Stock Analysis

Spire (NYSE:SR) Has More To Do To Multiply In Value Going Forward

NYSE:SR
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There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. One common approach is to try and find a company with returns on capital employed (ROCE) that are increasing, in conjunction with a growing amount of capital employed. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. Having said that, from a first glance at Spire (NYSE:SR) we aren't jumping out of our chairs at how returns are trending, but let's have a deeper look.

Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?

For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for Spire, this is the formula:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.053 = US$459m ÷ (US$10b - US$1.4b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2023).

Therefore, Spire has an ROCE of 5.3%. Even though it's in line with the industry average of 5.3%, it's still a low return by itself.

View our latest analysis for Spire

roce
NYSE:SR Return on Capital Employed May 25th 2023

Above you can see how the current ROCE for Spire compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Spire here for free.

SWOT Analysis for Spire

Strength
  • Earnings growth over the past year exceeded the industry.
Weakness
  • Interest payments on debt are not well covered.
  • Dividend is low compared to the top 25% of dividend payers in the Gas Utilities market.
Opportunity
  • Annual earnings are forecast to grow for the next 3 years.
  • Good value based on P/E ratio and estimated fair value.
Threat
  • Debt is not well covered by operating cash flow.
  • Paying a dividend but company has no free cash flows.
  • Annual earnings are forecast to grow slower than the American market.

What The Trend Of ROCE Can Tell Us

The returns on capital haven't changed much for Spire in recent years. Over the past five years, ROCE has remained relatively flat at around 5.3% and the business has deployed 53% more capital into its operations. Given the company has increased the amount of capital employed, it appears the investments that have been made simply don't provide a high return on capital.

The Bottom Line

Long story short, while Spire has been reinvesting its capital, the returns that it's generating haven't increased. And with the stock having returned a mere 11% in the last five years to shareholders, you could argue that they're aware of these lackluster trends. Therefore, if you're looking for a multi-bagger, we'd propose looking at other options.

Spire does have some risks, we noticed 2 warning signs (and 1 which shouldn't be ignored) we think you should know about.

While Spire may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.