The board of Southwest Gas Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:SWX) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 1st of December, with investors receiving $0.62 per share. Including this payment, the dividend yield on the stock will be 3.2%, which is a modest boost for shareholders' returns.
Southwest Gas Holdings' Future Dividend Projections Appear Well Covered By Earnings
If it is predictable over a long period, even low dividend yields can be attractive. Prior to this announcement, Southwest Gas Holdings' dividend was making up a very large proportion of earnings and perhaps more concerning was that it was 1,269% of cash flows. This is certainly a risk factor, as reduced cash flows could force the company to pay a lower dividend.
Over the next year, EPS is forecast to expand by 108.9%. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio will be 46%, which would make us comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend, despite the levels currently being quite high.
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Southwest Gas Holdings Has A Solid Track Record
The company has a sustained record of paying dividends with very little fluctuation. The annual payment during the last 10 years was $1.46 in 2015, and the most recent fiscal year payment was $2.48. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 5.4% a year over that time. Companies like this can be very valuable over the long term, if the decent rate of growth can be maintained.
Dividend Growth May Be Hard To Come By
Investors who have held shares in the company for the past few years will be happy with the dividend income they have received. Unfortunately things aren't as good as they seem. Over the past five years, it looks as though Southwest Gas Holdings' EPS has declined at around 6.5% a year. If earnings continue declining, the company may have to make the difficult choice of reducing the dividend or even stopping it completely - the opposite of dividend growth. Earnings are forecast to grow over the next 12 months and if that happens we could still be a little bit cautious until it becomes a pattern.
Southwest Gas Holdings' Dividend Doesn't Look Sustainable
Overall, it's nice to see a consistent dividend payment, but we think that longer term, the current level of payment might be unsustainable. We can't deny that the payments have been very stable, but we are a little bit worried about the very high payout ratio. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.
It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. Just as an example, we've come across 3 warning signs for Southwest Gas Holdings you should be aware of, and 2 of them can't be ignored. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.
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