TXNM Energy, Inc.

NYSE:TXNM Stock Report

Market Cap: US$6.6b

TXNM Energy Past Earnings Performance

Past criteria checks 1/6

TXNM Energy's earnings have been declining at an average annual rate of -4.4%, while the Electric Utilities industry saw earnings growing at 6% annually. Revenues have been growing at an average rate of 3.6% per year. TXNM Energy's return on equity is 4.7%, and it has net margins of 6.7%.

Key information

-4.36%

Earnings growth rate

-7.84%

EPS growth rate

Electric Utilities Industry Growth6.28%
Revenue growth rate3.65%
Return on equity4.67%
Net Margin6.68%
Last Earnings Update31 Mar 2026

Recent past performance updates

Recent updates

Narrative Update • Feb 20

TXNM: Dividend Raise And Pending Buyout Will Support A Fairly Valued Hold

Analysts kept their average price target for TXNM Energy effectively unchanged at approximately $60.79. This reflects consistent views on fair value, discount rate, growth, margins, and future P/E assumptions.
Narrative Update • Feb 06

TXNM: Dividend Increase And Buyout Agreement Will Support A Fairly Valued Hold

Analysts have modestly adjusted their price target on TXNM Energy to reflect updated assumptions around the discount rate and forward P/E. This has led to a refined valuation estimate rather than a material shift in expected value.
Narrative Update • Jan 22

TXNM: Hold Downgrade And Dividend Commitments Will Shape Fairly Valued Outlook

Narrative Update on TXNM Energy The consensus analyst price target for TXNM Energy has shifted to $61.25 from $58, with analysts citing the recent downgrade to Hold as a key factor behind the updated view. Analyst Commentary Recent research reflects a more balanced stance on TXNM Energy, with the new Hold rating paired with a higher price target of $61.25 compared with $58 previously.
Narrative Update • Jan 06

TXNM: Pending Blackstone Takeover And Dividend Policy Will Shape Future Returns

Narrative Update on TXNM Energy The analyst price target for TXNM Energy has shifted slightly higher to about $60.79 from $60.63, as analysts align their models more closely with the recently cited $61.25 per share takeout reference and adjust assumptions around revenue growth, margins, and future P/E. Analyst Commentary Recent research on TXNM Energy has centered on the proposed Blackstone Infrastructure takeover at $61.25 per share, with current ratings and price targets largely anchored to that reference point.
Narrative Update • Dec 14

TXNM: Pending Blackstone Deal And Dividend Policy Will Shape Future Share Performance

Analysts nudged their price target on TXNM Energy higher to $61.25 from $58.00, citing alignment with the assumed Blackstone Infrastructure takeover value and a more balanced risk reward profile that supports Hold or Neutral ratings. Analyst Commentary Analysts describe the new $61.25 price target as a ceiling defined by the assumed Blackstone Infrastructure takeover value, framing the equity story as largely event driven rather than driven by standalone growth or margin expansion.
Narrative Update • Nov 23

TXNM: Blackstone Acquisition Approval And Integration Will Influence Near-Term Performance

Analysts have modestly raised their price target for TXNM Energy to $61.25 per share, citing recent coverage updates and expectations related to the Blackstone Infrastructure acquisition. Analyst Commentary Recent updates from street research have provided a nuanced outlook on TXNM Energy, reflecting both optimism and caution regarding the company’s prospects amid ongoing strategic developments.
Narrative Update • Nov 07

TXNM: Pending Blackstone Takeover And Profitability Improvements Will Shape Outlook

Analysts have raised their price target for TXNM Energy from $60.08 to $60.63 per share. This reflects revised margin and valuation assumptions, even as growth outlooks have become more restrained.
Narrative Update • Oct 24

Blackstone Acquisition Will Shape New Mexico Energy And Data Center Expansion

Analysts have maintained their price target for TXNM Energy at $61.25 per share. They cite stable fair value estimates, while also noting slightly higher expected revenue growth, balanced by a modest decrease in profit margin forecasts.
Narrative Update • Oct 09

