues to unfold.TXNM Energy: The Need For Capital Versus Regulatory Skepticism
Summary The TXNM-Blackstone merger offers a potential 9% annualized return, but regulatory approval is uncertain and downside risk is significant if the deal fails. TXNM’s high debt, volatile earnings, and regulatory challenges in New Mexico undermine the low-risk appeal typical of merger arbitrage opportunities. Blackstone’s interest is driven by TXNM’s Texas operations, but New Mexico’s regulatory hurdles and opposition from advocacy groups remain key obstacles. Given the 30-40% chance of deal failure and limited upside, I recommend a Hold, as the risk-reward profile is not compelling for new buyers. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Texas Utility's Bold Strategy Fuels Growth Amid Weather Challenges And Regulatory Dynamics
Strategic capital investments aimed at improving weather response and grid modernization will drive revenue growth and enhance operational efficiency.Stability and Growth of Payments
Fetching dividends data
Stable Dividend: TXNM's dividends per share have been stable in the past 10 years.
Growing Dividend: TXNM's dividend payments have increased over the past 10 years.
Dividend Yield vs Market
| TXNM Energy Dividend Yield vs Market |
|---|
| Segment | Dividend Yield |
|---|---|
| Company (TXNM) | 2.9% |
| Market Bottom 25% (US) | 1.4% |
| Market Top 25% (US) | 4.1% |
| Industry Average (Electric Utilities) | 3.0% |
| Analyst forecast (TXNM) (up to 3 years) | 3.3% |
Notable Dividend: TXNM's dividend (2.93%) is higher than the bottom 25% of dividend payers in the US market (1.36%).
High Dividend: TXNM's dividend (2.93%) is low compared to the top 25% of dividend payers in the US market (4.11%).
Earnings Payout to Shareholders
Earnings Coverage: With its high payout ratio (93.6%), TXNM's dividend payments are not well covered by earnings.
Cash Payout to Shareholders
Cash Flow Coverage: TXNM is paying a dividend but the company has no free cash flows.
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/09/13 02:42 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/09/11 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/06/30 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
| |
| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
| |
| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
TXNM Energy, Inc. is covered by 17 analysts. 3 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Gary Hovis | Argus Research Company |
| David Parker | Baird |
| Daniel Ford | Barclays |