Texas Data Centers And Renewable Energy Will Transform Infrastructure

Analysts have raised their price target for TXNM Energy from $58.89 to $60.08 per share, supported by recent street research that suggests expectations the Blackstone Infrastructure takeover will close at a premium valuation. Analyst Commentary Street research has provided new insights into TXNM Energy's current valuation and future prospects as the Blackstone Infrastructure takeover continues to unfold.
Seeking Alpha • Sep 08

TXNM Energy: The Need For Capital Versus Regulatory Skepticism

Summary The TXNM-Blackstone merger offers a potential 9% annualized return, but regulatory approval is uncertain and downside risk is significant if the deal fails. TXNM’s high debt, volatile earnings, and regulatory challenges in New Mexico undermine the low-risk appeal typical of merger arbitrage opportunities. Blackstone’s interest is driven by TXNM’s Texas operations, but New Mexico’s regulatory hurdles and opposition from advocacy groups remain key obstacles. Given the 30-40% chance of deal failure and limited upside, I recommend a Hold, as the risk-reward profile is not compelling for new buyers. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
User avatar
New Narrative • Sep 03

Texas Utility's Bold Strategy Fuels Growth Amid Weather Challenges And Regulatory Dynamics

Strategic capital investments aimed at improving weather response and grid modernization will drive revenue growth and enhance operational efficiency.
Seeking Alpha • Apr 07

PNM Resources: Medium Term Growth Potential But Less Financial Flexibility

Summary PNM Resources has medium term EPS growth potential given its expected growth in its regulated rate base. Given PNM Resources has fairly high leverage, the company doesn't have as much financial flexibility while maintaining investment grade credit rating if it needs to spend more. I rate PNM Resources a 'Buy' and I would own it in a diversified portfolio. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Revenue & Expenses Breakdown

How TXNM Energy makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.

Earnings and Revenue History

NYSE:TXNM Revenue, expenses and earnings (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsG+A ExpensesR&D Expenses
31 Mar 262,1881463400
31 Dec 252,1661513340
30 Sep 252,1091772730
30 Jun 252,0311772680
31 Mar 252,0172042510
31 Dec 241,9712422450
30 Sep 241,9061762390
30 Jun 241,843832340
31 Mar 241,832802300
31 Dec 231,939882310
30 Sep 232,1031542330
30 Jun 232,3272382320
31 Mar 232,3502092300
31 Dec 222,2501702300
30 Sep 222,1081652310
30 Jun 221,9321562300
31 Mar 221,8591942310
31 Dec 211,7801962340
30 Sep 211,7051932430
30 Jun 211,6232022390
31 Mar 211,5542062370
31 Dec 201,5231732240
30 Sep 201,5081962010
30 Jun 201,4691771970
31 Mar 201,442431890
31 Dec 191,458771950
30 Sep 191,457-101950
30 Jun 191,446-251960
31 Mar 191,468891970
31 Dec 181,437861930
30 Sep 181,425861990
30 Jun 181,423731920
31 Mar 181,433721880
31 Dec 171,445801860
30 Sep 171,4491591850
30 Jun 171,4291401880
31 Mar 171,3821291920
31 Dec 161,3631171910
30 Sep 161,36311880
30 Jun 161,38071880
31 Mar 161,417121820
31 Dec 151,439161790
30 Sep 151,4501261700
30 Jun 151,4471211660

Quality Earnings: TXNM has high quality earnings.

Growing Profit Margin: TXNM's current net profit margins (6.7%) are lower than last year (10.1%).

Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis

Past Earnings Growth Analysis

Earnings Trend: TXNM's earnings have declined by 4.4% per year over the past 5 years.

Accelerating Growth: TXNM's has had negative earnings growth over the past year, so it can't be compared to its 5-year average.

Earnings vs Industry: TXNM had negative earnings growth (-28.3%) over the past year, making it difficult to compare to the Electric Utilities industry average (9.5%).

Return on Equity

High ROE: TXNM's Return on Equity (4.7%) is considered low.

Return on Assets

Return on Capital Employed

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/25 23:37
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/22 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

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Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

TXNM Energy, Inc. is covered by 17 analysts. 3 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Gary HovisArgus Research Company
David ParkerBaird
Daniel FordBarclays